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Austin crestAustin
v
Nashville SC crestNashville SC

Major League Soccer | Sun 11 Oct, 01:30

Austin v Nashville SC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austin hosts Nashville SC in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive and offensive traits this season. Nashville SC leads the standings with a strong attack and solid defense, while Austin sits mid-table with a more mixed form. Nashville SC's efficient forward line and Austin's willingness to attack suggest a dynamic game with goal-scoring opportunities at both ends. Recent form indicates both sides have found the net regularly, setting up a contest where defensive resilience will be tested alongside attacking intent.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Austin has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Nashville SC averages 1.6 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate, showing offensive strength.
  • Both teams have solid shot volumes: Austin averages 10.4 shots, Nashville SC 15.6 per game.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.33 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Nashville SC ranks 1st in the league, Austin 13th, reflecting contrasting season trajectories but similar scoring patterns.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, supported by Austin's high BTTS rate of 80% and Nashville SC's strong attacking output averaging 1.6 goals per game. Nashville SC's offensive players, including S. Surridge with 16 goals and 1.67 shots on target per 90 minutes, increase the likelihood of goals. Austin's attacking players like C. Taylor contribute consistent shot volumes, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 6.8% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection for this fixture.

Austin BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Nashville SC Goals Per Game1.6
Positive
S. Surridge Goal Threat16 goals, 1.67 SOT/90
Strong positive
Model Chance66.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.8 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge66.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.8 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score regularly, with Austin's attacking players creating chances and Nashville SC's forwards posing a constant threat. The tactical setup suggests an open game where defensive lapses may occur. Given the attacking talent and recent scoring trends, both teams scoring is a logical outcome supported by data and match context.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Austin's high BTTS rate combined with Nashville SC's potent attack makes both teams to score a well-founded pick, reflecting the offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on display.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Austin has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Nashville SC averages 1.6 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate, showing offensive strength.

Both teams have solid shot volumes: Austin averages 10.4 shots, Nashville SC 15.6 per game.

Head-to-head matches average 2.33 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Austin's 40% over 2.5 goals rate and Nashville SC's 60% rate suggest a tempo that can produce multiple goals.
  • The trend panel points to an open game with opportunities for both teams to score, aligning with the BTTS pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austin1.4
Avg goals scored
Nashville SC1.6
Austin1.2
Avg goals conceded
Nashville SC0.8
Austin80%
BTTS rate
Nashville SC40%
Austin40%
Over 2.5 goals
Nashville SC60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Austin's 80% BTTS rate and Nashville SC's 40% BTTS rate, combined with their respective goals per game (1.4 and 1.6), point to a match where both sides are likely to find the net. The average of 2.33 goals in their last six meetings further supports a goal-rich encounter with contributions from both teams.

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Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Nashville SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Austin to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Nashville SC to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Austin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+6.8 pts). Austin show a 80% BTTS rate and Nashville SC show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austin

DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
27 Sep 2026H San Diego3-3
20 Sep 2026A FC Dallas0-0
13 Sep 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps2-1
10 Sep 2026H Colorado Rapids1-1
06 Sep 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-1

Nashville SC

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
27 Sep 2026H Toronto FC2-0
20 Sep 2026H Chicago Fire3-0
13 Sep 2026A Inter Miami2-2
10 Sep 2026A Toronto FC1-2
05 Sep 2026A New York City FC0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Nashville SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Austin to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Nashville SC to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Austin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows Austin earning 7 points with an 80% BTTS rate, while Nashville SC has 8 points and a 40% BTTS rate in their latest matches. Both teams have scored regularly, with Austin conceding 1.2 goals per game and Nashville SC 0.8, highlighting a balance between attack and defense that favors goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Austin Over 2.5
60%Nashville SC Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Austin's 40% over 2.5 goals rate and Nashville SC's 60% rate suggest a tempo that can produce multiple goals. The trend panel points to an open game with opportunities for both teams to score, aligning with the BTTS pick.

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