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Two teams stuck in the mud: who lands the first punch at Mapei Stadium — Grosso’s Sassuolo or Nicola’s Cremonese? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Both teams are currently on a seven-game winless run. Sassuolo haven’t scored in three straight league games, while Cremonese have failed to find the net in their last four away trips. This lack of firepower makes a low-scoring match at the Mapei the most likely outcome.
Read Rationale ▾
With both sides struggling for any offensive rhythm and stuck on 23 points, avoiding defeat is the priority. Given the specific goal droughts—Sassuolo’s three-match blank and Cremonese’s away sterility—a stalemate where neither side can break the deadlock represents high value based on current trends.
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Sassuolo vs Cremonese Predictions and Best Bets
Sassuolo vs Cremonese — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Informational layout showing implied market outcomes based on current pricing at the Mapei Stadium.
Sassuolo are established as favourites at home despite their goal drought, with Cremonese seen as the outsiders.
Market sentiment heavily leans toward a low-scoring game given the current form of both attacking units.
- Bold goal drought warning: Sassuolo have lost their last three league matches 3-0, 2-0 and 1-0, and they’ve failed to score in four of the last six since a 2-2 draw with Milan.
- Bold away attack problem: Cremonese haven’t scored in their last four away Serie A games, a brutal stat in a fixture where confidence is already fragile.
- Bold discipline and chaos factor: Sassuolo average 2.13 yellow cards per game (49 total) to Cremonese’s 2.00 (44 total), with reds at 1 vs 2 — this has edge, and edges can decide it.
Defensive Stability: Total Goals Conceded
Both teams share an identical defensive record this season, highlighting a core similarity in their struggles to remain clean.
Discipline Tracking: Season Yellow Cards
Tensions have been high for both clubs, resulting in a significant accumulation of bookings across their 2026 fixtures.
Sunday morning at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, and it’s a fixture that screams pressure. Sassuolo and Cremonese are both winless in their last seven Serie A matches, both stuck on 23 points, and both desperate to stop the slide before it turns into panic. Kick-off is 11:30 am, and the mood should feel edgy from the first whistle.
For Fabio Grosso, the frustration is sharp: Sassuolo have lost four in that seven-game run and arrive off three straight defeats — all without scoring. For Davide Nicola, Cremonese’s problem is blunt: they’re drawing plenty, but away from home the attack has gone silent. Something has to give — or this turns into a tug-of-war with nobody winning.
Team News & Lineups
Sassuolo absences
- I. Koné (unknown injury)
- E. Pieragnolo (cruciate ligament injury, out until 06.04.2026)
- F. Candé (cruciate ligament tear, out until 30.06.2026)
- K. Thorstvedt (shoulder injury)
Cremonese absences
- No injuries/suspensions listed.
Probable Lineups
Sassuolo: Muric; Walukiewicz, Izdes, Muharemovic, Doig; Lipani, Matic, Vranckx; Fadera, Pinamonti, Lauriente
Cremonese: Audero; Ceccherini, Baschirotto, Bianchetti; Barbieri, Bondo, Grassi, Vandeputte, Terracciano; Bonazzoli, Vardy
What it means
Sassuolo look set for a front three built around output — Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Laurienté, and pace/support from Alieu Fadera — but injuries in midfield/defensive areas raise the stakes for their structure. Cremonese’s shape leans into wing-back width and two forwards, with Jamie Vardy and Federico Bonazzoli offering direct, penalty-box threat if service arrives.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Serie A) | Sassuolo | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 13th |
| Points | 23 | 23 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 28 |
| Shots per game | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| Possession | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| Pass accuracy | 82.1% | 78.1% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 |
| Yellow cards (total) | 49 | 44 |
These numbers don’t hint at a neat possession contest — they hint at a scrap. Possession is basically even, but Sassuolo shoot more and concede the same, while Cremonese’s slightly stronger clean-sheet count suggests they’re more comfortable locking games down. The big question: can either side turn territory into something real in the box?
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Sassuolo’s left-lane threat vs their own soft underbelly
Sassuolo’s style points to one clear route: attacking down the left. If Laurienté gets early touches and Doig overlaps, that’s where Mapei could finally see some aggression again. And Sassuolo do have match-winning tools on paper: they’re strong at finishing scoring chances, strong at protecting the lead, and they’ve got a set-piece weapon too — shooting from direct free kicks.
But here’s the catch: their weaknesses read like a checklist of ways to self-sabotage. Sassuolo struggle with individual errors, defending counter attacks, defending through balls, and even avoiding fouls in dangerous areas. When you’re already not scoring — three straight league defeats without a goal — you cannot hand gifts to the opponent.
