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Can Cremonese slow Bologna’s away charge and grab a lifeline at the Zini? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Bologna are in formidable form on the road, having secured six consecutive away wins across all competitions. Facing a Cremonese side that is winless in their last six home fixtures at the Zini, the visitors’ superior possession and shot volume should see them dominate territory and secure three points.
Read Rationale ▾
Cremonese concede an average of 1.50 goals at home, while Bologna have scored in 13 straight away Serie A matches. Although Bologna are superior, their tendency for individual errors and Cremonese’s aerial threat suggests the hosts can find the net, making a narrow 2-1 away victory highly plausible.
This fixture lands with serious pressure on one side and serious purpose on the other. Cremonese sitting 17th, level on points with 18th-placed Lecce and desperate to turn a survival fight into something more stable.
Cremonese vs Bologna — Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds.
Bologna’s six consecutive away wins suggest they are heavy favourites against a Cremonese side winless in six home matches.
Cremonese concede 1.50 goals per home game while Bologna have scored in thirteen straight away league fixtures recently.
The visitors’ superior xG and shot volume suggest a narrow away victory is the most probable tactical outcome today.
Cremonese are weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, which could provide Bologna with several high-quality set-piece openings.
Match Preview: Survival Scrap vs European Ambition
Bologna arrive in ninth, chasing momentum and carrying a sharp away record with them. They have won four of their last six Serie A matches, and even with Europe looming, there is no softness about their recent work on the road. Cremonese also have unfinished business here after winning 3-1 away at Bologna earlier this season, but the bigger picture is tougher: they are winless in 24 of their last 28 Serie A matches and still searching for a convincing run.
Match Control: Possession & Shooting Volume
The visitors dominate the ball and create significantly more opportunities than the hosts.
Bologna use their possession to pin opponents back and create 13.4 shots per match.
The hosts spend more time without the ball and generate only 9.2 shots per game.
Defensive Performance: Goals Conceded
Cremonese’s high concession rate at home is a major tactical concern for this fixture.
With 44 goals conceded in 30 games, the backline averages 1.50 goals per home match.
Bologna maintain a tighter defensive structure despite their high-possession attacking style.
- Away-day steel: Bologna have won six consecutive away matches in all competitions and have also won their last three away games in Serie A, giving this trip real weight before their European quarter-final.
- Cremonese’s home problem: Cremonese have not won any of their last six home matches, drawing three and losing three, while conceding an average of 1.50 goals per home Serie A game.
- A shot gap that matters: Bologna average 13.4 shots per Serie A match and 55% possession, while Cremonese sit at 9.2 shots and 45.3% possession, a gap that hints at who should control territory.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Cremonese absentees: Warren Bondo – unknown injury; Faris Moumbagna – adductor injury; Michele Collocolo – hamstring injury, out until 15 April 2026; Antonio Sanabria Ayala – muscle injury.
No confirmed Bologna injuries or suspensions are stated here.
Probable Cremonese lineup
Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Luperto; Zerbin, Grassi, Maleh, Vandeputte, Pezzella; Bonazzoli, Vardy
Probable Bologna lineup
Ravaglia; Zortea, Lucumi, Heggem, Miranda; Moro, Freuler; Orsolini, Bernardeschi, Rowe; Castro
Cremonese’s missing options bite most in midfield and attack. With Bondo and Collocolo unavailable, the centre of the pitch looks thinner, while the absences of Moumbagna and Sanabria trim the attacking alternatives. That puts extra weight on Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy. Bologna, meanwhile, look set to field a fluid attacking line behind Santiago Castro, and that should give them more movement between the lines than the hosts.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Cremonese | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 9th |
| Points | 27 | 42 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 38 |
| Goals conceded | 44 | 36 |
| Shots per game | 9.2 | 13.4 |
| Possession | 45.3% | 54.9% |
| Pass success | 77.8% | 82.6% |
| Aerials won | 16.2 | 14.8 |
| Team rating | 6.46 | 6.56 |
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Bologna should own the ball
This looks like a game Bologna will try to play on their terms. They are a possession side, they attack down the left, and they combine width with long balls when the opening is there. With Freuler and Moro expected in midfield, they have the base to move the ball quickly and pin Cremonese back.
Cremonese need the front two to hold up
If Cremonese are going to make this uncomfortable, Bonazzoli and Vardy must be sharp. Bonazzoli has 6 league goals, Vardy has 5, and both need to turn long passes and early deliveries into territory. The hosts attempt crosses often and play with width, so the wing-backs become vital. That puts focus on Zerbin and Pezzella, plus the right-sided thrust from Terracciano. Cremonese attack down the right, and that could be their quickest route forward.
