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Alcione

Renate

Serie C - Girone A | Fri 21 Aug, 20:00

Alcione v Renate Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 17:27 UK time

BT4Y match pick

Dom than Alcione have shown lately

At 4/7, Dom than Alcione have shown lately implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Dom than Alcione have shown lately sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 64% implied

Neutral

Five of their six games have gone over 2.5.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -2.8 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because market prices favour a low-scoring match under 2.5 goals. Renate carry more threat, but concede more too

Main risk

Renate carry more threat, but concede more too.

Key Data Signals

Dom than Alcione have shown lately evidence

Market prices favour a low-scoring match under 2.5 goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Dom than Alcione have shown lately notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alcione

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Alcione yet.

Renate

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Renate yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 71% · edge -5.6 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Renate Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Renate to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alcione-

Avg goals scored

Renate-

Alcione-

Avg goals conceded

Renate-

Alcione-

BTTS rate

Renate-

Alcione-

Over 2.5 goals

Renate-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 67% · edge -5.9 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +2.4 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Renate Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Alcione to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Renate to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Alcione Over 2.5

-Renate Over 2.5

1.25H2H avg goals

Five of their six games have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in four.

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🔥 Our Acca Selection 23.77 odds • Starts in 219h 32m • 5 legs Our Selection

5-Leg Auto Acca Total odds: 23.77

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⏳ Previous Acca Result Pending 8.63 odds • Settlement pending • 5 legs Pending

5-Leg Auto Acca Total odds: 8.63

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