Barcelona vs Alaves Predictions

Barcelona vs Alaves Preview: La Liga Leaders Seek Immediate Response After El Clasico Defeat. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Barcelona return to Spotify Camp Nou on Saturday, 31 October, looking to restore their winning momentum against Deportivo Alaves after successive defeats brought their outstanding start to the 2026-27 campaign to an abrupt halt.

Three Punchy Stats

• 40 goals: Barcelona have averaged four goals per league match this season.
• 14.6 corners: Barcelona's average across five home league fixtures.
• Six matches: Alaves' current winless sequence in La Liga.

Hansi Flick's side remain top of La Liga with 27 points from 10 matches, but their advantage has narrowed following a 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid. Atletico Madrid are now just two points behind, with Real Madrid a further point back.

Alaves arrive seventh with 12 points, although a six-match league winless streak threatens to undermine their encouraging early-season position.

Barcelona's attacking strength faces another examination

Barcelona opened the campaign with 11 consecutive victories across all competitions before suffering a 4-2 Champions League defeat against Paris Saint-Germain and losing El Clasico.

Those setbacks have exposed a vulnerability that Flick must address, particularly with important fixtures against Aston Villa and Atletico Madrid approaching before the November international break.

Nevertheless, Barcelona's attacking numbers remain exceptional. Their 40 goals in 10 league matches represent an average of four per game, while they have scored in every La Liga fixture this season.

Convincing victories over Racing de Santander (7-2), Real Betis (5-2) and Getafe (3-0) illustrate their ability to overwhelm opponents through sustained attacking pressure.

Their home matches have also produced significant territorial activity, averaging 14.6 corners across five league fixtures. Three of those contests exceeded 13.5 corners, reflecting the pressure Barcelona can generate around opposition penalty areas.

Fermin Lopez could prove particularly influential. His movement from midfield offers another attacking dimension, especially against opponents expected to defend compactly.

Alaves face a demanding test of defensive resilience

Quique Sanchez Flores has overseen three victories, three draws and four defeats in Alaves' opening 10 league fixtures.

However, their most recent victory came against Osasuna in early September, when they secured an impressive 5-2 success.

Since then, results have deteriorated. Four defeats and two draws across their last six league matches highlight the difficulty Alaves have experienced turning competitive performances into points.

Their away record is another concern. Alaves have collected only two points from four league trips, scoring three goals and failing to register a victory.

There are nevertheless reasons for cautious optimism. Alaves have conceded 11 league goals, matching Barcelona's defensive record, and have registered three clean sheets.

The fundamental difference lies in attacking production. Barcelona have scored 40 goals compared with Alaves' 14, leaving the visitors facing a considerable challenge if they cannot restrict the hosts' opportunities.

Lucas Boye provides their principal attacking threat, contributing five goals in nine appearances. Mariano Diaz has also impressed, recording three goals and four assists across 10 outings.

Both could become important if Alaves exploit space during Barcelona's attacking transitions.

Injuries and selection decisions

Barcelona's preparations have been complicated by Xavi Espart's ankle injury, which is expected to keep him sidelined for seven weeks.

Alejandro Balde is consequently in contention for his first start of the campaign.

Dani Olmo, Roony Bardghji and Eric Garcia remain unavailable, while Jules Kounde and Andreas Christensen face fitness concerns.

Flick is expected to retain Fermin Lopez, Rodri and Pedri in midfield, despite Frenkie de Jong's return to fitness.

Alaves will be without Facundo Garces and Mikel Rodriguez, both sidelined with knee injuries.

Previous meetings and match outlook

Alaves claimed a surprising 1-0 victory in May's meeting, ending Barcelona's four-match winning sequence against them.

However, Barcelona have not lost at home to Alaves since September 2016, reinforcing the scale of the visitors' assignment.

The hosts possess substantially greater attacking firepower, while Alaves' limited away scoring record suggests their opportunities could be restricted.

Barcelona's recent defeats provide motivation, but their defensive record also offers Alaves some encouragement.

Score prediction: Barcelona 3-0 Alaves.

📊 Market Explainer

Main Tip

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.

Correct Score Tip

Correct Score Market

Selection: Barcelona vs Alaves 3-0. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.

🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score NO @ 20/23

Barcelona’s return to Spotify Camp Nou provides an immediate opportunity to reset, and their overwhelming attacking volume contrasts sharply with Deportivo Alaves’ away struggles, making the Both Teams To Score NO market an appropriate angle. Hansi Flick’s side lead La Liga having scored 40 times across their opening 10 league matches, averaging four goals per game. That relentless scoring rate forces visiting sides to defend deep, severely restricting their own attacking opportunities. Alaves arrive on a six-match winless sequence that includes four defeats, highlighting the difficulty they face in sustaining competitive performances.

The away side’s offensive limitations on the road strengthen the case for at least one team failing to register a goal. Quique Sanchez Flores has seen his team collect just two points from four away league trips, managing only three goals across those fixtures. Barcelona’s ability to generate immense pressure, reflected by their exceptional average of 14.6 corners across five home league matches, means Alaves will likely spend the majority of this contest absorbing attacks rather than mounting them.

There remain potential risks to this selection. Alaves secured a 1-0 victory in May’s meeting, and Lucas Boye has contributed five goals in nine appearances, demonstrating he can convert limited chances. However, Barcelona have not lost a home fixture to Alaves since September 2016. Given the hosts’ need to respond to their recent El Clasico defeat, their overwhelming territorial dominance and Alaves’ pronounced away scoring shortage provide a coherent footballing argument for at least one side finishing without a goal.

🎯 Tactical Indicators

• Barcelona have scored 40 goals in 10 La Liga matches, averaging four per game.
• Alaves have secured just two points and scored three goals across four away league fixtures.
• Barcelona average 14.6 corners across their five home league matches this season.

Risk Factor: Alaves won the most recent meeting 1-0 and Lucas Boye’s five goals in nine appearances pose a scoring threat.

⚔️ Pick 2: Barcelona vs Alaves 3-0 @ 13/2

Barcelona’s exceptional attacking record combined with Deportivo Alaves’ distinct lack of away goals makes a 3-0 home victory a credible exact-score proposition. Hansi Flick’s side have scored in every La Liga fixture this season, amassing 40 goals across their opening 10 matches at a rate of four per game. Previous convincing home victories, particularly their 3-0 success against Getafe, illustrate their capacity to secure comfortable margins while keeping a clean sheet.

Crucially, Alaves possess sufficient defensive organisation to prevent the scoreline escalating into a heavier blowout, such as Barcelona’s 7-2 victory over Racing de Santander. Quique Sanchez Flores’ side have conceded just 11 league goals—matching Barcelona’s own defensive record—and have registered three clean sheets. This defensive foundation suggests they can restrict the hosts to a three-goal margin, even under sustained territorial pressure.

On the other side of the scoreline, the visitors’ attacking output away from home strongly supports a Barcelona clean sheet. Alaves have scored only three times across four away league fixtures, failing to register a single victory on the road. While Mariano Diaz provides a creative outlet with four assists this term, Barcelona’s extreme territorial dominance—evidenced by 14.6 corners per home match—should severely restrict the visitors’ attacking transitions.

Any exact-score prediction carries inherent fragility. A single successful finish from Lucas Boye, who has five goals in nine appearances, would instantly defeat the selection, and Barcelona’s recent defeats prove they are not impenetrable. However, a 3-0 home success logically balances Barcelona’s relentless attacking volume with Alaves’ documented away scoring shortage.