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Can Giampaolo’s side finally halt the slide at Stadio Zini? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Torino arrive in significantly better form, winning four of their last six matches and scoring freely. Cremonese are struggling with a three-game home losing streak and have taken only four points from 18 matches, making the visitors strong favourites to exploit their defensive vulnerabilities in this Serie A clash.
Read Rationale ▾
Torino have scored two or more goals in four of their last six games, while Cremonese’s defensive struggles at home are well-documented. However, the hosts cross often and Djuric provides a physical threat that could find a way through a Torino defence that is rarely completely watertight away.
Cremonese host Torino at Stadio Giovanni Zini with survival pressure rising and the visitors arriving in stronger form.
Cremonese vs Torino — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with implied probabilities and illustrative BetMGM odds.
Exchange prices suggest a Torino edge, as the visitors have won four of their last six matches while Cremonese struggle with home losses.
Cremonese’s low scoring average of 8 goals in 18 matches suggests a high probability for a lower-scoring tactical encounter.
Pricing points toward a cagey clash where single-goal margins are the most likely outcomes based on Cremonese’s home form.
Torino’s higher shot volume per game suggests Giovanni Simeone is well-positioned to test the goalkeeper at Giovanni Zini.
Key Match Analytics
- Home troubles piling up: Cremonese head into this fixture having lost their last three home Serie A matches in a row, and they are still waiting for a first home win of the calendar year at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
- Torino carrying sharper momentum: Torino have won four of their last six matches, scoring two or more goals in four of those games, which gives Roberto D’Aversa’s side a clear attacking edge coming into Sunday morning.
- The gap in cutting edge is real: Cremonese have scored just eight goals across their last 18 league matches, while Torino average 11.9 shots per game to Cremonese’s 9, underlining why the visitors look more dangerous in open play.
Match Volume: Shots per League Game
Torino’s higher shot frequency suggests they are more adept at testing opposition keepers on a regular basis.
Cremonese struggle to generate high volumes of chances, reflecting their low scoring rate.
Torino’s offensive setup is designed to create significantly more sights at goal.
Defensive Record: Clean Sheets
A comparison of defensive stability through total clean sheets recorded this season.
Despite their league position, they have managed to shut out opponents on nine occasions.
Torino’s higher clean sheet count underlines a more reliable defensive structure.
Match Preview
Cremonese are running out of road. This fixture at Stadio Giovanni Zini feels huge, because Marco Giampaolo’s side are hovering just above the drop zone and the recent slide has started to look severe rather than temporary.
Kick-off comes at 11:30 am, with the home side desperate to stop a run that has dragged them into serious danger. Cremonese have taken only four points from their last 18 league matches, lost their last three at home, and still have not found a home league win in 2026.
Torino arrive with a very different mood. Roberto D’Aversa’s team have climbed into 12th place, won four of their last six league matches, and look far more convincing in front of goal. For Cremonese, this is about survival pressure. For Torino, it is about keeping their surge alive.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Cremonese Team News
- Youssef Maleh is suspended after a red card and is unavailable.
- Morten Thorsby is out with a calf injury.
- Faris Moumbagna is sidelined by an adductor injury.
- Jamie Vardy is dealing with muscle fatigue.
Torino Team News
No injuries or suspensions were listed for Torino.
Probable Cremonese Lineup
Audero
Terracciano, Baschirotto, Luperto, Pezzella
Zerbin, Grassi, Bondo, Vandeputte
Bonazzoli, Djuric
Probable Torino Lineup
Paleari
Coco, Maripan, Ebosse
Pedersen, Casadei, Gineitis, Obrador
Vlasic
Simeone, Adams
Cremonese look light in key areas. The absence of Maleh removes one midfield option, while Vardy’s fitness concern reduces Giampaolo’s flexibility in the final third.
