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Can Parma capitalise on their home advantage to secure a vital victory against a struggling Cremonese side? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Parma are in superior form, taking 11 points from their last six matches. In contrast, Cremonese have lost six consecutive away games and struggle for goals on the road. The hosts’ defensive stability and aerial dominance through Pellegrino should be enough to overcome a vulnerable visiting side.
Read Rationale ▾
Both teams struggle for high scoring volume, with Parma scoring just 21 goals all season. Cremonese average only 0.73 goals per away game. A low-margin victory for the hosts is likely, as Parma have a sturdy defensive record and are facing an attack that has failed to fire.
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Parma step into this fixture with a chance to put real distance between themselves and the bottom end of the table, sitting ten points above an 18th-placed Cremonese side under heavy pressure.
Parma vs Cremonese — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Parma have lost only once in their last six matches, whereas Cremonese have been beaten in five of their last six games.
With Parma scoring only 21 goals in 29 matches, this fixture suggests a low-scoring tactical battle at the Tardini.
Cremonese score just 0.73 goals per away game, making a 1-0 Parma win a highly statistical possibility tonight.
Parma have registered 11 clean sheets this season compared to 8 for Cremonese, highlighting the hosts’ superior defensive organisation.
Match Preview: Parma vs Cremonese
Parma step into this fixture with a chance to put real distance between themselves and the bottom end of the table. They sit 12th on 34 points, six places and ten points above 18th-placed Cremonese, and their recent run has carried far more stability than their visitors’.
Cremonese arrive under pressure, and not the quiet sort. Marco Giampaolo takes charge needing an instant response from a side that has taken heavy damage in recent weeks, conceding 11 goals in their last five matches while scoring only two. Parma, now led by Carlos Cuesta, are hardly free-flowing, but they have been far harder to beat.
Kick-off is at 14:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini, where this game carries real tension. Parma want breathing room. Cremonese want a way out.
Match Tempo: Season Scoring Average
Both sides have maintained low scoring records throughout the campaign, contributing to a controlled tactical expectation.
Parma have prioritised defensive structure, resulting in a low goal output per fixture.
The visitors have struggled for consistent finishing, averaging less than one goal per match.
Defensive Comparison: Clean Sheets
Defensive reliability has been a key differentiator between the two clubs this season.
Their ability to shut out opponents has been a pillar of their mid-table stability.
Despite some resistance, Cremonese have conceded 44 goals across the campaign.
- Form split: Parma have taken 11 points from their last six matches, losing only once in that spell, while Cremonese have collected just one point and have been beaten in five of those six games.
- Away-day alarm: Cremonese have lost their last six away league matches, and they are scoring just 0.73 goals per away game, which gives this trip a very uncomfortable shape from the first whistle.
- Low-margin fixture: Parma have scored only 21 goals in 29 Serie A matches, while Cremonese have scored 23, so this looks less like a shootout and more like a match decided by one sharp passage.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Team News
- Parma are without Adrián Bernabé Garcia, who is dealing with groin problems.
- Pontus Almqvist is out with a hamstring strain.
- Benjamín Cremaschi is sidelined by a meniscus injury.
- M. Frigan is out with a cruciate ligament tear.
- No Cremonese absences are listed in the match facts supplied.
Probable Parma Lineup
Suzuki
Circati, Troilo, Valenti
Britschgi, Sorensen, Keita, Ordonez, Valeri
Pellegrino, Strefezza
Probable Cremonese Lineup
Audero
Terracciano, Ceccherini, Luperto
Barbieri, Thorsby, Vandeputte, Maleh, Pezzella
Djuric, Bonazzoli
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Parma | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| Serie A position | 12th | 18th |
| Points | 34 | 24 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 36 | 44 |
| Shots per game | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| Possession | 44.6% | 45.2% |
| Pass success | 80.3% | 77.6% |
| Clean sheets | 11 STURDY | 8 |
Tactical Battle: Parma vs Cremonese
Parma’s width against Cremonese’s weak spots
Parma’s best route looks obvious. They play with width, attempt crosses often and take plenty of shots. That matters because Cremonese are weak at defending attacks down the wings, weak at stopping opponents from creating chances and weak at defending set pieces.
That combination should encourage Parma to stretch the pitch early. Valeri and Britschgi can push the game wide, while Pellegrino gives them a target in the middle. His 3.5 aerials won per game is a major detail here. Parma do not need to overcomplicate this. They can go wide, deliver early and ask Cremonese’s back line to survive repeat stress.
Cremonese will try to make it scrappy
Cremonese also play with width, but their style is more forceful and more fractured. They attack through the middle, go long, cross often and play aggressively. That can make them awkward, especially if Djuric starts and turns the game into a battle for second balls.
The problem is what happens after that first duel. Cremonese are weak at keeping possession, weak at avoiding individual errors and very weak at defending through balls. So even when they get the game into a scrappy shape, they still leave openings behind them.
The midfield fight may decide the pace
This fixture is unlikely to be about slick control. It should be about territory, loose balls and which midfield unit keeps its nerve.
For Parma, Keita looks crucial. He gives them balance and cleaner possession in front of the back three. Without Bernabé, Parma may lean less on combination play and more on structure and recovery.
Key Moments to Watch
- Parma’s wide supply into Pellegrino: With 8 league goals and strong aerial output, he looks central to the home side’s attacking plan.
- Set pieces at both ends: Parma are strong at attacking dead balls, while Cremonese are weak at defending them.
- The first half pattern: Parma have drawn at half time in their last six league matches, so the opening stages could be cagey and tense.
- Cremonese’s discipline: Their foul count and yellow-card rate suggest they can lose control in dangerous areas.
