Albania
San MarinoUEFA Nations League | Tue 06 Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino Stats
Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 03:14 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Albania face San Marino in UEFA Nations League on Tue 06 Oct, 19:45. Both Teams To Score NO is a strong pick as San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings.
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings
- Price warning: current odds imply about 75%, above the 44% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
- At 1/3, As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings implies roughly 75%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
- Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
- Albania show a 33% BTTS rate and San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
- Albania average 2 goals scored and San Marino average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 75% while the model sits nearer 44% (-30.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: San Marino to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 51.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 44% for As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings sits against roughly 75% implied by the current price. Albania show a 33% BTTS rate and San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score NO. Albania show a that shared-scoring rate rate and San Marino show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Rey Manaj gave Albania the lead after only four minutes, but goalkeeper Etrit Berisha’s dismissal in the 22nd minute transformed the contest.
Rey Manaj gave Albania the lead after only four minutes, but goalkeeper Etrit Berisha’s dismissal in the 22nd minute transformed the contest.
Key Data Signals
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings evidence
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
Albania show a 33% BTTS rate and San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Albania average 2 goals scored and San Marino average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.
What To Watch In The Data
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings notes
- Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
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Recent form
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Albania
San Marino
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