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Can Atalanta’s clean-sheet machine keep rolling, or do Cremonese finally break their away drought in Bergamo? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Atalanta are a clean-sheet machine at home, while Cremonese haven’t scored away in five games. With Atalanta’s attacking quality and Cremonese’s defensive vulnerability to long shots and wing attacks, the hosts are poised to win by at least a two-goal margin in Bergamo.
Read Rationale ▾
Atalanta have kept three straight home clean sheets, and Cremonese are on a run of three straight away defeats without scoring. A controlled 2-0 victory reflects Atalanta’s defensive solidity under Palladino and Cremonese’s inability to find an outlet in behind on their travels.
Readers’ Tip
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The Gewiss Stadium is set for a fast, physical Monday evening at 17:30 — and it’s a fixture with a clear storyline: momentum versus survival nerves.
Atalanta BC vs Cremonese — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample BetMGM odds based on our match analysis.
Atalanta’s home clean-sheet swagger meets a winless Cremonese side struggling on the road in Serie A.
Atalanta average 14.1 shots per game, and Cremonese’s defensive weaknesses often leave them one moment from trouble.
Atalanta’s three straight home clean sheets suggest a controlled host victory is a highly likely outcome.
Atalanta’s 14 clean sheets in all competitions underline the steel Raffaele Palladino has introduced since November.
Match Preview
The Gewiss Stadium is set for a fast, physical Monday evening at 17:30 — and it’s a fixture with a clear storyline: momentum versus survival nerves. Atalanta, now under Raffaele Palladino, have dragged themselves back into the European picture, sitting seventh on 36 points and refusing to give opponents easy air. The goalless draw at Como with ten men last weekend showed the steel; the 3-0 Coppa Italia win over Juventus showed the edge.
Cremonese, coached by Davide Nicola, arrive in 15th on 23 points and on a grim stretch: nine games without a win. They’re fighting the table and fighting themselves — and Bergamo is not the place you want your confidence wobbling.
Attacking Volume: Average Shots per Match
Atalanta’s constant pressure in the final third creates a significant gap in offensive reliability compared to Cremonese.
Their middle-lane penetration and individual skill consistently result in high shot counts.
Cremonese struggle to find clean service into the box, especially on their travels.
Defensive Reliability: Clean Sheets Since November
The impact of Raffaele Palladino’s arrival is visible in how often Atalanta completely shut out their opponents.
A record that includes three straight home shutouts and 14 clean sheets across all competitions this season.
While competitive, their goal-against figure leaves them vulnerable to siege-like pressure.
Three Punchy Stats
- Clean-Sheet Swagger: Atalanta have kept three straight home clean sheets in Serie A, and they’ve registered eight clean sheets since Raffaele Palladino took charge in November.
- Cremonese Away Silence: Cremonese have failed to score in five consecutive away Serie A matches, arriving on a run of three straight away league defeats.
- Pressure Gap: Atalanta average 14.1 shots per game in Serie A and 54% possession, while Cremonese average 8.6 shots and sit around 46% possession.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Atalanta Team News
- Marten de Roon suspended (yellow cards) until 09.02.2026.
- Honest Ahanor suspended (red card) until 09.02.2026.
- Kamaldeen Sulemana out (unknown injury).
Cremonese Team News
No absences listed.
Probable Atalanta XI (Palladino)
Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti; Zappacosta, Ederson, Pasalic, Bernasconi; De Ketelaere, Raspadori; Scamacca
Probable Cremonese XI (Nicola)
Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Luperto; Barbieri, Thorsby, Grassi, Maleh, Pezzella; Bonazzoli, Vardy
Tactical Implications
No de Roon strips out a reliable control point in the middle, so the balance falls heavily on Éderson and Mario Pasalic to keep Atalanta’s possession tidy.
