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Alaves crestAlaves
v
Barcelona crestBarcelona

La Liga | Wed 13 May, 20:30

Alaves v Barcelona Stats

BT4Y best bet

Barcelona to Win

  • At 2.15, Barcelona to Win is priced at roughly 47% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +23.5-point value edge.
  • Alaves have a recent record of 1W-2D-2L, while Barcelona come in at 5W-0D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Barcelona to Win angle: Alaves have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Barcelona to Win angle: Barcelona have taken 5 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.15, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 47% · edge +23.5 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Alaves Over 2.5
40%Barcelona Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Alaves

DLWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
09 May 2026A Elche1-1
02 May 2026H Athletic Club2-4
25 Apr 2026H Mallorca2-1
21 Apr 2026A Real Madrid1-2
11 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad3-3

Barcelona

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 1010W 0D 0L
10 May 2026H Real Madrid2-0
02 May 2026A Osasuna2-1
25 Apr 2026A Getafe2-0
22 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo1-0
11 Apr 2026H Espanyol4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 47% · edge +23.5 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Alaves1.8
Avg goals scored
Barcelona2.2
Alaves2.2
Avg goals conceded
Barcelona0.4
Alaves100%
BTTS rate
Barcelona40%
Alaves80%
Over 2.5 goals
Barcelona40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Alaves wins
2Draws
8Barcelona wins
29 Nov 2025Barcelona v Alaves3-1
02 Feb 2025Barcelona v Alaves1-0
06 Oct 2024Alaves v Barcelona0-3
03 Feb 2024Alaves v Barcelona1-3
12 Nov 2023Barcelona v Alaves2-1
23 Jan 2022Alaves v Barcelona0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 47% · edge +23.5 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Alaves5.4
Avg corners for
Barcelona5.2
Alaves12.6
Avg total corners
Barcelona10.2
Alaves3.4
Avg yellow cards
Barcelona2
Alaves13
Avg shots
Barcelona13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleR. Lewandowski Anytime GoalscorerR. Lewandowski · 13 goals · 1.81 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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R. Bardghji 1+ Shot On TargetR. Bardghji · 1.89 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal 2+ ShotsLamine Yamal · 3.37 shots/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal To Assist / Key Pass AngleLamine Yamal · 11 assists · 2.86 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal To Be FouledLamine Yamal · 2.06 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Marc Bernal Card RiskMarc Bernal · 4 yellows · 2.13 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
R. Lewandowski
R. LewandowskiBarcelona · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.97
SOT /901.81
Lamine Yamal
Lamine YamalBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat98/100
Shots /903.37
SOT /901.47
Ferran Torres
Ferran TorresBarcelona · Attacker
Goal threat97/100
Shots /902.69
SOT /901.73
R. Bardghji
R. BardghjiBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat60/100
Shots /902.67
SOT /901.89
Raphinha
RaphinhaBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat93/100
Shots /902.99
SOT /901.36
Marc Bernal
Marc BernalBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat29/100
Shots /900.49
SOT /900.33
A. Rebbach
A. RebbachAlaves · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /901.61
SOT /900.77
Gavi
GaviBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Alaves35
Played
Barcelona35
Alaves1.2
Avg goals for
Barcelona2.6
Alaves1.5
Avg goals against
Barcelona0.9
Alaves3
Clean sheets
Barcelona15
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 47% · edge +23.5 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Barcelona9135301460
18Alaves373591016-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.