Torino, by contrast, appear settled. That matters in a fixture like this, because D’Aversa can lean into continuity while Cremonese are still searching for a functional balance.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Cremonese | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 12th |
| Points | 27 | 39 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 37 |
| Goals conceded | 47 | 54 |
| Shots per game | 9.0 | 11.9 |
| Possession | 45.6% | 43.7% |
| Pass success | 78.1% | 79.5% |
| Aerials won | 15.9 | 16.7 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 13 |
| Last six league games | 1 win, 5 defeats | 4 wins, 2 defeats |
Tactical Analysis
Cremonese’s Central Strategy
Cremonese attack through the middle, use long balls, and look to get width into the game with crosses. On paper, that gives them a route into the match, especially with Milan Djuric’s aerial presence and Federico Bonazzoli’s shot volume.
But there is a problem. Cremonese are weak at keeping possession, and their broader defensive profile is full of danger signs. They struggle to stop chances being created, they are vulnerable to attacks down the wings, and they are also weak against counter-attacks and set pieces. That is a brutal combination when confidence is low.
The likely route for Giampaolo’s side is to make this scrappy, territorial and physical. Vandeputte can supply from midfield areas, Zerbin can add running power, and Bonazzoli remains the clearest goal threat with seven league goals. If Cremonese are to land early punches, they probably do it through second balls, crosses and direct pressure rather than sustained, polished build-up.
Torino’s Direct Threat
Torino’s style is clear. They take plenty of shots, play long, attack through the middle and cross often. They are also very strong on counter-attacks and strong at creating scoring chances. Against a Cremonese side that is weak in transition defence, that looks like the defining mismatch.
The names behind that threat matter. Giovanni Simeone leads the club with nine league goals, Nikola Vlasic has seven goals and three assists, and Cesare Casadei has chipped in with five goals from midfield. That spread is important because Torino do not rely on one route alone.
The shape of the match could swing around Vlasic. If he finds space between Cremonese’s midfield and back line, Torino can break the game open quickly. Cremonese already have issues defending through balls and long shots, so giving him room in central areas would be asking for trouble.
The Battle in Wide Areas
Both teams have weaknesses defending wide attacks. That gives the wing areas real importance.
Cremonese like to attack down the right and attempt crosses often. Torino also cross regularly, but their threat is sharper because their runners arrive with more conviction and their chance creation is stronger. Pedersen and Obrador could be important outlets, while Coco and Maripan give Torino enough security to push the game forward.
Cremonese can still ask questions. Torino are weak at protecting a lead and weak against counter-attacks themselves. So if the hosts survive the first wave and keep the game alive into the second half, there may be moments to attack the spaces left behind.
Still, the cleaner pattern belongs to Torino. Their recent form, greater shot volume and stronger attacking spine give them more ways to hurt opponents.
Key Moments to Watch
- The first goal: Cremonese have been chasing games too often, and that has exposed all their defensive issues.
- Bonazzoli’s involvement: With seven league goals and 2 shots per game, he is the clearest home threat.
- Vlasic between the lines: His movement and output make him Torino’s most important creative link.
- Simeone’s finishing: Torino have scored two or more goals in four of their last six league matches, and Simeone is central to that edge.
- Set pieces and deliveries: Cremonese are weak at defending set pieces, which could become a major Torino weapon.
- Discipline in key areas: Cremonese are very weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous positions, and that could hand Torino repeated opportunities to load the box.
The volatility check is simple. Torino are in better shape, but their away form is not flawless, with only one win in their last seven away Serie A matches. Cremonese are under heavy pressure, yet desperation can change the rhythm of a game quickly.
What could go wrong for the visitors? Overconfidence, loose defending in transition, or a failure to deal with direct balls into Djuric. What could go wrong for the hosts? The same thing that has gone wrong too often already: one defensive lapse becomes two, the game stretches, and the stronger attacking side takes over.
📊 Market Insights & Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
This market allows you to back either a Home Win, Away Win, or a Draw at the end of 90 minutes. It is the most straightforward market for those with a clear view on the match outcome.
Correct Score
A higher-risk market where you predict the exact final scoreline. While more volatile, it offers significantly higher potential returns for precise analysis of team trends.
