Football Stats Hub

Alcione crestAlcione
v
Renate crestRenate

Serie C - Girone A | Fri 21 Aug, 20:00

Alcione v Renate Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:59 UK time
BT4Y match pick

Dom than Alcione have shown lately

  • At 4/7, Dom than Alcione have shown lately implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Dom than Alcione have shown lately sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
Five of their six games have gone over 2.5.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -2.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because market prices favour a low-scoring match under 2.5 goals. Renate carry more threat, but concede more too

Main risk

Renate carry more threat, but concede more too.

Key Data Signals

Dom than Alcione have shown lately evidence

Market prices favour a low-scoring match under 2.5 goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Dom than Alcione have shown lately notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Alcione wins
1Draws
2Renate wins
02 Feb 2026Renate v Alcione1-0
21 Sep 2025Alcione v Renate1-1
11 Jan 2025Renate v Alcione0-1
07 Sep 2024Alcione v Renate0-1
Best odds for this sectionRenate to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 33% · edge +7.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.87
Check odds @ 1.87
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.82
Check odds @ 2.82
The head-to-head sample gives context for Renate to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alcione

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Alcione yet.

Renate

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Renate yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 69% · edge +2.5 pts
1.46
Check odds @ 1.46
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Renate to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3
Check odds @ 3
Renate Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.01
Check odds @ 2.01
Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.82
Check odds @ 2.82
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alcione-
Avg goals scored
Renate-
Alcione-
Avg goals conceded
Renate-
Alcione-
BTTS rate
Renate-
Alcione-
Over 2.5 goals
Renate-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -2.9 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.77
Check odds @ 1.77
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.87
Check odds @ 1.87
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.37
Check odds @ 1.37
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.95
Check odds @ 3.95
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRenate to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 33% · edge +7.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Renate Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.01
Check odds @ 2.01
Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.87
Check odds @ 1.87
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.82
Check odds @ 2.82
Renate to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Alcione0
Played
Renate0
Alcione0
Avg goals for
Renate0
Alcione0
Avg goals against
Renate0
Alcione0
Clean sheets
Renate0
Best odds for this sectionRenate to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 33% · edge +7.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Renate Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.01
Check odds @ 2.01
Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
Season data supports Renate to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Renate000000
19Alcione000000
Alcione sit in position 19, while Renate sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Dom than Alcione have shown lately assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Alcione Over 2.5
-Renate Over 2.5
1.25H2H avg goals
Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Alcione v Renate prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre