AFC Fylde

Altrincham

National League | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

AFC Fylde v Altrincham Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 16:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AFC Fylde and Altrincham meet in a National League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and vulnerability at the back. Fylde sits second in the table with a strong goal-scoring record, while Altrincham, positioned twelfth, has also been involved in high-scoring encounters. Recent matches suggest an open game with both teams capable of contributing goals, making this fixture ripe for multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo throughout the 90 minutes.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

AFC Fylde averages 2.6 goals scored per game with 80% of matches going over 2.5 goals.
Altrincham concedes 1.8 goals per game and has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per game across 6 matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
Both teams have high BTTS rates (Fylde 80%, Altrincham 100%), supporting goal involvement from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance compared to the market's 42% implied probability, reflecting a 16% . Both teams have prolific attacking records and leaky defenses, with Fylde’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Altrincham’s perfect 100% rate reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring match. The average of 4 goals in their recent head-to-heads further supports this expectation. No data limitations affect , making this a solid pick for standard stakes.

Model Chance58%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance42%

Strong positive

Value Edge16%

Strong positive

Recent Form GoalsHigh scoring from both sides

Strong positive

Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 4 goals per match

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking game given AFC Fylde's strong scoring form and Altrincham's tendency to concede and participate in high-scoring matches. The data-backed likelihood of multiple goals aligns with tactical patterns of both teams pushing forward, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Both teams have shown a propensity for open play and goal-rich encounters, with their recent meetings consistently producing multiple goals. This match is set to continue that trend, favoring a high-scoring outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

AFC Fylde averages 2.6 goals scored per game with 80% of matches going over 2.5 goals.

Altrincham concedes 1.8 goals per game and has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season.

Head-to-head meetings average 4 goals per game across 6 matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Both teams have high BTTS rates (Fylde 80%, Altrincham 100%), supporting goal involvement from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, indicating a consistent trend of high-scoring encounters.
This recent trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, reinforcing the expectation for Over 2.5 and by extension Over 3.5 Goals in this match.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AFC Fylde2.6

Avg goals scored

Altrincham1.8

AFC Fylde1

Avg goals conceded

Altrincham1.8

AFC Fylde80%

BTTS rate

Altrincham100%

AFC Fylde80%

Over 2.5 goals

Altrincham100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Both teams have high BTTS rates (Fylde 80%, Altrincham 100%) and strong goal averages, indicating that goals are expected from both sides. The combination of Fylde's attacking prowess and Altrincham's defensive vulnerabilities supports a match with multiple goals and frequent scoring exchanges.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

AFC Fylde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Altrincham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Altrincham to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

The Over 3.5 Goals market offers clear value with reflecting a 42% chance, while the model estimates a 58% probability. This substantial suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the bet price-sensitive but attractive for standard stakes.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AFC Fylde

WWDWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 2D 1L

15 Sep 2026A Harrogate Town2-1

12 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town4-1

05 Sep 2026H Worthing2-2

31 Aug 2026A Solihull Moors3-1

28 Aug 2026H Forest Green2-0

Altrincham

WLWWW

Last 54W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 0D 4L

16 Sep 2026H Hartlepool2-1

12 Sep 2026A Woking1-5

04 Sep 2026H Eastleigh2-1

31 Aug 2026A Forest Green2-1

28 Aug 2026H FC Halifax Town2-1

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 82% · edge +0.9 pts

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

AFC Fylde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Altrincham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Altrincham to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Recent form shows AFC Fylde scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while Altrincham scores 1.8 goals and concedes 1.8, with a perfect 100% over 2.5 rate. This form data underscores a strong trend towards high-scoring matches involving both teams.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2AFC Fylde wins

2Draws

2Altrincham wins

22 Feb 2025Altrincham v AFC Fylde1-2

26 Oct 2024AFC Fylde v Altrincham0-5

16 Dec 2023Altrincham v AFC Fylde2-1

28 Aug 2023AFC Fylde v Altrincham3-3

25 Oct 2020AFC Fylde v Altrincham2-1

26 Sep 2020Altrincham v AFC Fylde2-2

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Altrincham to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

The six recent meetings between AFC Fylde and Altrincham have averaged 4 goals per game, demonstrating a historical pattern of goal-rich contests. This strong head-to-head evidence supports the likelihood of multiple goals in the upcoming fixture, validating the Over 3.5 Goals selection.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

AFC Fylde9

Played

Altrincham9

AFC Fylde2.2

Avg goals for

Altrincham1.3

AFC Fylde1.4

Avg goals against

Altrincham1.7

AFC Fylde1

Clean sheets

Altrincham0

Best odds for this sectionAFC Fylde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 67% · edge -0.5 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Altrincham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Altrincham to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

Season-long statistics reveal that AFC Fylde has a potent attack combined with a relatively leaky defense, while Altrincham concedes frequently and participates in matches with multiple goals. These profiles align well with the expectation of Over 3.5 Goals in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	AFC Fylde	17	9	5	2	2	7
10	Altrincham	15	9	5	0	4	-3

AFC Fylde’s second-place standing reflects their strong offensive output, while Altrincham’s twelfth place and points gap suggest defensive frailties. The league positions support a scenario where Fylde pushes for goals and Altrincham’s defense is tested repeatedly, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%AFC Fylde Over 2.5

100%Altrincham Over 2.5

4H2H avg goals

Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, indicating a consistent trend of high-scoring encounters. This recent trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, reinforcing the expectation for Over 2.5 and by extension Over 3.5 Goals in this match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

AFC Fylde v Altrincham Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

AFC Fylde

Altrincham

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Football Stats Hub

AFC Fylde v Altrincham Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

AFC Fylde

Altrincham

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