bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Will Torino’s defensive struggles continue or can Bologna break their losing streak in Turin? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Torino have conceded a league-high 42 goals this season, showing significant defensive vulnerability. Despite their struggles, they remain dangerous on the counter. Bologna average over 15 shots per game and possess high attacking volume. With both defences looking shaky lately, both sides are likely to find the net.
Read Rationale ▾
Both teams are desperate for a result following poor runs of form. Torino recently relied on a late equaliser to draw, while Bologna have struggled to protect leads. Given their similar standings and high motivation to avoid another defeat, a competitive 1-1 stalemate appears a plausible outcome.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Sunday evening in Turin has the feel of a reset button both sides desperately need. Torino sit 13th on 27 points, Bologna are 10th on 30, and the gap is small enough to swing with one sharp performance.
Torino vs Bologna — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample BetMGM odds based on our match analysis.
Bologna’s superior shot volume and ball control make them slight favourites against a Torino side with the league’s worst defensive record.
Torino’s defensive unravelling (42 conceded) suggests goals are likely despite both teams currently struggling to find league wins.
Bologna’s higher attacking volume (15.18 shots) against Torino’s weak structure points towards a 2-1 result as a plausible outcome.
Bologna’s 56% possession average reflects a team that dictate tempo, which could tire out a Torino side that relies on duels.
Match Preview
The mood? Grim. Torino needed a stoppage-time equaliser from Guillermo Maripán to dodge another defeat at Fiorentina, and their back line has been taking punches all season. Bologna arrive battered too — out of the cup and beaten four straight times in the league — yet they still play like a team that wants the ball and wants to dictate. Kick-off is 17:00, and it has the look of a fixture where one clean moment could finally stop the bleeding.
Defensive Comparison: Goals Conceded
A look at the total goals shipped by both sides, highlighting Torino’s league-high defensive struggles.
Torino’s structure has creaked throughout the campaign, allowing more goals than any other Serie A side.
Bologna remain significantly more secure defensively than their hosts despite a recent run of league defeats.
Attacking Volume: Shots per Match
Bologna’s possession-heavy game leads to higher shot volume compared to Torino’s counter-attacking approach.
Bologna’s control of the ball (56%) allows them to manufacture a high number of scoring opportunities.
Torino rely on quick transitions and direct play to generate their attempts on goal.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Torino Absences
- A. Ismajli (hamstring injury) — out until 17.02.2026
- Z. Savva (knee surgery)
- Rafael Burguera (calf injury)
Bologna Absences
No absences listed.
Probable Torino XI (Marco Baroni)
Paleari; Marianucci, Maripán, Coco; Pedersen, Ilkhan, Casadei, Lazaro; Vlasic; Adams, Simeone
Probable Bologna XI (Vincenzo Italiano)
Skorupski; Mario, Casale, Lucumi, Miranda; Freuler, Ferguson; Orsolini, Odgaard, Rowe; Castro
Selection Impact
- Torino losing Ismajli narrows Baroni’s options in a defence already shipping chances — and this is a side that struggles to protect a lead.
- Bologna’s front four carries real punch: Riccardo Orsolini (7) and Santiago Castro (6) bring goals, while Jonathan Rowe and Jens Odgaard can pull defenders out of shape.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Torino | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 10th |
| Points (matches) | 27 (24) | 30 (24) |
| Goals scored | 24 | 32 CLINICAL |
| Goals conceded | 42 | 31 |
| Avg shots per game | 12.14 | 15.18 |
| Possession | 45% | 56% |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 8 |
| Corners (total) | 120 | 193 |
| Yellow cards (total) | 54 | 66 |
This screams contrast. Bologna create more volume (15.18 shots per game) and keep it better (56% possession, 83% pass accuracy). Torino are more direct, still get attempts away (12.14), but the concession count (42) is the flashing warning light — they don’t just concede, they unravel.
Tactical Battle
Bologna’s control game: keep it, stretch it, hit from range
Bologna are built to dominate the ball. Italiano’s side lean into possession football with width, and they’re comfortable moving opponents around before accelerating. With 193 corners across their schedule sample and a strength in attacking set pieces, they don’t need every move to be perfect — pressure alone can manufacture chances. Watch their left-sided tilt too. Bologna like attacking down the left, mixing long balls and crosses, then recycling quickly to keep Torino pinned. If Miranda and the wide men can keep Torino’s wing-backs facing their own goal, Torino’s midfield gets dragged into ugly covering runs.
Torino’s response: counter, crash the box, win duels
Torino’s strengths are clear: counter attacks are very strong, they’re strong at creating chances, and they win aerial duels. They want this match to break. They’ll happily let Bologna have sterile possession, then spring forward quickly into the channels and the inside spaces. The front pairing of Ché Adams and Giovanni Simeone gives Baroni runners who will take early shots and attack second balls. Add Vlasic underneath — 5 goals and 3 assists — and Torino can hurt teams even without dominating the ball.
