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Can Dundee find a spark at Dens Park, or will Motherwell’s momentum roll on? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Motherwell are in superb form, winning five of their last six matches. Dundee have failed to score in three straight games and face a side with 18 clean sheets. The visitors’ statistical superiority in possession and shots makes them clear favourites to secure all three points at Dens Park.
Read Rationale ▾
With Dundee currently enduring a goal drought and Motherwell’s last five away games featuring under 2.5 goals, a 2-0 victory for the visitors looks plausible. Motherwell average nearly double Dundee’s goals per game and possess the defensive discipline to keep a clean sheet against a struggling attack.
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Dens Park is set for a tense, noisy Wednesday night as Dundee host Motherwell, with the home side edging closer to the wrong kind of conversation.
Match Preview
Steven Pressley’s Dundee sit 9th on 23 points, glancing over their shoulder after a run of three league games without a win and, crucially, three without a goal. Motherwell arrive with a very different mood. Jens Askou’s side are 4th on 43 points, chasing European qualification next term and carrying the look of a team that knows exactly what it is. They’ve won five of their last six across all competitions, and the table says it all: Dundee have scored 19 league goals; Motherwell have scored 37.
Dundee vs Motherwell — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities based on current market pricing.
Motherwell’s dominant form and 4th place standing give them a significant statistical edge over struggling Dundee in the 1X2 market.
Dundee’s goal drought and Motherwell’s tight away record suggest a high likelihood of a controlled, lower-scoring outcome.
Motherwell’s 18 clean sheets this season suggest that scorelines favouring a shutout win for the visitors are statistically relevant.
Dundee’s scoring difficulties coupled with Motherwell’s defensive record point to a high probability of at least one shutout.
Match Tempo: Scoring Output Comparison
Motherwell’s offensive threat significantly outpaces Dundee’s current league production.
Failing to score in three straight matches has left them with the lowest goal tally in this matchup.
With nearly double the output of their hosts, the visitors arrive with high scoring confidence.
Defensive Stability: Shutout Success
Clean sheets provide a clear visual of which backline is currently the more organised.
The home side has struggled to shut the door completely across their Premiership campaign.
A remarkable 18 shutouts highlights a team that prioritises structure and is difficult to breach.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Team News
Dundee: No specific injuries or suspensions are listed. The bigger issue is output: Dundee have gone three Premiership matches without scoring.
Motherwell: No specific injuries or suspensions are listed. Confidence is high after five wins in six across all competitions.
Probable Lineups
Dundee (possible XI):
McCracken; Wright, Astley, Graham, Samuels; Congreve, Dhanda, Hamilton, Robertson, Yogane; Murray
Motherwell (possible XI):
Ward; Sparrow, O’Donnell, McGinn, Longelo; Priestman, Fadinger; Said, Just, Slattery; Maswanhise
Manager Outlook
Dundee’s selection reads like a side set up to work hard and stay in the contest, but the pressure lands on Simon Murray to end a brutal run: he has one top-flight goal this season and hasn’t scored in 16 games. Motherwell look built for balance, with Elijah Just (4 goals, 6 assists) and Tawanda Maswanhise (13 goals) offering both creation and end product.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Premiership) | Dundee | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| League position / points | 9th / 23 | 4th / 43 |
| Goals scored (24 apps) | 19 | 37 |
| Shots per game | 9.4 | 12.8 |
| Possession | 40.8% | 58.9% |
| Pass accuracy | 76.0% | 86.0% |
| Clean sheets (all listed games) | 6 | 18 |
Tactical Battle
Dundee’s problem: getting from “in the game” to “in the net”
Dundee have shown they can put themselves in strong positions within matches — the frustrating part is how little they’ve cashed in. They drew 0-0 with St Mirren last time despite enjoying a man advantage for more than 30 minutes, and they also lost at home to Hearts after playing the entire second half with an extra man. That points to a side that can control moments, but struggles to turn them into goals. Stylistically, Dundee lean into width and long balls, with a tendency to take long shots. That fits the strengths listed: creating long shot opportunities and being strong in aerial duels. It also risks feeding Motherwell’s comfort zone if those shots are low-quality or rushed.
Motherwell’s plan: own the ball, then hurt you quickly
Motherwell’s statistical identity is clear. They average 58.9% possession with 86% pass accuracy, and their strengths highlight through balls, individual skill, wing attacks, and counter-attacks. That mix matters: Motherwell can keep it, but they can also snap forward when Dundee lose structure. The match-up to watch is what happens when Dundee drop deep. Dundee are listed as weak against counter-attacks, set pieces, and skillful players — and Motherwell carry threats across all three. Maswanhise leads the line of danger with 13 league goals, while Longelo brings goals and assists (4 and 4) from wide areas. If Dundee sit too low, they invite wave after wave; if they step up, they risk being split by a pass into the channel.
