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Albania U19 crestAlbania U19
v
Lithuania U19 crestLithuania U19

Friendlies | Wed 30 Sep, 14:30

Albania U19 v Lithuania U19 Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 08:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Albania U19 and Lithuania U19 offers a platform for both sides to test emerging talents ahead of competitive fixtures. Lithuania U19 arrives with a slight edge, having secured a recent win and showing more offensive promise, while Albania U19 is yet to gain points and has struggled to find the net. The tactical setup is likely to see Lithuania pressing for control and exploiting Albania's defensive vulnerabilities, though the youth level unpredictability and limited head-to-head history add an element of uncertainty to the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Lithuania U19 to Win

  • Lithuania U19 has a recent win and positive momentum compared to Albania U19's winless run.
  • Lithuania U19 averages 1 goal scored and concedes 1.5 per recent matches, indicating balanced performance.
  • Albania U19 has not scored in recent outings and concedes 2 goals on average, showing defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for open play and scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Lithuania U19 to win with a 63.7% chance, reflecting their recent positive form and better defensive record compared to Albania U19. The of 3.4 imply a 29.4% chance, creating significant value with a 34.3% edge. Lithuania's ability to score and limit goals against in recent games supports this , while Albania's lack of goals and points further strengthens the away win case. The limited data sample at youth level means line-ups and tactical adjustments could influence the outcome, but current indicators favor Lithuania.

Recent formLithuania U19 has 3 points vs Albania U19's 0
Positive
Goals scored/concededLithuania 1/1.5 vs Albania 0/2
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rateBoth teams 50%
Neutral
Odds vs model chance36.7% model chance vs 29.4% implied (+7.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lithuania U19's recent winning form and more balanced defensive record make them the favored side in this friendly. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Albania U19's struggles to score, suggesting Lithuania can secure victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lithuania U19's recent performances show a team capable of controlling matches and capitalizing on Albania U19's defensive weaknesses, making their win a logical expectation in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Lithuania U19 to Win evidence

Lithuania U19 has a recent win and positive momentum compared to Albania U19's winless run.

Lithuania U19 averages 1 goal scored and concedes 1.5 per recent matches, indicating balanced performance.

Albania U19 has not scored in recent outings and concedes 2 goals on average, showing defensive frailty.

Both teams have a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for open play and scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Lithuania U19 to Win notes

  • Recent matches for both teams show a 50% frequency of over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple scoring chances.
  • This trend suggests the fixture could feature a lively tempo and goal opportunities from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Albania U190
Avg goals scored
Lithuania U191
Albania U192
Avg goals conceded
Lithuania U191.5
Albania U190%
BTTS rate
Lithuania U1950%
Albania U1950%
Over 2.5 goals
Lithuania U1950%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Lithuania scoring and conceding at moderate rates and Albania conceding more heavily. This suggests a match with open play and scoring opportunities, supporting potential goal involvement but with some defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Albania U19

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
07 Jun 2026A Bulgaria U190-3
04 Jun 2026A Bulgaria U190-1

Lithuania U19

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
06 Jun 2026A Estonia U191-3
04 Jun 2026A Latvia U191-0
Market aligned with main pickLithuania U19 to WinBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 29% · edge +7.3 pts
3.4
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Lithuania U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Lithuania U19's recent form includes a win and a positive goal difference, contrasting with Albania U19's winless streak and zero goals scored. This momentum difference indicates Lithuania's and effectiveness in recent matches, favoring their chances in this game.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLithuania U19 to WinBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 29% · edge +7.3 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Lithuania U19 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 36.7% for Lithuania U19 to Win sits against roughly 29.4% implied by the current price (+7.3 pts). Lithuania U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Albania U19.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Albania U19 Over 2.5
50%Lithuania U19 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent matches for both teams show a 50% frequency of over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple scoring chances. This trend suggests the fixture could feature a lively tempo and goal opportunities from both sides.

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