Cremonese going with Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy signals they want an outlet early — but with their away scoring run, they must find cleaner service into the box.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Serie A) | Atalanta | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 15th |
| Points | 36 | 23 |
| Goals scored | 30 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 31 |
| Shots per game | 14.1 | 8.6 |
| Possession | 53.9% | 45.3% |
| Pass accuracy | 84.7% | 78.0% |
| Clean sheets | 14 (all comps) | 7 |
Tactical Battle
Atalanta’s plan: squeeze the middle, hit the switch
Atalanta play possession football and they want to attack through the middle. That’s not slow build-up for the sake of it — it’s a way to pin teams in, then snap forward when a lane opens. They’re also very strong at creating chances through individual skill, which matters when defences camp deep and try to survive.
The likely front structure is built to pull Cremonese apart. Charles De Ketelaere can drift and link, Giacomo Raspadori offers sharp movement between the lines, and Gianluca Scamacca gives a focal point with finishing quality. Atalanta have been clinical lately — the 4-0 league win over Parma and the 3-0 cup win over Juventus weren’t accidents.
The wing-backs are the accelerators. Davide Zappacosta gives width and timing, and with Cremonese weak defending against attacks down the wings, those deliveries and cut-backs could become a repeating theme. The key is to keep the counter-press switched on, because Atalanta are weak defending against through balls if the midfield screen disappears.
Cremonese’s plan: long balls, width, and survival blocks
Cremonese are built for pragmatism here: playing in their own half, long balls, width, and even the offside trap. The idea is simple — keep the middle crowded, force Atalanta wide, and then turn clearances into something resembling an attack.
But the weaknesses are loud. Cremonese struggle to keep possession, they’re very weak defending against long shots, and they’re very weak avoiding fouls in dangerous areas. Against a side that can counter and can create through individual quality, that’s combustible. If Cremonese start conceding free-kicks around the box or allowing second-phase shots, they’ll spend the evening chasing.
The one sliver for Nicola’s side is Atalanta missing de Roon. If Cremonese can win second balls through Thorsby and Grassi, they can at least make Atalanta defend transitions — and that’s where the hosts can look uncomfortable.
Key Zones
This match swings on whether Cremonese can deliver into Bonazzoli and Vardy with any consistency. Their away run says they haven’t. If Atalanta’s back three stay connected and Marco Carnesecchi keeps commanding his box, Cremonese may be reduced to hopeful shots and hopeful crosses.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set-piece discipline: Cremonese are very weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas; give Atalanta cheap entries and the pressure ramps quickly.
- Wing-back influence: Atalanta’s width can target Cremonese’s weak wing defending, especially if Zappacosta starts pinning the wide centre-back.
- Long shots and second balls: Cremonese are vulnerable to efforts from range; if clearances drop to Atalanta runners, it gets ugly fast.
- Transition defending: Atalanta can be exposed by through balls; if Cremonese win midfield scraps, Vardy becomes a live runner in behind.
What could go wrong?
Atalanta’s risk is complacency in the middle without de Roon — lose structure once or twice, and Cremonese suddenly have a transition they didn’t earn through possession. Cremonese’s risk is the opposite: defend for long spells, then one rash foul or one missed clearance turns into wave after wave, and their ability to stay compact starts to crack.
📊 Betting Market Analysis
Handicap Betting (Atalanta -1.5)
In handicap betting, the chosen team is given a virtual disadvantage before the match starts. An ‘Atalanta -1.5’ selection means Atalanta must win the match by two or more clear goals for the bet to be successful. If they win by exactly one goal, draw, or lose, the selection fails.
Trade-offs: This market offers higher prices than a standard win bet but removes the safety of a narrow victory.
Correct Score (Atalanta 2-0)
This is a prediction of the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes. It is a high-volatility market because a single late goal can result in a loss, even if the general match flow was predicted correctly.
Other opportunities: Cautious readers might look at “Winning Margin” markets to cover a specific team winning by exactly one or two goals without specifying the score.
