Algeria
AustriaWorld Cup | Sun 28 Jun, 03:00
Algeria v Austria Stats
Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 07:38 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Algeria face Austria in World Cup on Sun 28 Jun, 03:00. Group J Tension, Fine Margins and a Match That Could Get Very Nervy. Algeria have won three, drawn one and lost two, scoring notable victories over Jordan, Equatorial Guinea and Burkina Faso while also suffering defeats to Argentina and Nigeria.
Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis
- Price warning: current odds imply about 42%, above the 37% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
- At 7/5, Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 37%.
- Algeria sit third with two scored and four conceded.
- Austria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis angle more than a raw possession.
Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 42% while the model sits nearer 37% (-5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.2.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 37% for Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Austria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis angle more than a raw possession. Algeria sit third with two scored and four conceded.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Algeria Win is the preferred angle because algeria sit third with two scored and four conceded. Austria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Algeria Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Algeria have scored in 16 of their last 22 matches, which is a respectable 73%, but they have also failed to score six times.
Algeria have scored in 16 of their last 22 matches, which is a respectable 73%, but they have also failed to score six times.
Key Data Signals
Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis evidence
Algeria sit third with two scored and four conceded.
Austria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Algeria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Austria concentrate 73% of their shot volume inside the box, matching Algeria’s defensive emphasis notes
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Algeria
Austria
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League standings snapshot
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| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| 6 | Algeria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
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