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Venezia vs Fiorentina: Pressure Builds as Winless Sides Search for a Response. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Fiorentina's recent 39 shots on goal across two matches provide a solid attacking foundation despite scoring only once. Venezia's defence has conceded seven goals in three league games and suffers key injuries, making both teams likely to score. Fiorentina's superior chance creation and Venezia's defensive frailty support a Fiorentina win with goals at both ends.
A 2-1 Fiorentina win fits their high shot volume and Venezia's defensive gaps. Venezia's recent scoring and Fiorentina's conceded goals make this scoreline realistic, though correct-score bets are fragile to any score changes or clean sheets.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Venezia v Fiorentina.
Venezia and Fiorentina arrive at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo with the same uncomfortable league record: three matches, three defeats and no points.
Venezia vs Fiorentina — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Fiorentina's recent losses contrast with Venezia's similar record, but Fiorentina's attack offers a winning edge.
Venezia and Fiorentina both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
Venezia and Fiorentina look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Venezia and Fiorentina show similar overall levels, making execution more important than raw form.
Three Punchy Stats
- Fiorentina have taken 39 efforts at goal across their last two matches but scored only once, highlighting a striking gap between attacking volume and finishing return.
- Venezia have conceded seven goals in their opening three Serie A games, a worrying record before facing opponents who are at least producing frequent attempts.
- Fifteen goals have been scored across Venezia’s first five matches in all competitions, while four consecutive defeats underline how often those open games have worked against them.
Scoring Rate Comparison
Recent attacking records for Venezia and Fiorentina are shown below.
Clean Sheet Comparison
Recent defensive records for Venezia and Fiorentina are shown below.
The similarities largely end there.
Venezia’s struggles follow promotion from Serie B, while Fiorentina’s start has already cost Fabio Grosso his job. Paolo Vanoli now returns to steady a side rebuilt heavily during the summer but beaten by Roma, Frosinone and Torino. For all the attention on Fiorentina’s results, though, their recent attacking volume suggests this may not be quite as hopeless as the table makes it look.
Fiorentina’s problem is turning pressure into reward
The raw scoring return is grim. Fiorentina have managed only one Serie A goal, conceding nine across three defeats. A 4-0 loss at Roma was followed by a 3-0 home defeat to Frosinone before Torino left Florence with a 2-1 victory.
Yet the last two matches deserve closer inspection. Fiorentina have produced 39 efforts on goal across those games, substantial attacking volume for a side with so little to show for it.
That contrast is central to this fixture. There is evidence of a team capable of generating pressure, but almost none yet that they can convert it efficiently. Mateo Pellegrino’s strike from outside the box against Torino finally opened their league account, and Vanoli must now find more reliable output from a squad containing several recent arrivals.
Beto and Wilfried Gnonto made their debuts last weekend, while Alieu Njie also featured. The potential starting choice between Beto and Pellegrino gives the new coach an immediate decision at the sharp end of the pitch.
Venezia have finally found some attacking life
Venezia’s league campaign began with successive 2-0 defeats to Lecce and Milan, leaving them scoreless after two rounds. Their 3-2 loss at Frosinone was therefore significant despite the result.
John Yeboah and Richie Sagrado scored as Giovanni Stroppa’s side mounted a second-half comeback before conceding a late winner. The defeat extended Venezia’s losing run in all competitions to four matches, but at least demonstrated an attacking response that had previously been missing.
There have been 15 goals across Venezia’s opening five matches in all competitions, suggesting their early season has not lacked incident. The less encouraging detail is that they have already conceded seven in three league games.
Against a Fiorentina side generating plenty of attempts, that defensive record is difficult to ignore.
Personnel problems add to Venezia’s challenge
Stroppa also has more availability concerns to manage. Marin Sverko, Bartol Franjic and Andrea Adorante remain injured, Toma Basic is doubtful and Armel Bella-Kotchap suffered a muscular problem last week.
Pasquale Mazzocchi and Juan Jesus are expected to make the bench despite being short of full fitness.
Fiorentina’s injury situation is comparatively lighter, with Fabiano Parisi the only confirmed long-term absentee. Their bigger uncertainty is structural rather than physical: Vanoli has inherited a squad changed substantially over the summer and must decide how much to alter immediately.
A match defined by vulnerability
Neither defence has offered much reassurance. Venezia have conceded seven league goals; Fiorentina have shipped nine. Both have already been beaten by Frosinone, while neither has managed a clean sheet.
The difference is that Fiorentina’s recent shot volume offers a potential route out of their slump. If those 39 efforts reflect sustainable attacking pressure rather than sterile accumulation, Venezia’s defensive problems give Vanoli an obvious opportunity to produce an immediate improvement.
Venezia, meanwhile, can take encouragement from finally scoring twice last weekend. Their own route into the contest is equally clear: Fiorentina have yet to show they can protect themselves consistently.