🎯 Torino to Win: Rationale
Torino arrive at Stadio Giovanni Zini as the side in superior technical and psychological condition. Roberto D’Aversa’s men have found a winning rhythm, securing four victories in their last six league outings. This momentum is underpinned by an efficient attacking unit that has managed to score at least twice in four of those matches. With Nikola Vlasic operating effectively between the lines and Giovanni Simeone leading the scoring charts with nine league goals, Torino possess the specific creative tools needed to dismantle a struggling defence.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Torino have won 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- Cremonese are on a 3-match home losing streak in Serie A.
- The visitors average 11.9 shots per game compared to Cremonese’s 9.0.
Conversely, Cremonese are enduring a period of intense pressure. Marco Giampaolo’s side has lost three consecutive home fixtures and has failed to find a single home win in 2026. Their lack of cutting edge is evident, having scored only eight goals in their previous 18 matches. While they may attempt to disrupt Torino’s rhythm through long balls to Milan Djuric, their defensive vulnerabilities—particularly against counter-attacks and through balls—suggest Torino will find the necessary openings to secure all three points.
Risk Factor: Torino have only won one of their last seven away Serie A matches, which remains a potential hurdle if they fail to clinical early on.
🎯 Torino 2-1 Cremonese: Rationale
Predicting a 2-1 victory for Torino aligns with the statistical trends of both clubs. Torino have demonstrated a consistent ability to find the net, scoring two or more goals in 66% of their recent six games. Given Cremonese’s defensive weaknesses at home, where they have lost three in a row, Torino should have enough offensive volume to breach the hosts’ back line multiple times. Vlasic and Simeone represent a level of individual quality that Cremonese has found difficult to contain throughout the campaign.
However, Cremonese are unlikely to be completely silenced at the Stadio Giovanni Zini. Despite their struggles, they rely heavily on crosses and the aerial dominance of Djuric to create chaos. Federico Bonazzoli remains a persistent threat, averaging two shots per game and having already netted seven times this season. Torino’s away record is not flawless, and they have often struggled to protect leads on the road. This suggests a scenario where Cremonese can snatch a goal in a scrappy exchange, even if they ultimately fall short of a result.
Risk Factor: A highly defensive approach from Cremonese could result in a lower-scoring affair if Torino fail to break the deadlock in the first half.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Strong on counter-attacks and creating chances via through balls through Nikola Vlasic.
Struggling to stop opponents from creating chances and protecting against counter-attacks.
📋 Match Q&A
⊕ What is a Match Result bet?
A Match Result bet involves predicting whether the game will end in a home win, an away win, or a draw. It is also known as a 1X2 bet. This is a popular market because it focuses solely on the final outcome of the 90-minute fixture.
⊕ Why is Torino considered the favourite for this game?
Torino are in much stronger form, having won four of their last six matches. Meanwhile, Cremonese have lost their last three home games and have taken only four points from their last 18 outings, highlighting a significant disparity in confidence.
⊕ What does a Correct Score bet mean?
A Correct Score bet requires you to predict the exact final scoreline of the match. It is a high-reward market because it is more difficult to get right than a standard match result, as every goal affects the outcome.
⊕ Who are the key players for Torino in this fixture?
Giovanni Simeone and Nikola Vlasic are the main attacking threats for the visitors. Simeone has nine goals this season, while Vlasic is the creative link with seven goals and three assists to his name.
⊕ How does Cremonese typically create chances?
Cremonese rely heavily on long balls, crosses, and the aerial presence of Milan Djuric. They also look to Federico Bonazzoli, who averages two shots per match, to provide finishing in the final third.
⊕ What is a Double Chance bet?
A Double Chance bet allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a single match. For example, you could bet on a “Torino win or Draw,” which reduces risk but offers lower odds than a standard win bet.
⊕ Are there any major suspensions for this match?
Yes, Cremonese will be without Youssef Maleh following a red card. This absence leaves the home side with one fewer option in midfield as they look to combat Torino’s possession game.
⊕ What is a ‘pro’ tip for betting on Serie A?
Always look for tactical mismatches like Torino’s counter-attacking strength against Cremonese’s transition weakness. Identifying where one team’s style directly exploits another’s flaws is key to finding potential outcomes.
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Last Odds Update: Apr 19, 10:54 GMT | Editorial Policy
