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Amed crestAmed
v
Başakşehir crestBaşakşehir

Süper Lig | Sun 13 Sep, 18:00

Amed v Başakşehir Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Amed face Başakşehir in Süper Lig on Sun 13 Sep, 18:00. Amed come in with 7 recent points and 1.75 goals per match, while Başakşehir have 4 points and 1.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Amed to Win

  • At 2.5, Amed to Win implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Başakşehir.
  • Amed have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per match, which helps the Amed to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Amed sit 6 in the table, while Başakşehir sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Amed to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Başakşehir.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Amed have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Amed Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Başakşehir. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Amed to Win evidence

Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Başakşehir.

Amed have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per match, which helps the Amed Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Amed sit 6 in the table, while Başakşehir sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Amed to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Amed1.75
    Avg goals scored
    Başakşehir1.5
    Amed1.25
    Avg goals conceded
    Başakşehir1.5
    Amed50%
    BTTS rate
    Başakşehir75%
    Amed75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Başakşehir50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Amed Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Amed to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Amed5.5
    Avg corners for
    Başakşehir5
    Amed9
    Avg total corners
    Başakşehir8.75
    Amed2.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Başakşehir2.75
    Amed14
    Avg shots
    Başakşehir13.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 56% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Amed

    DWLW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    06 Sep 2026A Kasımpaşa2-2
    31 Aug 2026H Trabzonspor2-1
    24 Aug 2026A Kocaelispor0-2
    16 Aug 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0

    Başakşehir

    LDLW
    Last 51W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 2L
    04 Sep 2026H Galatasaray2-3
    30 Aug 2026H Kasımpaşa1-1
    23 Aug 2026A Trabzonspor1-2
    16 Aug 2026H Kocaelispor2-0
    Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Amed Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Amed wins
    2Draws
    0Başakşehir wins
    28 Jan 2016Başakşehir v Amed2-2
    23 Dec 2015Amed v Başakşehir2-2
    Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Amed to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Süper Lig

    Amed4
    Played
    Başakşehir4
    Amed1.8
    Avg goals for
    Başakşehir1.5
    Amed1.3
    Avg goals against
    Başakşehir1.5
    Amed1
    Clean sheets
    Başakşehir1
    Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Amed Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Amed to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6Amed742112
    12Başakşehir441120
    Amed sit in position 6, while Başakşehir sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Amed to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    75%Amed Over 2.5
    50%Başakşehir Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Amed sit at 75% and Başakşehir sit at 50% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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