Other opportunities in this market
- Both Teams to Score YES (4/7): Settles as winning if both Venezia and Fiorentina score at least once, regardless of the match winner. It trades the higher odds of the combined win-and-BTTS market for coverage of 1-1 or 2-2 draws.
- Fiorentina to Win (7/5): Requires Fiorentina to lead after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This market removes the requirement for Venezia to score, covering clean-sheet victories like 1-0 or 2-0 at a shorter price.
- Over 2.5 Goals (4/5): Wins if the match contains three or more total goals, regardless of which side scores them. It offers broader scoreline coverage than an exact 1-2 selection but loses on 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, or 2-0 scorelines.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Fiorentina to win and both teams to score. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Venezia vs Fiorentina 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Fiorentina to win and both teams to score @ 16/5
Fiorentina enter this contest searching for a turnaround under new manager Paolo Vanoli after losing three consecutive league matches, but their recent chance generation provides a strong foundation for an away victory. Across recent defeats to Frosinone and Torino, Fiorentina accumulated 39 attempts on goal, demonstrating substantial attacking volume despite scoring just once through Mateo Pellegrino. Facing a Venezia defence that has already conceded seven times in three Serie A outings, Vanoli’s side possess the raw platform needed to breach the home backline repeatedly.
Venezia offer their own threat after breaking a two-game scoring drought during a 3-2 defeat at Frosinone. Goals from John Yeboah and Richie Sagrado showed that Giovanni Stroppa’s side can construct scoring moments, and their matches have averaged high goal counts, with 15 total goals across five games in all competitions. However, Venezia’s defensive setup remains severely depleted by injuries to Marin Sverko, Bartol Franjic, and Armel Bella-Kotchap. That defensive instability, paired with Fiorentina conceding nine goals in three games, creates clear conditions for both sides to score.
The main counterpoint is Fiorentina’s poor finishing return, having managed only one Serie A goal despite their high shot volume. Additionally, Venezia have lost four straight games in all competitions, proving vulnerable when matches open up. Combining a Fiorentina win with both teams scoring reflects Fiorentina’s superior attacking numbers alongside the defensive leaks present in both backlines.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Fiorentina produced 39 total efforts on goal across their last two league matches against Frosinone and Torino.
- Venezia have conceded seven goals across their opening three Serie A fixtures.
- Fifteen total goals have been scored across Venezia's five matches in all competitions this season.
Risk Factor: If Fiorentina fail to convert chances or Venezia fail to score, the combined selection will not succeed.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Registered 39 efforts on goal across their last two Serie A matches, demonstrating sustained forward pressure.
Conceded 7 goals in 3 league games, exacerbated by injuries to Sverko, Franjic, and Bella-Kotchap.
⚔️ Pick 2: Venezia vs Fiorentina 1-2 @ 7/1
A 2-1 victory for Fiorentina aligns directly with the underlying figures produced by both teams over their opening three league fixtures. Fiorentina’s total of 39 attempts on goal across their last two outings against Frosinone and Torino indicates that creating chances has not been their primary issue. Against a Venezia defence missing key personnel in Marin Sverko and Armel Bella-Kotchap, and one that has conceded seven goals already this season, Fiorentina have a realistic path to scoring twice in normal time.
Justifying Venezia’s single goal relies on their recent attacking response and Fiorentina’s defensive record. After going scoreless in their opening two league games against Lecce and Milan, Venezia mounted a second-half revival against Frosinone, scoring twice through John Yeboah and Richie Sagrado. Fiorentina have conceded nine goals in three league matches, failing to keep a single clean sheet under former boss Fabio Grosso or in recent outings. Venezia’s improved output makes a home goal plausible against a visiting defence that has struggled for stability.
While a 1-2 scoreline provides a realistic reflection of Fiorentina’s attacking volume meeting Venezia’s defensive absences, correct-score selections remain inherently fragile. A single additional goal from either side, or a defensive shutout by Fiorentina, would defeat the bet. Nevertheless, 1-2 offers a coherent match story based on supplied metrics.
Risk Factor: Correct score bets fail if an extra goal is scored, a clean sheet occurs, or the match draws.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does "Fiorentina to win and both teams to score" mean?
Fiorentina must win and Venezia must score at least once for the bet to win.
Why is a 1-2 correct score plausible?
Fiorentina's 39 shots and Venezia's 7 conceded goals support a 1-2 scoreline.
Why is Fiorentina favoured despite zero points?
Fiorentina's higher shot volume suggests better chances to break their losing streak.
How do Venezia's defensive injuries affect the match?
Injuries weaken Venezia's defence, increasing chances for Fiorentina to score.
What is the difference between Over 2.5 Goals and 1-2 correct score?
Over 2.5 covers any 3+ goal result; 1-2 requires that exact scoreline.
Do Serie A bets include extra time?
Bets settle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time does not count.