- Audero’s resistance: He is one of Cremonese’s higher-rated performers at 6.85, and he may need to be sharp if Parma keep loading the box.
- Bonazzoli’s finishing: His 6 league goals make him the clearest scoring threat for the visitors in open play.
What could go wrong?
Parma’s obvious danger is that they are not clinical enough. They have scored just 21 league goals, and their weaknesses include finishing chances. If they control the better areas but waste them, this game can quickly become anxious.
There is also the risk of the match becoming ugly rather than controlled. Cremonese are aggressive, direct and desperate for points. A messy second-ball game, one defensive error or a long-range strike could flip the mood completely. Parma are better placed, better balanced and in better form, but they are not operating with enough attacking comfort to feel relaxed.
Market Explainer 📊
Match Result (1X2)
This is a bet on the final outcome after 90 minutes: a home win, a draw, or an away win. It is the most direct way to back a team’s performance.
Pros/Cons: Offers clear value for teams in strong form, but carries risk if the match ends in a stalemate.
Correct Score
A wager on the exact final scoreline. Because of the difficulty in predicting specific numbers, the prices are significantly higher.
Pros/Cons: High reward potential but extremely high volatility. Small margins or late goals can easily spoil the pick.
Tip 1: Parma to Win 🎯
Parma approach this fixture as the side with far more momentum and structural integrity. Having taken 11 points from their last six matches, they have demonstrated a consistency that their opponents currently lack. The hosts sit comfortably in mid-table, largely due to a defensive unit that has registered 11 clean sheets throughout the campaign. This solid foundation is expected to be the deciding factor against a Cremonese side that has struggled significantly on their travels.
The tactical advantage lies with Parma’s ability to exploit Cremonese’s defensive weaknesses. The visitors are notoriously vulnerable when defending attacks from wide areas and set pieces. Parma, who play with significant width through Valeri and Britschgi, are likely to pepper the box with crosses. This strategy targets a Cremonese back line that has conceded 11 goals in their last five outings. Furthermore, the absence of Bernabé may force Parma into a more direct approach, which aligns with their aerial strength in the box.
Tactical Indicators:
- Cremonese have lost their last six consecutive away league matches.
- Parma have lost only once in their previous six Serie A fixtures.
- Cremonese average only 0.73 goals per away game this season.
Risk Factor: Parma’s low scoring volume means they often struggle to kill games off, which could keep the scoreline tense.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Pellegrino winning 3.5 aerial duels per game. Strong at attacking crosses and dead balls.
Vulnerable to high crossing volume and failing to create chances from structured play.
Tip 2: Parma 1-0 Cremonese ⚔️
Predicting a 1-0 victory for Parma aligns with the statistical trends of both teams. Neither side is particularly clinical in front of goal; Parma have managed just 21 goals in 29 matches, while Cremonese have 23. This match is likely to be a low-margin affair where a single goal separates the sides. Parma’s defensive record at the Tardini is respectable, and they face a Cremonese attack that has found the net only twice in their last five matches.
The game is expected to follow a cagey pattern, as seen in Parma’s recent trend of being level at half-time in their last six matches. With Cremonese likely to set up aggressively under new management but struggling to maintain possession, Parma can afford to be patient. A set-piece goal or a clinical finish from Pellegrino could provide the breakthrough, after which Parma’s habit of protecting leads should see them through. Cremonese’s lack of away scoring power makes a clean sheet for the hosts a strong possibility.
Risk Factor: Any individual defensive error or a successful long-range strike from Cremonese could easily break the 1-0 scoreline.
Frequently Asked Questions ⊕
⊕ How does the Match Result market work in this game?
The Match Result market allows you to bet on a Parma win, a draw, or a Cremonese win. In this fixture, a Parma win is backed due to their superior home form and defensive stability.
This is a 90-minute market, meaning the result at the final whistle determines the outcome regardless of who scored first.
⊕ What does a Correct Score 1-0 bet entail?
A Correct Score 1-0 bet means you are wagering that Parma will win the match exactly one goal to nil. This specific scoreline is plausible because both teams have low season scoring averages.
If the game ends 2-0, 0-0, or any other scoreline, the bet does not win.
⊕ Who is the main scoring threat for Parma?
Mateo Pellegrino is the primary attacking threat for Parma, having scored 8 league goals this season. He is also a significant aerial target, winning 3.5 duels per match.
His presence in the box is vital for converting crosses from Parma’s wide players.
⊕ How has Cremonese performed on the road lately?
Cremonese have struggled immensely on their travels, losing their last six consecutive away league matches. They currently average only 0.73 goals scored per away game.
This poor travel record makes their trip to the Tardini statistically difficult.
⊕ What is the significance of clean sheets in this match?
Parma have kept 11 clean sheets this season, demonstrating a higher level of defensive reliability than Cremonese’s 8. This suggests Parma are better equipped to prevent their opponents from scoring.
A sturdy defence is a key reason why a low-scoring home win is predicted.
⊕ Is the draw a likely result based on the stats?
While the draw is always a possibility in low-scoring games, Cremonese’s run of five losses in six games makes an away point difficult to envision. Parma have been far more stable recently.
The draw at half-time is a common trend for Parma, but they often find a way to prevail or hold steady late on.
⊕ Are there any key absences affecting Parma?
Yes, Adrián Bernabé is a significant miss for Parma due to groin problems. He is a key creative force and goal threat from the midfield.
His absence may result in Parma playing a more direct, wide-focused game.
⊕ What is the disciplinary record of Cremonese?
Cremonese average 13.57 fouls per game and collect nearly two yellow cards per fixture. This aggressive profile can lead to dangerous free kicks for their opponents.
Against a Parma side strong at attacking set pieces, this lack of discipline could be costly.
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