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Can Celtic Park shake off midweek turmoil and keep Celtic on Hearts’ heels — or will Hibernian’s counter punch land? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Celtic have been in formidable league form under Martin O’Neill, winning five of their last six matches. However, they struggle to stop opponents creating chances. Hibernian are clinical on the counter and average 13.3 shots per game, making them highly likely to find the net at Celtic Park.
Read Rationale ▾
Celtic’s attacking dominance and high shot volume (17.1 per match) should secure the win, but Hibs’ counter-attacking threat remains potent. With Celtic winning four of the last six league meetings and Hibs boasting an efficient scoring record, a tight 2-1 victory for the home side looks plausible.
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Celtic Park feels like a pressure cooker right now. Celtic are third with 54 points from 26 games, back within three of Hearts with a game in hand — but the mood has been shaken by that 4-1 Europa League defeat to Stuttgart.
Celtic vs Hibernian — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Celtic’s unbeaten home streak of 21 games against Hibs makes them heavy favourites in the match result market today.
Both teams average double-digit shots per game, suggesting an open contest with a high probability of clearing the 2.5 goal line.
Celtic’s defensive vulnerability and Hibernian’s counter-attacking strength point toward a 2-1 home victory as a realistic outcome.
Benjamin Nygren’s 13 league goals make him the primary threat for Celtic in an attack that averages 17.1 shots.
Match Preview
This is where Martin O’Neill earns his keep. His league return has brought momentum — five wins and a draw in six — and with Hearts playing before this fixture, the equation is simple: keep the title chase alive at 15:00, or let the gap stretch again. Hibernian aren’t arriving to make up the numbers. They’re fifth with 42 points from 27, they carry genuine finishing quality, and their counter-attacks are a real weapon if Celtic get too greedy.
Match Tempo: Offensive Output
Celtic’s high-volume shooting and Hibernian’s aggressive offensive record point toward a game played at a fast pace.
With 17.1 shots per game, Celtic maintain constant pressure on opposition goalkeepers.
Hibs average 13.3 shots per match, showing they are willing to test the keeper from various situations.
Season Momentum: Win Ratio
Celtic have found consistency in the league, winning a high percentage of their matches compared to Hibs’ overall record.
Celtic have won five of their last six matches since O’Neill’s return.
Hibernian sit fifth in the table, reflecting a solid campaign in the Premiership.
Key Statistics
- Title-chase form: Since Martin O’Neill returned in January, Celtic have taken five wins and a draw in six Premiership matches, moving to within three points of Hearts with a game in hand.
- Shot volume, everywhere: Celtic fire 17.1 shots per game in the Premiership, while Hibernian average 13.3 — two sides who play forward and don’t wait politely.
- Home edge in this matchup: Celtic are unbeaten in their last 21 home Premiership matches against Hibernian, and they’ve won 4 of the last 6 league meetings overall.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Injuries / absences:
Celtic: Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (unknown injury).
Celtic (Martin O’Neill) – possible starting XI:
Schmeichel; Araujo, Trusty, Scales, Saracchi; McGregor, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Maeda, Nygren, Hyun-Jun; Cvancara
Hibernian (David Gray) – possible starting XI:
Sallinger; O’Hora, Kiranga, Iredale; Passlack, Barlaser, Andrews, Cadden; McGrath; Elding, Suto
Lineup implications:
- If Oxlade-Chamberlain can’t go, Celtic lose a midfield option who can break lines — that pushes even more creative responsibility onto Callum McGregor and the wide forwards.
- Hibs look set up to spring: McGrath behind two forwards is built for quick releases, especially with runners arriving from wing-back areas.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Premiership) | Celtic | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 5th |
| Points / Games | 54 / 26 | 42 / 27 |
| Goals scored | 48 | 43 |
| Shots per game | 17.1 | 13.3 |
| Possession | 68.3% | 48.5% |
| Pass accuracy | 87.8% | 80.5% |
| Aerials won | 17.3 | 18.7 |
| Team rating | 6.78 | 6.69 |
This looks like classic control versus strike. Celtic dominate the ball (68.3% possession) and rack up shots, while Hibs don’t need long spells on it to hurt you — they create, finish, and counter with intent.
Tactical Battle
Celtic: wide overloads, short passes, and relentless territory
Celtic want the game played in Hibs’ half. The numbers scream it: 68.3% possession, 87.8% pass accuracy, 17.1 shots per match. O’Neill’s side play short, attempt through balls often, and attack down the left — expect Celtic to stack that side and pull Hibs’ back line out of shape.
The key figure is Benjamin Nygren. Thirteen league goals is serious output, and with Daizen Maeda adding 7 goals and 5 assists, Celtic have two direct threats who can win duels on the run and finish moves. If Celtic get their wingers isolated against defenders, the tempo spikes immediately. But there’s a catch: Celtic are very weak at stopping opponents creating chances. That’s a flashing warning light against a Hibs team who are very strong on the counter and strong at creating through-ball chances.
Hibernian: sit in, snap tackles, then break like a whip
Hibs don’t arrive to play keep-ball for the sake of it. They attack through the middle, take a lot of shots, and their strengths read like a blueprint for upsetting a possession-heavy side: counters, through balls, individual quality, and strong finishing. If Celtic squeeze too high, Hibs have the runners to punish them. Kieron Bowie (8 league goals) offers a sharp point up top, while Jamie McGrath (7 goals, 3 assists, rating 7.26) is the connector who makes breaks count. Add Josh Mulligan (5 assists) and Hibs can turn one regain into a proper chance fast.
