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Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone

Premiership | Sat 27 Feb, 15:00

Aberdeen v ST Johnstone Stats

Data last updated: Mon 02 Nov 2026, 20:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face ST Johnstone in Premiership on Sat 27 Feb, 15:00. 5 points from 3 games: Aberdeen enter Sunday's contest unbeaten in their previous three league fixtures. Aberdeen's strong home attacking form and St Johnstone's defensive absences suggest a high-scoring game.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • At 9/10, Over 2 implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with ST Johnstone at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 53% while the model sits nearer 43% (-10.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Over 2 sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Aberdeen and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone, so the goals angle is not just a price call. St Johnstone's Away Struggles Remain a Concern

Main risk

St Johnstone's Away Struggles Remain a Concern.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with ST Johnstone at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 60% for Aberdeen and 60% for ST Johnstone show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aberdeen1.2
Avg goals scored
ST Johnstone1.2
Aberdeen1.4
Avg goals conceded
ST Johnstone1.8
Aberdeen60%
BTTS rate
ST Johnstone60%
Aberdeen40%
Over 2.5 goals
ST Johnstone60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aberdeen

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
28 Oct 2026H Falkirk0-1
24 Oct 2026A Dundee Utd2-3
17 Oct 2026H ST Mirren3-1
11 Oct 2026H ST Johnstone0-1
19 Sep 2026A Hibernian1-1

ST Johnstone

DDLDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Kilmarnock2-2
28 Oct 2026H Motherwell2-2
24 Oct 2026A Rangers0-4
17 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd1-1
11 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Aberdeen Over 2.5
60%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aberdeen sit at 40% and ST Johnstone sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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