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Argentina crestArgentina
v
Egypt crestEgypt

World Cup | Tue 07 Jul, 17:00

Argentina v Egypt Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 10:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Argentina face Egypt in World Cup on Tue 07 Jul, 17:00. On paper, this is the kind of fixture that invites lazy conclusions. Pricing leans toward lower margin victories for Argentina, balanced by their tendency to score multi-goal tallies.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Over 2

  • At 10/11, Rationale: Over 2 implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Argentina have scored nine goals and conceded only two across their World Cup campaign, giving them the cleanest overall tournament profile between the two.
  • Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for Egypt.
  • Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.75 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Rationale: Over 2 sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for Egypt. Argentina have scored nine goals and conceded only two across their World Cup campaign, giving them the cleanest overall tournament profile between the two.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.75 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Argentina have scored nine goals and conceded only two.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Argentina Win is the preferred angle because argentina have scored nine goals and conceded only two across their World Cup campaign, giving them the cleanest overall tournament profile between the two sides. Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for Egypt. It showed Argentina’s attacking class, but it also suggested they can be dragged into uncomfortable territory when an opponent refuses to disappear.

Main risk

It showed Argentina’s attacking class, but it also suggested they can be dragged into uncomfortable territory when an opponent refuses to disappear.

Key Data Signals

Rationale: Over 2 evidence

Argentina have scored nine goals and conceded only two across their World Cup campaign, giving them the cleanest.

Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for Egypt.

Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.75 conceded per match, which helps the Argentina Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Rationale: Over 2 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Argentina2.75
    Avg goals scored
    Egypt1.5
    Argentina0.75
    Avg goals conceded
    Egypt1
    Argentina50%
    BTTS rate
    Egypt100%
    Argentina75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Egypt25%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Argentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Argentina to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Argentina4.25
    Avg corners for
    Egypt6.25
    Argentina8
    Avg total corners
    Egypt9.25
    Argentina0.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Egypt2
    Argentina14
    Avg shots
    Egypt15.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +11.5 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 49%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Argentina

    WWWW
    Last 54W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 0L
    03 Jul 2026H Cape Verde Islands3-2
    28 Jun 2026A Jordan3-1
    22 Jun 2026H Austria2-0
    17 Jun 2026H Algeria3-0

    Egypt

    DDWD
    Last 51W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 0L
    03 Jul 2026A Australia1-1
    27 Jun 2026H Iran1-1
    22 Jun 2026A New Zealand3-1
    15 Jun 2026A Belgium1-1
    Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Argentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Argentina wins
    0Draws
    0Egypt wins
    Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Argentina to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Argentina8
    Played
    Egypt5
    Argentina2.4
    Avg goals for
    Egypt1.8
    Argentina1
    Avg goals against
    Egypt1.4
    Argentina2
    Clean sheets
    Egypt0
    Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Argentina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.15
    Check odds @ 1.15
    Season data supports Argentina to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Egypt531202
    1Argentina933007
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    75%Argentina Over 2.5
    25%Egypt Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Argentina sit at 75% and Egypt sit at 25%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.