Cremonese’s width, long balls, and the “keep it simple” plan
Cremonese lean into attacking down the right, playing with width, and going direct with long balls and long shots. It’s not pretty, but it can be effective when both teams are anxious. If they can pull Sassuolo’s back line side-to-side, the wing-backs can turn this into a constant stream of deliveries and second balls.
Their own issues are serious, though. Cremonese are weak at keeping possession, weak in aerial duels, and they’re very weak at stopping opponents from creating chances. That makes this a risky away day if Sassuolo’s front three click. The other red flag is obvious: Cremonese haven’t scored in their last four away league games. That puts extra weight on moments — one good cross, one rebound, one messy box touch from Vardy or Bonazzoli.
The key mismatch
This is less “chess match” and more “who blinks first”. Sassuolo create more shot volume, Cremonese keep more clean sheets. The winner is likely the side that keeps errors out of their own game — because both have a habit of inviting trouble.
Key Moments to Watch
- First goal tension: Sassuolo’s average first goal time is 42’, Cremonese’s is 50’ — this could feel tight and twitchy before it opens.
- Set-piece danger zones: Sassuolo’s free-kick threat meets Cremonese’s tendency to foul in dangerous areas — and that’s exactly the sort of moment that flips a winless run.
- Wide battles: Cremonese’s width and right-side attacks will test Sassuolo’s focus, especially with Sassuolo vulnerable to through balls and counter attacks.
- Goalkeeper influence: Emil Audero carries a 7.11 rating with 4 Man of the Match awards, while Arijanet Muric sits on 7.04 — keepers could end up writing the story.
What could go wrong?
If the game stays scoreless for too long, both sides can start playing not to lose rather than to win — and that’s when bad habits return. Sassuolo’s run includes three straight defeats and a recent pattern of failing to score; Cremonese’s away goal drought is even louder. One mistake, one rash challenge, one sloppy pass out — and the anxiety could turn this into a frantic, messy finish.
Best Bet for Sassuolo vs Cremonese
Can the league’s quietest attacks find a voice at the Mapei?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Scoring | Sass 0 goals in 3; Crem 0 goals in 4 away | Under 2.5 |
| History | Both winless in last 7 matches | Draw |
| Defense | Both teams conceded 28 goals | BTTS: No |
| Shooting | Sass 10.6 shots; Crem 8.5 shots | Under 1.5 FH |
Under 2.5 Goals
The clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese is defined by a complete lack of offensive momentum for both sides. Entering this fixture, both teams are tied on 23 points and have failed to win any of their last seven Serie A matches. This shared stagnation creates an environment where neither side possesses the confidence to attack with fluidity, leading to a high probability of a low-scoring affair.
Sassuolo are in a particularly dire scoring rut. They have lost their last three league matches without finding the net once, failing to score in four of their last six games overall. The absence of creative influence due to injuries to players like Thorstvedt leaves Pinamonti isolated. While they average more shots per game than their opponents, their recent efficiency is non-existent, and the pressure of a seven-match winless run often results in tentative, risk-averse play.
Cremonese are equally blunt when playing away from home. They haven’t scored a goal in their last four away league matches, a statistic that underscores their struggle to transition from midfield to the penalty area. Davide Nicola’s side relies heavily on long balls and direct play, but with Jamie Vardy and Bonazzoli lacking consistent service, they are likely to focus on defensive solidity to ensure they don’t leave the Mapei empty-handed.
The tactical battle suggests a match where the first goal—if it arrives—will be defensive-focused. Sassuolo’s average time for a first goal is 42 minutes, while Cremonese’s is 50 minutes. This indicates a very slow start to proceedings. With both teams desperate to stop their slide, a cagey, defensive-first approach is inevitable, making the Under 2.5 market the most secure play based on the current scoring droughts.
What could go wrong?
Sassuolo’s defensive structure is prone to individual errors and struggles against through balls. If Cremonese manages to exploit one of these defensive lapses early via a direct Jamie Vardy run, it could force Sassuolo to abandon their cautious approach and chase the game, potentially opening the floodgates for more goals.
Correct Score Lean
Sassuolo 0-0 Cremonese
The logic for a goalless draw is rooted in the mathematical collision of two sterile attacks. Sassuolo have failed to score in three straight games, and Cremonese have a four-game away scoring drought. Both teams are level on 23 points and are more concerned with stopping their losing streaks than taking offensive risks. With clean sheet counts of 5 and 7 respectively, both defenses are capable of holding firm against attacks that currently lack any clinical edge. A stalemate is the natural result when two teams in this specific form meet under high-pressure conditions.
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