Key Zones
- Celtic’s left channel vs Hibs’ central counters: Celtic want overloads and through balls; Hibs want one steal and a straight-line sprint into space.
- Set pieces: Both teams defend set pieces strongly, but Hibs also attack them well. If the match gets scrappy, dead balls could become the loudest moments.
- Shot quality vs shot volume: Celtic will likely rack up attempts. Hibs will back their finishing to make fewer chances count.
Key Moments to Watch
- First spell after kick-off: Celtic often start by pinning teams in. If Hibs survive that opening squeeze, belief grows — and the counter threat becomes sharper.
- Nygren’s pockets: If Nygren finds space between midfield and defence, Celtic’s chance creation jumps a level. If Hibs block that lane, Celtic may be forced wide and predictable.
- McGrath on the turn: Give McGrath time facing goal and Hibs can go from “defending” to “in the box” in seconds. Celtic’s structure has to be ruthless here.
- Discipline and flashpoints: Celtic have 73 yellows in their match set, Hibs 66 — this can get spiky if momentum swings.
What could go wrong?
- For Celtic: domination without control. If they flood bodies forward and lose shape, Hibs’ counter-attacks and through balls can turn one turnover into chaos.
- For Hibernian: inviting too much pressure for too long. If they spend the afternoon pinned in their own third, Celtic’s wing play and finishing can eventually grind open even a disciplined block.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result & Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
This market requires you to predict the winner of the match (Home, Draw, or Away) AND whether both sides will score. For the bet to win, your chosen team must win and the final score must see both goalkeepers beaten.
Pros: Offers much higher odds than a simple win bet. Cons: More volatile as a clean sheet for either side ruins the pick.
Correct Score
The Correct Score market is a prediction of the exact final scoreline at the end of regulation time. It is a high-risk, high-reward market because of the precision required.
Pros: High pricing available. Cons: Low probability; a single late goal can flip a winning ticket into a loss instantly.
🎯 Pick 1: Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score
Celtic have been transformed in league competition since Martin O’Neill’s return in January, securing five wins from their last six matches. This momentum has brought them within three points of the top, and their attacking output is relentless, averaging 17.1 shots per game. With Benjamin Nygren in clinical form and Daizen Maeda providing consistent service, Celtic’s ability to find the net at home is rarely in doubt.
However, defensive stability remains a concern. Celtic are weak at preventing opponents from creating high-quality chances. Hibernian arrive with a tactical setup perfectly designed to exploit this, averaging 13.3 shots per match and possessing a strong counter-attacking threat through Jamie McGrath and Kieron Bowie. Given Hibs’ efficiency in front of goal and Celtic’s tendency to allow opportunities, the home win is likely to be conceded without a clean sheet.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators:
- Celtic have won 5 of their last 6 Premiership matches.
- Hibernian average 13.3 shots per match and are strong on the counter.
- Celtic are unbeaten in 21 home games against Hibs but struggle to stop chance creation.
Risk Factor: A rare defensive masterclass from Celtic or a failure from Hibs to convert counter-attacks could result in a win to nil.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 68.3% possession and attacking heavily down the left to pull defences out of shape.
Hibernian can be pinned in their own third if Celtic’s wing play and finishing grind them open.
🎯 Pick 2: Celtic 2-1 Hibernian
The 2-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome based on the contrast between Celtic’s volume of play and Hibernian’s clinical nature. Celtic’s average of 17.1 shots suggests they will create enough opportunities to score multiple goals, especially with a team rating of 6.78 and the creative force of Callum McGregor. Historical data also supports this, with Celtic winning four of the last six league meetings.
Hibernian’s threat cannot be ignored, as they average 13.3 shots and have a reputation for strong finishing and through-ball chances. While Celtic are likely to dominate the ball with 68.3% possession, their defensive vulnerability to counters means Hibs are well-positioned to find at least one goal. A 2-1 margin reflects a game where Celtic’s superior possession and home advantage prevail, but not without Hibs posing a constant threat on the break.
Risk Factor: An early red card or a flurry of goals from Celtic’s wide forwards could easily push the scoreline beyond a single-goal margin.
❓ Questions & Answers
⊕ What is a Match Result & Both Teams to Score bet?
This bet combines two outcomes: the match winner and both teams scoring. To win, your selected team must win the match, and both teams must score at least one goal.
⊕ Why is Celtic 2-1 a plausible scoreline?
Celtic have won 4 of the last 6 league meetings and average 17.1 shots per game. However, their defensive vulnerability to counter-attacks suggests Hibernian, who average 13.3 shots, will also score.
⊕ What does Double Chance mean in betting?
Double Chance allows you to cover two of the three possible match outcomes with one bet. For example, “Celtic and Draw” means you win if Celtic wins or the game ends in a stalemate.
⊕ How many shots do Celtic average per match?
Celtic average 17.1 shots per Premiership match. This high volume indicates a relentless attacking style that frequently tests the opposition’s defence.
⊕ Is Hibernian a threat on the counter-attack?
Yes, Hibernian are very strong on the counter-attack and effective at creating through-ball chances. This makes them dangerous against possession-heavy teams like Celtic.
⊕ What is a Correct Score bet?
A Correct Score bet requires you to predict the exact final score of the match at full-time. It offers high odds because it is difficult to predict precisely.
⊕ What is Celtic’s recent league form?
Celtic have been in excellent league form, taking five wins and a draw in their last six Premiership matches. This has kept them firmly in the title hunt.
⊕ Who is the key scorer for Celtic?
Benjamin Nygren is the primary scoring threat for Celtic with 13 league goals this season. Daizen Maeda is also a significant contributor with 7 goals and 5 assists.
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