The Midfield Hinge
Dundee’s possession figure (40.8%) suggests they’ll have spells without the ball. That makes the work of Dhanda, Hamilton, and Congreve decisive: win it, keep it for long enough to breathe, then find a route to Murray. Motherwell’s double pivot options — Priestman and Fadinger in the probable XI — look designed to screen transitions and keep Dundee pinned.
Key Moments to Watch
- First-half pattern: Motherwell are unbeaten at half-time in 15 straight Premiership games. If they settle early, Dundee may spend the night chasing shadows.
- The finishing test: Dundee have scored 19 league goals in 24 matches and haven’t scored in their last three Premiership outings. They can’t afford another night of near-misses.
- Wide areas and the second ball: Both sides show an “attack down the right” tendency. Dundee’s width and long balls versus Motherwell’s wing threat could decide who plays in the right end of the pitch.
- Set-piece tension: Dundee’s weaknesses include defending set pieces; Motherwell’s strengths include defending them. That contrast can swing territory, pressure, and confidence even without a goal.
- Form and belief: Motherwell have won five of the last six across all competitions; Dundee have one win in their last three league outings and come in off a 0-0 where they couldn’t make a man advantage count.
What could go wrong?
For Motherwell, protecting a lead is listed as a weakness — if they get in front but stop playing, Dundee’s aerial strength and willingness to go direct can turn the pitch into chaos. For Dundee, the danger is familiar: decent moments, long spells of effort, and then a lack of punch at the decisive second — especially if Maswanhise and Just find space to run at a back line that has already conceded 37 league goals.
Quick Hits
- Goal Drought Alarm: Dundee have failed to score in each of their last three Premiership matches, turning good spells into frustration and leaving tiny margins for error.
- Half-Time Steel: Motherwell are undefeated at half-time in 15 straight Premiership games, a sign they start fast, stay organised early, and rarely gift cheap openings.
- Away Games, Tight Scores: Motherwell’s last five away Premiership fixtures have all finished with under 2.5 goals, hinting at controlled tempos and a match that could pivot on one moment.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
This market covers the outcome of the match at the end of 90 minutes. You select either a Dundee win (1), a Draw (X), or a Motherwell win (2). It is the most popular form of football betting due to its simplicity.
Other opportunities: For those seeking more security, the Double Chance market allows you to cover two of the three outcomes (e.g., Motherwell or Draw), though this comes with lower odds.
Correct Score
This requires predicting the exact final scoreline. Because it is highly specific, the odds are significantly higher than match result markets, reflecting the increased difficulty of the prediction.
Other opportunities: If the exact score feels too volatile, Over/Under Goals markets allow you to bet on the total volume of goals without needing to specify which team scores them.
🎯 Rationale: Motherwell to Win
Motherwell enter this fixture as the superior side in almost every statistical department. Ranking 4th in the Premiership, Jens Askou’s men have accumulated 43 points, nearly double the tally of their hosts. Their recent momentum is undeniable, with five wins from their last six matches across all competitions. This consistency is underpinned by a high-possession style (58.9%) and an elite passing accuracy of 86%, allowing them to dictate the tempo of matches.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Motherwell have recorded 18 clean sheets this season, demonstrating immense defensive organisation.
- Dundee are currently enduring a scoring drought, failing to find the net in their last three Premiership games.
- Motherwell average 12.8 shots per game, significantly higher than Dundee’s 9.4.
Risk Factor: Motherwell are noted for having a weakness in protecting a lead, and Dundee’s aerial strength on set pieces remains a chaotic variable.
🎯 Rationale: Motherwell 2-0 Correct Score
A 2-0 scoreline for the visitors aligns with the defensive and offensive trends of both clubs. Dundee’s offensive output has stalled completely, with zero goals in their last three league outings and a total of just 19 for the season. Motherwell, by contrast, possess the division’s 4th best attack and have shown they can be ruthless through players like Maswanhise and Just.
Crucially, Motherwell’s away fixtures have been remarkably tight, with their last five league games on the road finishing with under 2.5 goals. They prioritise structure early, as evidenced by their 15-game unbeaten streak at half-time. With Dundee’s finishing listed as a weakness and Motherwell’s ability to defend set pieces and counter-attacks, a controlled 2-0 victory for the visitors is a plausible scenario at Dens Park.
Risk Factor: A high-variance moment like a penalty or a red card could disrupt the expected low-scoring pattern of Motherwell’s away trips.
❓ Interactive Q&A
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