Football Stats Hub

AS Roma crestAS Roma
v
Fiorentina crestFiorentina

Serie A | Mon 24 Aug, 19:45

AS Roma v Fiorentina Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AS Roma face Fiorentina in Serie A on Mon 24 Aug, 19:45.

BT4Y best bet

Fiorentina to Win

  • At 5, Fiorentina to Win implies roughly 20%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
  • AS Roma sit 1 in the table, while Fiorentina sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 35% for Fiorentina to Win sits against roughly 20% implied by the current price. AS Roma sit 1 in the table, while Fiorentina sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price35% model chance against roughly 20% implied
Strong positive
AS Roma sit 1 in the table, while Fiorentina sit.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fiorentina Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AS Roma sit 1 in the table, while Fiorentina sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Fiorentina to Win evidence

AS Roma sit 1 in the table, while Fiorentina sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Fiorentina to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5AS Roma wins
    2Draws
    3Fiorentina wins
    04 May 2026AS Roma v Fiorentina4-0
    05 Oct 2025Fiorentina v AS Roma1-2
    04 May 2025AS Roma v Fiorentina1-0
    27 Oct 2024Fiorentina v AS Roma5-1
    10 Mar 2024Fiorentina v AS Roma2-2
    10 Dec 2023AS Roma v Fiorentina1-1
    Market aligned with main pickFiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Fiorentina to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    AS Roma

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for AS Roma yet.

    Fiorentina

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Fiorentina yet.

    Market aligned with main pickFiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Fiorentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    AS Roma-
    Avg goals scored
    Fiorentina-
    AS Roma-
    Avg goals conceded
    Fiorentina-
    AS Roma-
    BTTS rate
    Fiorentina-
    AS Roma-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fiorentina-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +3.1 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Fiorentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Fiorentina to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie A

    AS Roma1
    Played
    Fiorentina1
    AS Roma4
    Avg goals for
    Fiorentina0
    AS Roma0
    Avg goals against
    Fiorentina4
    AS Roma1
    Clean sheets
    Fiorentina0
    Market aligned with main pickFiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Fiorentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Fiorentina to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1AS Roma311004
    20Fiorentina01001-4
    AS Roma sit in position 1, while Fiorentina sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Fiorentina to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -AS Roma Over 2.5
    -Fiorentina Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets research

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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