Quick Hits
- Defensive Meltdown: Torino have conceded a league-high 42 goals, including a brutal 6-0 loss to Como, and they’ve let leads slip even when points looked safe.
- Bologna’s Spiral: Bologna have lost their last four Serie A matches and have managed just one win in their last 12 league games — pressure football, not comfort football.
- Ball-Hog vs Breakaway: Bologna average 56% possession with 83% pass accuracy, while Torino sit at 45% and love counters — a clash of control versus chaos.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces and corners: Bologna rack up corners (193) and are strong attacking dead balls. Torino need to defend the first contact, then the second one too.
- Transitions after Torino attacks: Torino are very weak defending counter-attacks — if their wing-backs get caught high, Bologna’s wide men can fly into the space.
- Discipline and duels: Torino commit 414 fouls and Bologna 489 across the listed schedule sample — this could be stop-start, with plenty of cheap free-kicks and broken rhythm.
- The late-game factor: Torino just relied on a stoppage-time goal from Maripán last week. If it’s tight late on, they’ve already shown they’ll keep swinging.
What Could Go Wrong?
Torino’s confidence can evaporate fast when they concede — and with 42 allowed, that fear is real. Bologna, though, are carrying a league losing streak and can unravel when protecting a lead or making individual errors. If one side gifts the first goal through a sloppy moment, the match could turn from tactical chess into pure survival football in seconds.
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
This market requires both teams to find the net at least once during the 90 minutes. It is a popular choice for matches involving high-volume attacking sides or vulnerable defences.
Pros: Keeps the bet alive until the final whistle. Cons: A single clinical defensive display can ruin the pick.
Correct Score Market
A higher-risk market where you must predict the exact final scoreline. This offers significantly better prices than match result bets due to the difficulty of precision.
Pros: Excellent potential returns. Cons: Highly volatile; a late goal often changes the entire outcome.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Strong in the air and creative with counter attacks to catch opponents out of shape.
Prone to unravelling when protecting leads and vulnerable to skilful direct runners.
🎯 Why Both Teams Are Likely to Score
Torino enter this fixture with the worst defensive record in Serie A, having shipped 42 goals across their campaign. This includes unravelling in major defeats and showing a consistent inability to maintain structure when the game tempo increases. They are particularly weak when defending counter-attacks, which plays directly into the hands of a Bologna side that averages over 15 shots per game and dictates play with 56% possession. Bologna possess significant individual quality in forward areas, with Orsolini and Castro providing a constant goal threat.
However, Bologna’s own defensive frailties cannot be ignored. They have lost four consecutive league matches and often struggle when forced to protect a lead. Torino remain a very strong counter-attacking force and excel at winning aerial duels in the opposition box. With the creative influence of Vlasic supporting runners like Simeone and Adams, Torino have the tools to punish a Bologna back line that is prone to individual errors. Given both sides are desperate to end poor runs and possess clear attacking strengths against vulnerable defences, goals at both ends are a high-probability outcome.
Risk Factor: A low-confidence, cagey start could lead to a stalemate if both managers prioritise defensive security early on.
📊 The Logic Behind a 1-1 Draw
Predicting a 1-1 draw is based on the current fragility of both clubs. Torino have developed a habit of letting leads slip but have also shown the resilience to fight back late in games, as evidenced by their recent stoppage-time equaliser. Their defensive record is poor, but they remain competitive enough at home to avoid being completely overwhelmed. Bologna dictate play and create volume but are currently in a spiral of four straight league defeats, suggesting a lack of clinical edge when it matters most to secure three points.
When two teams in poor form meet, a shared point often becomes the natural result as the match progresses. Bologna’s technical superiority in midfield allows them to control the ball, but Torino’s strength in aerial duels and set-piece situations provides a route back into the game even when they are not dominating. Both sides have shown they are weak at protecting leads, making a single-goal margin difficult to maintain. A 1-1 scoreline reflects the tactical clash between Bologna’s control and Torino’s chaotic counters, with neither side currently confident enough to shut the door completely.
Risk Factor: Torino’s tendency to concede in clusters could see the game open up if an early goal is scored.
⚔️ Torino vs Bologna Q&A
⊕What does Both Teams to Score mean?
⊕Why is Torino’s defence a concern?
⊕How does Bologna’s possession impact the game?
⊕What is a Correct Score bet?
⊕Are there any major injuries for this match?
⊕Why is a draw considered likely?
⊕What are Torino’s tactical strengths?
⊕Who are the key players for Bologna?
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply. Remember to set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when the fun stops. Be responsible with your play.
Last Odds Update: Feb 10, 14:20 GMT | View our Editorial Policy