Key Moments to Watch
- The first Bologna goal window: Bologna score their first goal on average in the 44th minute, while Cremonese score their first in the 53rd. That hints at Bologna landing earlier punches.
- Cremonese under pressure at home: They have zero wins in their last six home matches, so the mood at the Zini could tighten quickly if the visitors settle first.
- Bologna’s away rhythm: They have scored at least once in 13 straight away Serie A matches, which makes the first defensive phase for Cremonese huge.
- The flanks and half-spaces: Bologna attack down the left, Cremonese attack down the right, and both teams use width. The side that wins those outside channels will keep dragging the other shape out of line.
- Discipline: Cremonese are very weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas, and Bologna are strong at creating long-shot opportunities.
Game-State Scenarios: What Could Go Wrong?
For Cremonese, the game can unravel if they spend too long without the ball. Their weaknesses are not small details; they sit right at the heart of defending transitions, protecting space and limiting chances. If Bologna move them from side to side and then punch passes through the middle, the hosts could get stretched badly.
For Bologna, the threat is a drop in edge. They have Europe on the horizon, and if their control turns passive rather than purposeful, Cremonese can make this physical, direct and awkward. A loose clearance, a set-piece scramble or one strong spell from Bonazzoli and Vardy could flip the flow.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
The Match Result market requires you to predict the outcome at full-time: a Home win (1), a Draw (X), or an Away win (2). It is the most direct form of betting on football, focusing purely on which team secures the three points.
Pros: Straightforward and often offers high liquidity. Cons: Highly sensitive to late goals or game-state changes.
Correct Score
Correct Score involves predicting the exact final scoreline. This market is higher risk because of its precision but offers significantly higher prices to reflect the difficulty of getting the exact numbers right.
Pros: Excellent returns for small stakes. Cons: High volatility; one late goal can instantly ruin the selection.
🎯 Pick 1: Bologna to Win
Bologna enter this contest as the clear tactical favourites. Their recent away form is impeccable, having secured six consecutive victories on the road across all competitions and three straight in Serie A. This away-day steel is backed by significant dominance in possession (54.9%) and shot creation (13.4 per game). Facing a Cremonese side that averages only 45.3% possession and produces a mere 9.2 shots per game, the visitors should be able to control the tempo from the first whistle.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Bologna have won their last 6 consecutive away matches in all competitions.
- Cremonese are winless in their last 6 home Serie A fixtures (D3, L3).
- A massive shot volume gap: Bologna (13.4) vs Cremonese (9.2) per match.
Risk Factor: Bologna have a European quarter-final on the horizon, which could lead to a drop in competitive intensity if focus shifts, potentially allowing the hosts to scramble a result.
Key Tactical Mismatch
🎯 Pick 2: Bologna 2-1 Correct Score
Analysing the defensive and offensive metrics leads us to a 2-1 victory for the visitors. Cremonese’s home matches see them conceding an average of 1.50 goals, and Bologna have found the net in thirteen consecutive away league games. While Bologna are the superior side, they are also prone to individual errors and struggle at times to protect leads. This vulnerability, combined with Cremonese’s aerial strength (winning 16.2 duels per match), suggests the hosts can find a way onto the scoresheet, likely from a set-piece or cross.
Risk Factor: If Cremonese fail to capitalise on their aerial advantage or Bologna maintain a flawless defensive concentration, the visitors could easily secure a clean-sheet victory, making the 2-1 scoreline void.
❓ Interactive Q&A
⊕What is a Match Result bet?
A Match Result bet is a wager on the final outcome of a game after 90 minutes. You select either a home win, an away win, or a draw.
⊕How does Correct Score betting work?
Correct Score betting requires you to predict the exact final score of the match. Both teams must score the exact number of goals you predicted for the bet to win.
⊕Why is Bologna the favourite in this game?
Bologna are favourites because of their superior league position and excellent away record. They have won six consecutive away matches leading into this fixture.
⊕What are the chances of a draw?
While Bologna are strong, Cremonese have drawn three of their last six home games. A draw remains a possible outcome if the visitors lose their attacking edge.
⊕Can Cremonese score against Bologna?
Yes, Cremonese have an aerial advantage and Bologna are prone to individual errors. This suggests the hosts can find a goal despite their lower shot volume.
⊕Who are the key players for Cremonese?
Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy are the vital attacking outlets for Cremonese. They will be responsible for converting limited chances into goals.
⊕What time is kick-off?
The match kicks off at 14:00 UK time on 5 April at the Stadio Giovanni Zini.
⊕What is Bologna’s recent away goal record?
Bologna have scored at least once in 13 straight away Serie A matches. This consistency makes them a significant threat to the Cremonese defence.
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