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Arka Gdynia crestArka Gdynia
v
Nieciecza crestNieciecza

Ekstraklasa | Mon 18 May, 18:00

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 02:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arka Gdynia face Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa on Mon 18 May, 18:00. A total of 61 goals bypassed Nieciecza's rearguard over 32 league matches, yielding a goal difference of -24. It concludes successfully if the final scoreline reads 1-1, 2-1, or higher, regardless of which team wins.

BT4Y best bet

Ze into low-event stalemates like Arka's draw with Górnik Zabrze

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • BBT Nieciecza show an identical trend on the road, with eighty percent of their away matches concluding with both teams scoring.
  • Arka Gdynia show a 60% BTTS rate and Nieciecza show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Arka Gdynia average 0.8 goals scored and Nieciecza average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Arka Gdynia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Nieciecza show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. BBT Nieciecza show an identical trend on the road, with eighty percent of their away matches concluding with both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Arka Gdynia show a 60% BTTS rate and Nieciecza show.Visible data support
Positive
Arka Gdynia average 0.8 goals scored and Nieciecza average 0.Visible data support
Positive
BBT Nieciecza show an identical trend on the road.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because bBT Nieciecza show an identical trend on the road, with eighty percent of their away matches concluding with both teams scoring. Arka Gdynia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Nieciecza show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That suggests a side capable of creating opportunities, but not one comfortable protecting an advantage.

Main risk

That suggests a side capable of creating opportunities, but not one comfortable protecting an advantage.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

BBT Nieciecza show an identical trend on the road, with eighty percent of their away matches concluding.

Arka Gdynia show a 60% BTTS rate and Nieciecza show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Arka Gdynia average 0.8 goals scored and Nieciecza average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Arka Gdynia0.8
Avg goals scored
Nieciecza0.8
Arka Gdynia2
Avg goals conceded
Nieciecza2.2
Arka Gdynia60%
BTTS rate
Nieciecza60%
Arka Gdynia60%
Over 2.5 goals
Nieciecza60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Nieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Nieciecza to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Arka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Arka Gdynia4.2
Avg corners for
Nieciecza4.4
Arka Gdynia11.8
Avg total corners
Nieciecza9.4
Arka Gdynia1.6
Avg yellow cards
Nieciecza2
Arka Gdynia10.4
Avg shots
Nieciecza13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Arka Gdynia

DDLLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
13 May 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-0
08 May 2026A Lech Poznan1-1
27 Apr 2026A Piast Gliwice1-4
19 Apr 2026H Jagiellonia0-3
12 Apr 2026A Cracovia Krakow2-2

Nieciecza

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
10 May 2026H Legia Warszawa0-1
03 May 2026A GKS Katowice1-5
24 Apr 2026A Zaglebie Lubin2-1
19 Apr 2026H Wisla Plock1-3
11 Apr 2026A Widzew Łódź0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +19.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Nieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Nieciecza to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Arka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Arka Gdynia wins
2Draws
5Nieciecza wins
21 Nov 2025Nieciecza v Arka Gdynia2-0
04 May 2025Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza2-1
26 Oct 2024Nieciecza v Arka Gdynia2-1
11 Dec 2023Nieciecza v Arka Gdynia2-1
21 Jul 2023Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza2-2
03 Jun 2023Nieciecza v Arka Gdynia2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Nieciecza to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Arka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Arka Gdynia34
Played
Nieciecza34
Arka Gdynia1
Avg goals for
Nieciecza1.3
Arka Gdynia1.8
Avg goals against
Nieciecza1.9
Arka Gdynia7
Clean sheets
Nieciecza3
Best odds for this sectionNieciecza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15.3 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Nieciecza to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Arka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season data supports Nieciecza Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
17Arka Gdynia36349916-27
18Nieciecza34349718-22
Arka Gdynia sit in position 17, while Nieciecza sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Arka Gdynia Over 2.5
60%Nieciecza Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arka Gdynia sit at 60% and Nieciecza sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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