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Austria Vienna crestAustria Vienna
v
SC Braga crestSC Braga

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 27 Aug, 19:30

Austria Vienna v SC Braga Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Braga host Austria Vienna in the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League play-off, bringing contrasting strengths to the fixture. Braga have been defensively solid at home, keeping four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifiers and boasting a 61% possession average, which underpins their control and attacking opportunities. Austria Vienna arrive with a resilient away record, having won four competitive away matches this season and consistently scoring on the road despite a modest domestic start. Squad disruptions have affected Braga's preparation, adding uncertainty to their defensive reliability, while Austria Vienna's willingness to attack away suggests both teams have realistic routes to scoring in this competitive encounter.

BT4Y match pick

SC Braga to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Braga have kept four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifiers, showing defensive strength at home.
  • Austria Vienna have won four competitive away matches this season, demonstrating effective away scoring.
  • Braga average 61% possession, enabling control and sustained attacking pressure.
  • Austria Vienna concede 1.4 goals per game and face nearly 12 shots per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent squad disruption for Braga may increase chances of conceding, supporting both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates SC Braga to Win & Both Teams to Score as a plausible outcome given Braga's strong home defensive record combined with Austria Vienna's consistent away scoring. Braga's possession control and recent clean sheets create a solid base, but Austria Vienna's ability to score on the road and Braga's recent squad disruption make a clean sheet unlikely. The price is slightly short relative to the , so cautious staking is advised. The balanced attacking and defensive profiles of both teams support this combined selection as a reasonable football read.

Braga Defensive SolidityFour consecutive clean sheets in Conference League qualifiers
Strong positive
Austria Vienna Away ScoringFour competitive away wins this season with regular goals
Positive
Braga Possession Control61% average possession enabling attacking pressure
Positive
Austria Vienna Defensive VulnerabilityConceding 1.4 goals per game facing 11.9 attempts
Positive
Price SensitivityMarket price slightly short versus model chance
Neutral
Main risk

Home advantage is strong, but not sufficient on its own.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical balance

“SC Braga's home control and Austria Vienna's consistent away goals create a compelling scenario for a competitive match with scoring at both ends. The defensive solidity of Braga is tempered by recent squad disruptions, making a clean sheet less certain and enhancing the appeal of both teams scoring.”

Key Data Signals

SC Braga to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Braga have kept four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifiers, showing defensive strength at home.

Austria Vienna have won four competitive away matches this season, demonstrating effective away scoring.

Braga average 61% possession, enabling control and sustained attacking pressure.

Austria Vienna concede 1.4 goals per game and face nearly 12 shots per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

SC Braga to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, Austria Vienna have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals games, while Braga's rate is only 20%.
  • The single head-to-head meeting averaged 2 goals, suggesting a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Austria Vienna's defensive concessions and Braga's possession control create conditions for a match with multiple goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend as a plausible outcome in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austria Vienna1.6
Avg goals scored
SC Braga1.6
Austria Vienna1.2
Avg goals conceded
SC Braga0
Austria Vienna60%
BTTS rate
SC Braga0%
Austria Vienna60%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Braga20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +8.7 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Braga have kept four clean sheets in their last four European qualifiers, scoring six goals in total, indicating strong defense but moderate scoring. Austria Vienna have scored consistently away, winning four competitive away matches this season. Their defensive record concedes 1.4 goals per game, making it plausible both teams will score. The combination of Braga's home solidity and Austria Vienna's away scoring supports the both teams to score route alongside a Braga win.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +12.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
SC Braga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The market price of 3.0 for SC Braga to Win & Both Teams to Score implies a 33.3% chance, slightly above the model's 30.3% estimate. This suggests the price is a bit short, reflecting bookmaker in Braga's home form and Austria Vienna's scoring threat. While the do not represent strong value, the football read combining Braga's defensive control and Austria Vienna's away goals justifies cautious interest with reduced stakes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Austria Vienna3.6
Avg corners for
SC Braga6
Austria Vienna9
Avg total corners
SC Braga8.67
Austria Vienna1.8
Avg yellow cards
SC Braga1.33
Austria Vienna9.8
Avg shots
SC Braga4.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 55% · edge +7.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Braga average 6 corners per match and concede fewer shots on target (4.33) than Austria Vienna, who face more attempts (11.9) and average 4.6 shots on target. Austria Vienna's higher fouling rate (1.8 yellows per match) compared to Braga's (1.33) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach. The territorial advantage and shot volume favor Braga's control, but Austria Vienna's pressure and fouling indicate active attempts to disrupt, supporting a dynamic match with multiple set-piece and shot opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austria Vienna

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
20 Aug 2026A SC Braga0-2
13 Aug 2026H Beitar Jerusalem1-2
06 Aug 2026A Beitar Jerusalem2-1
30 Jul 2026H FK Liepaja3-1
23 Jul 2026A FK Liepaja2-0

SC Braga

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
20 Aug 2026H Austria Vienna2-0
13 Aug 2026A Dinamo Minsk0-0
06 Aug 2026H Dinamo Minsk1-0
30 Jul 2026H Železničar Pančevo4-0
22 Jul 2026A Železničar Pančevo1-0
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 84% vs implied 75% · edge +8.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
SC Braga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Recent form data shows Braga with 13 points from their last matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game and conceding none, highlighting strong recent defensive performances. Austria Vienna have 9 points, scoring 1.6 goals but conceding 1.2 per game, indicating a more open defensive profile. Braga's low over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Austria Vienna's 60%, reflecting Braga's tighter matches and Austria Vienna's more open games. Both teams have a 60% rate of both teams scoring, supporting the combined pick's relevance.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Austria Vienna wins
0Draws
1SC Braga wins
20 Aug 2026SC Braga v Austria Vienna2-0
Market aligned with main pickSC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +12.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The limited head-to-head sample of one match shows an average of 2 goals scored, indicating a moderately competitive fixture. While this small sample weakly supports a close game, the current form and tactical profiles of both teams provide stronger signals for the expected outcome than past meetings, which should be treated as background context.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Austria Vienna5
Played
SC Braga5
Austria Vienna1.8
Avg goals for
SC Braga1.6
Austria Vienna1.2
Avg goals against
SC Braga0
Austria Vienna1
Clean sheets
SC Braga5
Market aligned with main pickSC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +12.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
SC Braga Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Braga's season stats reveal a disciplined defense conceding only 0.9 goals per game while maintaining 61% possession, enabling controlled attacks. Austria Vienna concede 1.4 goals per game and face nearly 12 attempts per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Austria Vienna's ability to convert limited possession into wins and goals contrasts with Braga's possession-based control, suggesting a tactical battle that supports Braga winning but conceding at least once.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Austria Vienna Over 2.5
20%SC Braga Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, Austria Vienna have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals games, while Braga's rate is only 20%. The single head-to-head meeting averaged 2 goals, suggesting a moderate scoring tempo. Austria Vienna's defensive concessions and Braga's possession control create conditions for a match with multiple goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend as a plausible outcome in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Austria Vienna v SC Braga prediction

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