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Hibernian vs Hearts: Edinburgh Derby Pits Hibs’ Resilience Against Hearts’ Unbeaten Run. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Both teams show strong scoring form but defensive frailties, with Hibernian conceding late goals and Hearts conceding in five straight matches. Historical derby data supports both teams scoring, making this a credible pick despite the risk of a cautious start limiting chances. Both sides have in-form forwards contributing goals.
Hearts' recent three consecutive matches with exactly two goals and James Wilson's scoring form support a 2-1 away win. Hibernian's consistent scoring and Hearts' defensive injuries increase the likelihood of this exact result, reflecting recent derby history.
Hibernian and Hearts meet at Easter Road on Thursday evening level on six points from three Scottish Premiership matches, but arriving there by rather different routes.
Hibernian vs Hearts — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Both teams have six points from three league games, showing balanced recent results.
Both teams have six points from three league games, showing balanced recent results.
Hibernian have BTTS in all Premiership games; Hearts have scored and conceded in five straight matches.
Hearts' scoring form and Hibernian's BTTS rate support a 1-2 correct score.
Three Punchy Stats
- Hibernian have scored exactly twice in four of their last seven matches, including both of their latest Premiership victories, suggesting their attacking output has become fairly dependable even when clean sheets have not followed.
- Hearts have scored and conceded in five consecutive matches across all competitions, a run that captures both their improved attacking form and the defensive opportunities Hibs may receive.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight Edinburgh derbies, while Hearts have won three of the last four meetings. Recent history therefore gives the visitors an edge in results without suggesting Hibs are easily kept off the scoresheet.
Scoring Patterns
Recent attacking records for Hibernian and Hearts are shown below.
Recent Defensive Stability
Recent defensive records for Hibernian and Hearts are shown below.
Hibs have responded to their opening league defeat with successive 2-1 wins, even while European elimination exposed a damaging tendency to let promising positions slip. Hearts, by contrast, have recovered dramatically from four straight defeats under Wouter Vrancken and now carry a six-match unbeaten run into the first Edinburgh derby of the season. Neither side has been short of goals lately. Keeping them out has proved more complicated.
Hibs are winning without shutting games down
The domestic results have been encouraging for David Gray's side. After losing 2-1 to Motherwell, Hibernian won by that same scoreline away to Rangers and Dundee, leaving them with six goals scored and four conceded across their first three league fixtures.
Every one of those games has featured goals at both ends, which fits a wider picture of a side capable of producing strong attacking spells without always controlling what follows.
The Conference League defeat by Gent was the clearest warning. Hibs led 2-1 with 13 minutes remaining at Easter Road before conceding twice in the final six minutes, the second through Miguel Chaiwa's 91st-minute own goal. That turned a strong position into a 3-2 defeat and European elimination.
Their immediate 2-1 response at Dundee matters because it suggests the setback did not derail their league momentum. Martin Boyle has also contributed two goals in his two Premiership appearances and three in all competitions, giving Hibs an individual threat to accompany their recent scoring consistency.
Hearts have transformed their start
Hearts' current sequence looks considerably healthier than the beginning of Vrancken's reign.
His first four matches brought four defeats, including a 6-0 aggregate Champions League qualifying loss to Sturm Graz, a 2-1 league defeat at Aberdeen and a 6-1 first-leg loss to Benfica. A 4-0 Premiership win over Dundee United then marked a sharp change of direction.
Hearts are unbeaten in six matches since, have reached the Scottish League Cup quarter-finals and progressed to the Conference League league phase after eliminating Rapid Vienna on penalties. Their latest 2-1 victory over St Johnstone made it successive league wins and moved them third, above fifth-placed Hibs on goal difference.
There is still a defensive caveat. Hearts have scored and conceded in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Their past three games have each ended with two Hearts goals, but they have conceded twice in two of those three.
Wilson adds another problem for Hibs
James Wilson's recent contribution gives the visitors another strand of attacking form. The 19-year-old scored against St Johnstone for his third goal in four appearances and is expected to lead the line again.
Hibs have fewer injury concerns, with Rocky Bushiri their only anticipated forced absentee as he recovers from an Achilles tendon problem. Hearts have the longer unavailable list: Ageu, Craig Halkett, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Stephen Kingsley and Tom Renaud are all sidelined.
Gray may keep faith with the same Hibernian starting XI that won at Dundee, while Hearts' recent results give Vrancken little reason to view this derby through the lens of their miserable opening four matches.
Recent derby history favours Hearts, but goals are the stronger theme
Hearts won three of the four meetings last season, including 2-1 at Easter Road in April, when Boyle scored for Hibernian.
Yet the broader pattern is less about one-sided dominance than both teams finding a way through. Six of the last eight Edinburgh derbies have produced goals for both sides. Combine that with Hibs scoring and conceding in every league match this season and Hearts doing likewise in five consecutive games, and the most obvious pressure point is at the defensive end.
The attacks have repeatedly delivered. Neither defence has recently offered the same reassurance.
