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AIK Stockholm crestAIK Stockholm
v
Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF

Allsvenskan | Wed 16 Sep, 18:00

AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AIK Stockholm face Mjallby AIF in Allsvenskan on Wed 16 Sep, 18:00. AIK Stockholm come in with 10 recent points and 2.2 goals per match, while Mjallby AIF have 4 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

AIK Stockholm to Win

  • At 2.15, AIK Stockholm to Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • AIK Stockholm have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Mjallby AIF.
  • AIK Stockholm have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the AIK Stockholm to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • AIK Stockholm sit 7 in the table, while Mjallby AIF sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for AIK Stockholm to Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. AIK Stockholm have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Mjallby AIF.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
AIK Stockholm have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
AIK Stockholm have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: AIK Stockholm Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AIK Stockholm have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Mjallby AIF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

AIK Stockholm to Win evidence

AIK Stockholm have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Mjallby AIF.

AIK Stockholm have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the AIK Stockholm Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

AIK Stockholm sit 7 in the table, while Mjallby AIF sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

AIK Stockholm to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    AIK Stockholm2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Mjallby AIF1.2
    AIK Stockholm2
    Avg goals conceded
    Mjallby AIF2.8
    AIK Stockholm80%
    BTTS rate
    Mjallby AIF60%
    AIK Stockholm80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mjallby AIF60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    AIK Stockholm to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    AIK Stockholm2.8
    Avg corners for
    Mjallby AIF5
    AIK Stockholm8.2
    Avg total corners
    Mjallby AIF10.67
    AIK Stockholm2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Mjallby AIF1.67
    AIK Stockholm13.6
    Avg shots
    Mjallby AIF12.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 38% · edge +10.6 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    AIK Stockholm

    LDWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    12 Sep 2026H Vasteras SK FK1-4
    07 Sep 2026A Malmo FF0-0
    30 Aug 2026H Hammarby FF3-2
    16 Aug 2026A Djurgardens IF3-1
    08 Aug 2026A Orgryte IS4-3

    Mjallby AIF

    DLLLW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 6L
    11 Sep 2026A BK Hacken1-1
    07 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg1-4
    03 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2
    31 Aug 2026A Djurgardens IF0-4
    15 Aug 2026H Sirius4-3
    Market aligned with main pickAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6AIK Stockholm wins
    2Draws
    2Mjallby AIF wins
    11 Jul 2026Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm1-2
    20 Jul 2025Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm2-0
    11 May 2025AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF2-1
    11 Aug 2024AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF1-0
    13 Apr 2024Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm1-1
    09 Mar 2024Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm1-3
    Market aligned with main pickAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for AIK Stockholm to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    AIK Stockholm20
    Played
    Mjallby AIF20
    AIK Stockholm1.5
    Avg goals for
    Mjallby AIF1.3
    AIK Stockholm1.6
    Avg goals against
    Mjallby AIF1.7
    AIK Stockholm4
    Clean sheets
    Mjallby AIF4
    Market aligned with main pickAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Season data supports AIK Stockholm to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7AIK Stockholm3220956-2
    12Mjallby AIF2120569-8
    AIK Stockholm sit in position 7, while Mjallby AIF sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the AIK Stockholm to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%AIK Stockholm Over 2.5
    60%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: AIK Stockholm sit at 80% and Mjallby AIF sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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