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Anderlecht crestAnderlecht
v
Lyon crestLyon

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Anderlecht v Lyon Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 14:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Anderlecht face Lyon in UEFA Europa League on Wed 16 Sep, 20:00. Danylo Sikan has scored five times in six Europa League appearances this season, making his contribution particularly significant for an Anderlecht side whose broader recent scoring return has been modest.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 6/10, Over 2 implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 2 sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Positive
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +12.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. Lyon’s superior efficiency makes them dangerous, but the hosts have enough evidence behind them to make this a much less straightforward assignment than the raw 10-match records might imply.

Main risk

Lyon’s superior efficiency makes them dangerous, but the hosts have enough evidence behind them to make this a much less straightforward assignment than the raw 10-match records might imply.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Anderlecht

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
27 Aug 2026H Kairat Almaty3-0
20 Aug 2026A Kairat Almaty3-0
13 Aug 2026H PAOK3-2
06 Aug 2026A PAOK1-0
30 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF3-1

Lyon

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lyon yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 62% · edge -1.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lyon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Anderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Lyon to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Anderlecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfull betting preview for Anderlecht v Lyoncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Anderlecht2.6
Avg goals scored
Lyon-
Anderlecht0.6
Avg goals conceded
Lyon-
Anderlecht40%
BTTS rate
Lyon-
Anderlecht80%
Over 2.5 goals
Lyon-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Lyon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Anderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Lyon to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Anderlecht Over 2.5
-Lyon Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

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