Other opportunities in this market
Over 2.5 Goals @ 20/23: Settles as a win if the match produces three or more total goals regardless of which side scores them. It trades the narrow focus of an exact scoreline for broader coverage, winning on 2-1, 1-2, 3-0, or 2-2, but losing on 1-1, 1-0, or 0-0.
Hearts to Win & BTTS @ 4/1: Combines a Hearts victory with both teams scoring. This offers a higher price than simple BTTS, but increases risk by requiring both a specific match winner and goal contributions from both clubs.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Hibernian vs Hearts 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 6/10
Both Hibernian and Hearts enter this Edinburgh derby displaying consistent goal-scoring capacity alongside persistent defensive instability. David Gray’s Hibernian have seen both teams score in all three of their Scottish Premiership matches this season, conceding four goals while scoring six across 2-1 victories over Rangers and Dundee and an opening 1-2 defeat to Motherwell. That domestic sequence reflects a wider pattern of defensive vulnerability, highlighted by their European exit against Gent where they surrendered a 2-1 lead by conceding twice in the final six minutes.
Hearts reflect an almost identical defensive trajectory, having both scored and conceded in five consecutive matches across all competitions. Although Wouter Vrancken’s side has reversed a poor start to build a six-game unbeaten run, they have allowed goals in every recent match. Defensive injuries exacerbate those issues, with Craig Halkett, Stephen Kingsley, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Ageu and Tom Renaud all sidelined. Hibs missing Rocky Bushiri means neither backline is fully settled. Offensively, James Wilson has delivered three goals in four games for Hearts, while Martin Boyle has netted three overall for Hibernian, ensuring both forward lines possess in-form options.
The main risk to this selection is the naturally cautious tempo that can settle over high-stakes rivalry fixtures, potentially limiting clear chances. Yet historical precedent reinforces the current numbers, as six of the last eight Edinburgh derbies have seen both teams find the net. Given that Hibs have scored exactly twice in four of their last seven games while Hearts have netted twice in three straight matches, both attacks arrive with enough backing to beat fragile defensive lines.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Hibernian have recorded Both Teams To Score in 100% of their Premiership fixtures this season (3/3).
- Hearts have both scored and conceded in five consecutive matches across all competitions.
- Six of the last eight Edinburgh derbies between Hibernian and Hearts have seen both teams score.
Risk Factor: A cautious derby start or early tactical caution could limit chances and result in a clean sheet for either side.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Hearts have scored exactly twice in three consecutive games, led by James Wilson's three goals in four appearances.
Conceded in all three league games and surrendered a late lead against Gent with defender Rocky Bushiri sidelined.
⚔️ Pick 2: Hibernian vs Hearts 1-2 @ 8/1
Predicting an exact 1-2 victory for Hearts builds directly upon both teams’ recent scoreline patterns and head-to-head history at Easter Road. Hearts have scored exactly two goals in each of their past three matches across all competitions, including their latest 2-1 Premiership victory over St Johnstone. The attacking contribution of 19-year-old James Wilson, who has scored three times in four appearances, gives the visitors a reliable goal source against a Hibernian defence that conceded twice in the final six minutes against Gent and two goals against Motherwell.
Equally, Hibernian’s capacity to score once is well grounded in their domestic output. David Gray’s side has found the net in every Premiership match this season, with Martin Boyle contributing two league goals and three across all competitions. Hearts’ extensive defensive injury list—with Craig Halkett, Stephen Kingsley, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Ageu and Tom Renaud unavailable—substantially increases the likelihood of Hibernian scoring, particularly given that Hearts have conceded at least once in five consecutive fixtures.
Recent Edinburgh derby precedent offers additional backing for this specific result, as Hearts claimed a 2-1 victory in this exact fixture at Easter Road last April, a match in which Boyle also scored. While exact-score selections remain inherently fragile and can be ruined by an unexpected late strike, a 2-1 away win reflects Hearts’ record of three wins in four derbies while respecting Hibernian’s consistent home scoring form.
Risk Factor: Exact scorelines are volatile; a third Hearts goal, a 2-2 equaliser, or goalless spells will defeat this pick.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes mean for Hibernian vs Hearts?
Both teams must score at least one goal each during regulation time for this bet to win.
How does the Correct Score selection of 1-2 settle?
It wins only if Hibernian score exactly 1 and Hearts exactly 2 goals at full-time.
Why is Both Teams To Score supported by recent match statistics?
Hibernian have BTTS in all Premiership games this season; Hearts have scored and conceded in five straight matches.
Which key players are unavailable for both teams?
Hibernian miss Rocky Bushiri; Hearts are without Craig Halkett, Stephen Kingsley, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Ageu, and Tom Renaud.
What is the recent head-to-head record between Hibs and Hearts?
Hearts won three of the last four derbies, with six of the last eight featuring goals from both sides.
Can I combine match result with Both Teams To Score?
Yes, markets like Hearts to Win & BTTS or Hibernian to Win & BTTS allow combining these outcomes.
