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Aberdeenv
ST MirrenPremiership | Tue 12 May, 19:45
Aberdeen v ST Mirren Stats
BT4Y best bet
Aberdeen to Win
- At 2.1, Aberdeen to Win is priced at roughly 48% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +26.4-point value edge.
- Aberdeen have a recent record of 3W-1D-1L, while ST Mirren come in at 1W-0D-4L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Aberdeen to Win angle: Aberdeen have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Aberdeen to Win angle: ST Mirren have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 48% · edge +26.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Aberdeen Over 2.5
20%ST Mirren Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Aberdeen
WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 3D 4L
09 May 2026H Dundee Utd2-0
01 May 2026A Livingston2-2
25 Apr 2026H Kilmarnock1-0
11 Apr 2026H Hibernian2-0
04 Apr 2026A ST Mirren0-2
ST Mirren
LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 7L
09 May 2026H Kilmarnock0-3
02 May 2026A Dundee0-1
25 Apr 2026H Livingston0-2
11 Apr 2026A Celtic0-1
04 Apr 2026H Aberdeen2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 48% · edge +26.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Aberdeen1.4
Avg goals scoredST Mirren0.4
Aberdeen0.8
Avg goals concededST Mirren1.4
Aberdeen20%
BTTS rateST Mirren0%
Aberdeen20%
Over 2.5 goalsST Mirren20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 52% · edge +12.6 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Aberdeen wins
2Draws
6ST Mirren wins
04 Apr 2026ST Mirren v Aberdeen2-0
03 Dec 2025Aberdeen v ST Mirren3-3
18 Oct 2025ST Mirren v Aberdeen0-1
03 May 2025ST Mirren v Aberdeen1-0
25 Jan 2025Aberdeen v ST Mirren0-3
23 Nov 2024ST Mirren v Aberdeen2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 48% · edge +26.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Aberdeen4.2
Avg corners forST Mirren6
Aberdeen9
Avg total cornersST Mirren10.8
Aberdeen1.6
Avg yellow cardsST Mirren2
Aberdeen11.2
Avg shotsST Mirren11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
J. KarlssonAberdeen · Midfielder
Goal threat61/100
Shots /902.16
SOT /901.12
K. NisbetAberdeen · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /900.9
J. AyungaST Mirren · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /900.98
J. CalvinST Mirren · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.89
SOT /900.95
A. AouchicheAberdeen · Midfielder
Goal threat47/100
Shots /901.9
SOT /900.84
M. LazetićAberdeen · Attacker
Goal threat39/100
Shots /901.2
SOT /900.51
K. TobersAberdeen · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
A. PalaversaAberdeen · Midfielder
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.75
SOT /900.19
Season team stats
Premiership
Aberdeen36
PlayedST Mirren36
Aberdeen1.1
Avg goals forST Mirren0.8
Aberdeen1.4
Avg goals againstST Mirren1.5
Aberdeen10
Clean sheetsST Mirren8
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 48% · edge +26.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -15 |
| 10 | ST Mirren | 30 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -21 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 40 | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -12 |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 30 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -27 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
