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Aalesund crestAalesund
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Viking crestViking

Eliteserien | Sun 26 Jul, 18:15

Aalesund v Viking Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 19:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Viking arrive at Color Line Stadion as Eliteserien leaders, boasting 11 wins in their last 12 league matches and a potent attack that has scored at least twice in nine of their last ten games. Aalesund, positioned 14th, face pressure to improve after conceding six goals in their last outing but have shown attacking promise by scoring 11 goals in their past six matches. The clash pits Viking's relentless offensive rhythm against Aalesund's defensive vulnerabilities and rising scoring form, setting the stage for an intense contest where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Viking have won 11 of their last 12 league matches, scoring 2+ goals in nine of their last 10 games.
  • Aalesund have scored in 5 consecutive matches and both teams have scored in 8 of their last 9 fixtures.
  • Aalesund have conceded 28 goals this season, the second-highest in the league, while Viking have kept only 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, supporting a high-scoring game scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Viking to win with both teams scoring, reflecting Viking's dominant offensive form and Aalesund's improved scoring despite defensive frailties. Viking's consistent goal output combined with Aalesund's tendency to concede and score aligns well with this selection. The of 2.5 offer a positive of 10.5%, indicating the market underestimates the likelihood of this outcome. No data limitations affect , supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Viking's recent form11 wins in 12 league matches with frequent multiple goals
Strong positive
Aalesund's scoring consistencyScored in 5 consecutive matches and BTTS in 8 of last 9
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesAalesund conceded 28 goals; Viking kept only 3 clean sheets
Positive
Market value edge10.5% positive edge at 2.5 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Viking's relentless attacking form and league-leading momentum make them strong favorites to win, while Aalesund's improved scoring ensures goals at both ends. Tactical discipline from Viking's midfield and attacking efficiency should secure victory, but Aalesund's home resilience and offensive threat guarantee a competitive, goal-filled match.

Main risk

Defending deeper may reduce space behind the back line, but inviting Viking to dominate for 90 minutes would be a dangerous strategy.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal-scoring dynamics

“Viking's high-tempo attack combined with Aalesund's recent scoring surge sets up a dynamic encounter where both teams are expected to find the net, making the combined win and BTTS bet a compelling choice.”

Key Data Signals

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Viking have won 11 of their last 12 league matches, scoring 2+ goals in nine of their last 10 games.

Aalesund have scored in 5 consecutive matches and both teams have scored in 8 of their last 9 fixtures.

Aalesund have conceded 28 goals this season, the second-highest in the league, while Viking have kept only 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, supporting a high-scoring game scenario.

What To Watch In The Data

Viking to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have an 80% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.3 goals per game in their head-to-head meetings.
  • This trend indicates a fast-paced, open game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations for a goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aalesund1.6
Avg goals scored
Viking2.4
Aalesund2.4
Avg goals conceded
Viking1.4
Aalesund100%
BTTS rate
Viking80%
Aalesund80%
Over 2.5 goals
Viking80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have consistently found the net recently, with Aalesund scoring in all of their last five matches and BTTS occurring in eight of their last nine. Viking's matches frequently feature multiple goals, with eight of their last ten games exceeding two and a half goals, supporting a high-scoring game with goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Aalesund v Vikingcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Viking Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The of 2.5 for Viking to win with both teams scoring reflect a market that values Viking's control but slightly underestimates Aalesund's scoring ability. The model's 50.5% chance versus a 40% implied probability indicates a positive value opportunity, justifying the selection with a standard stake recommendation.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aalesund6
Avg corners for
Viking7.75
Aalesund12.4
Avg total corners
Viking11.25
Aalesund1.2
Avg yellow cards
Viking3.25
Aalesund16.8
Avg shots
Viking13.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 69% · edge -0.4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams generate solid attacking pressure, with Aalesund averaging 16.8 shots and 6 corners per game, while Viking averages 13.4 shots and 7 corners. Viking's higher yellow card average (3 per game) suggests aggressive play, which could lead to set-piece opportunities and influence match tempo and discipline.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aalesund

LDDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
16 Jul 2026A Valerenga1-6
11 Jul 2026H Molde2-2
29 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-2
25 May 2026A Tromso1-1
20 May 2026H Brann2-1

Viking

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
22 Jul 2026A Lillestrom2-1
18 Jul 2026H Sandefjord2-1
12 Jul 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF0-1
24 May 2026A Kristiansund BK2-1
16 May 2026H Start6-3
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Viking Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Viking's form is exceptional, winning 11 of 12 league matches and scoring multiple goals in most, while Aalesund have improved offensively, scoring 11 goals in their last six matches despite defensive struggles. Both teams' recent matches frequently feature goals at both ends, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring contest with Viking prevailing.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Aalesund wins
2Draws
6Viking wins
18 Mar 2026Viking v Aalesund1-2
25 Jun 2025Aalesund v Viking0-1
26 Nov 2023Aalesund v Viking0-4
24 Jul 2023Viking v Aalesund3-1
02 Oct 2022Aalesund v Viking2-1
10 Apr 2022Viking v Aalesund1-0
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The ten previous meetings between Aalesund and Viking have averaged 3.3 goals per game, with both teams regularly scoring. While Viking have historically held the upper hand, Aalesund's recent 2-1 victory in March 2026 demonstrates their capability to challenge the leaders, making the head-to-head record supportive but not decisive for the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Eliteserien

Aalesund14
Played
Viking14
Aalesund1.4
Avg goals for
Viking2.4
Aalesund2.1
Avg goals against
Viking1
Aalesund0
Clean sheets
Viking4
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Viking Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Aalesund's season has been marked by defensive frailty, conceding 28 goals, the second-highest in the league, while Viking lead the division with a potent attack but only three clean sheets. This contrast underpins the expectation of goals for both sides and Viking's ability to outscore opponents consistently.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Viking3414111220
13Aalesund1314275-10
Viking top the Eliteserien with 33 points from 13 matches, reflecting their control and title credentials. Aalesund sit 14th with 12 points, fighting relegation pressure. The standings highlight the stakes for both teams: Viking to consolidate their lead and Aalesund to secure vital points, adding intensity to the fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Aalesund Over 2.5
80%Viking Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have an 80% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.3 goals per game in their head-to-head meetings. This trend indicates a fast-paced, open game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations for a goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Aalesund v Viking prediction

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