🎯 Pick 1 Rationale: Atalanta BC -1.5 Handicap
Atalanta enter this fixture as a defensive powerhouse under Raffaele Palladino, boasting a record of 14 clean sheets across all competitions this season. This stability is particularly evident in Bergamo, where they have kept three straight home shutouts in Serie A. Tactical indicators point to a high-pressure environment for the visitors; Atalanta dictate 53.9% of possession and fire 14.1 shots per match, whereas Cremonese struggle with a lower 45.3% possession rate and only 8.6 shots per game.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Atalanta have won two recent matches by margins of 3-0 (Juventus) and 4-0 (Parma).
- Cremonese are weak defending against shots from range and wing attacks.
- Cremonese have failed to score in five consecutive away league matches.
The hosts’ ability to create chances through individual skill and switch play to dangerous wing-backs like Zappacosta directly targets Cremonese’s weak wing defending. Without de Roon, Atalanta might see a shift in central control, but the offensive quality of Scamacca and De Ketelaere remains potent. Given that Cremonese are on a run of three straight away defeats without scoring, a two-goal victory for the hosts is a plausible outcome of this siege-like pressure.
Risk Factor: Complacency in the middle without de Roon could allow Cremonese to win midfield scraps and create transition opportunities.
🎯 Pick 2 Rationale: Atalanta BC 2-0 Cremonese
A 2-0 scoreline reflects the significant attacking and defensive gap between these two sides. Atalanta’s defensive organisation has reached a peak since Palladino took charge in November, and their recent home form has been defined by shutouts. Cremonese’s offensive struggles are well-documented; they have failed to find the net in five straight away Serie A matches and often lack an outlet to break a coordinated high press.
CLEAN SHEETS
AWAY GOALS (5)
Cremonese’s reliance on long balls to Bonazzoli and Vardy is unlikely to yield results against a back three that dictates aerial territory, as shown by Atalanta’s league-leading clean sheet count. Furthermore, Cremonese are weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas and vulnerable to long shots—two areas where Atalanta excel through players like Raspadori. A controlled two-goal victory allows Atalanta to secure the points without needing to overextend themselves late in the game, especially if they can capitalise on second balls as Cremonese’s survival block starts to crack.
Risk Factor: Atalanta are weak defending through balls; if Jamie Vardy finds a rare lane in behind, a single goal would break the clean sheet.
❓ Q&A: Match Markets & Predictions
What is a Handicap -1.5 bet?
An Atalanta -1.5 handicap means the team starts with a virtual deficit of 1.5 goals. For the bet to win, Atalanta must win by two or more goals (e.g., 2-0, 3-0, or 3-1).
This market is used to gain better odds when one team is heavily favoured over their opponent.
Can I bet on an exact scoreline?
The Correct Score market allows you to predict the final result of the match. Your selection only wins if the game finishes with that exact score, such as Atalanta winning 2-0.
It is a difficult market to predict but offers higher rewards due to the specific nature of the outcome.
How many clean sheets have Atalanta kept lately?
Atalanta have kept 14 clean sheets across all competitions this season. This includes eight shutouts since Raffaele Palladino took charge and three consecutive clean sheets at home in Serie A.
Why is Marten de Roon missing from the game?
Marten de Roon is serving a suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards. He is unavailable for this match until 9 February 2026.
Is Cremonese’s away form a factor in these tips?
Cremonese have failed to score in five consecutive away Serie A matches. They arrive in Bergamo on a run of three straight away defeats, supporting the clean-sheet rationale.
What is Atalanta’s main tactical approach?
Atalanta play a possession-based style, dictating 53.9% of the ball. They focus on attacking through the middle and using individual skill to create high-volume shooting chances.
Who are Cremonese’s main attacking threats?
Cremonese are expected to start with Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy. They rely on long balls and transition play to provide service to their strikers.
What happens if the game ends 1-0 to Atalanta?
If the game ends 1-0, the -1.5 handicap bet would lose because the margin is only one goal. The Correct Score (2-0) bet would also lose because the exact score was not matched.
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