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ADO Den Haag crestADO Den Haag
v
Fortuna Sittard crestFortuna Sittard

Eredivisie | Sun 06 Sep, 15:45

ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard Stats

Data last updated: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 22:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ADO Den Haag face Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie on Sun 06 Sep, 15:45. That attacking-defensive contrast is the clearest fault line in the fixture. Fortuna Sittard look stronger on recent form, while ADO Den Haag remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 2/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 71%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • ADO Den Haag show a 75% BTTS rate and Fortuna Sittard show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • ADO Den Haag average 1 goals scored and Fortuna Sittard average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 71% implied by the current price. ADO Den Haag show a 75% BTTS rate and Fortuna Sittard show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 71% implied
Neutral
ADO Den Haag show a 75% BTTS rate and Fortuna.Visible data support
Positive
ADO Den Haag average 1 goals scored and Fortuna Sittard.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. ADO Den Haag show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Fortuna Sittard show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

ADO Den Haag show a 75% BTTS rate and Fortuna Sittard show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

ADO Den Haag average 1 goals scored and Fortuna Sittard average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ADO Den Haag1
Avg goals scored
Fortuna Sittard2
ADO Den Haag2.75
Avg goals conceded
Fortuna Sittard1.75
ADO Den Haag75%
BTTS rate
Fortuna Sittard75%
ADO Den Haag75%
Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Sittard75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 75% for ADO Den Haag and 75% for Fortuna Sittard, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Eredivisie analysisADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ADO Den Haag

DLLL
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
30 Aug 2026A Feyenoord2-2
23 Aug 2026A GO Ahead Eagles1-3
16 Aug 2026H Groningen1-4
08 Aug 2026A AZ Alkmaar0-2

Fortuna Sittard

WLWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
28 Aug 2026A Groningen3-2
22 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar0-2
15 Aug 2026H Cambuur3-1
08 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Fortuna Sittard to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
ADO Den Haag to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%ADO Den Haag Over 2.5
75%Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ADO Den Haag sit at 75% and Fortuna Sittard sit at 75% with the H2H average at 2.17 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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