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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford Predictions There are grim records you don’t want your club clinging to in December, and Wolverhampton Wanderers have ended up with one that follows them everywhere: they’re still the only club across the top seven tiers of English football without a win this season. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Everton's attacking output is consistently high, averaging over 10 shots and 50 dangerous attacks per game. Their aerial strength makes them favorites at home. However, their weakness in defending through balls and counters aligns with Sunderland's direct style.
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This scoreline reflects Everton's superior attacking metrics and home advantage while acknowledging their defensive vulnerabilities that Sunderland's creative players are capable of exploiting.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford Predictions and Best Bets
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with implied (from listed odds) probabilities and sample bet365 prices shown below.
The 1X2 prices below are shown as a simple snapshot. The rings display implied (from listed odds) percentages, rounded to whole numbers for readability.
These scorelines are lifted directly from the listed correct-score prices. Percentages shown are implied (from listed odds) and rounded.
The bars reflect implied (from listed odds) percentages for a few headline goal-related lines shown in the pricing list.
A quick look at leading goalscorers listed for each side. The numbers shown below are season goal totals, presented for context.
- Wolves’ season in one line: bottom of the table after 16 matches with 0 wins and 0.13 points per game, scoring 9 and conceding 35 for a -26 goal difference.
- A tale of finishing and pressure: Wolves score 0.56 goals per match with a 7% conversion rate and fail to score in 56% of games, despite posting 1.04 xG per match.
- Brentford’s split personality: 6 wins overall and 1.25 points per game, but away it’s 1 win and 7 losses from 8, scoring 0.75 per match and conceding 2.00.
Match Tempo: Average Total Goals per League Game
Both sides tend to be involved in matches with goals on the board, and the total-goals averages show how open their league games have been across the season.
With 35 goals conceded in 16 league matches, scorelines have regularly moved quickly once games open up.
Brentford’s matches average close to three total goals, reflecting a side that scores 22 but has also conceded 25.
Chance Output: Shots on Target per Match
Shots on target offer a neat snapshot of how often attacks turn into genuine goal-threat moments, not just hopeful efforts from range.
Wolves take 8.63 shots a game, but fewer than three on target on average, which helps explain the low scoring rate so far.
Brentford average 9.88 shots per match and land 3.81 on target, pairing volume with a higher conversion rate (14%).
Defensive Load: Goals Conceded per Match
Conceding rates show how much defending each side has had to do under pressure, and how often opponents have turned chances into goals.
Wolves concede a goal every 41 minutes on average, which makes game management difficult even when spells are competitive.
Brentford’s overall conceded rate is lower, though their away split is 2.00 conceded per match across eight league trips.
Can Wolves turn structure into a first win as Brentford arrive at Molineux?
That’s the backdrop as Brentford arrive at Molineux on Saturday afternoon, with Wolves rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table and badly in need of something—anything—that looks like lift-off.
It’s not as if the fixture lacks recent bite. The sides last met in May last season at Molineux, when Marshall Munetsi popped up with a second-half equaliser to secure a 1-1 draw for the Old Gold. A point felt like a rescue act then. Now, with Wolves sat 20th after 16 matches and Brentford 14th, even the idea of a “rescue” has a different weight to it. Wolves aren’t short of games; they’re short of happy endings.
Brentford’s own campaign has had its jagged edges—particularly away from home—but they travel with clearer attacking output, more reliable chance creation, and a striker in Igor Thiago who has been a constant presence in their numbers and their team sheets. Wolves, meanwhile, have been searching for a rhythm in front of goal and a way of defending games that doesn’t feel like living on the edge of a cliff.
Saturday, then, reads like a test of nerve as much as structure: Wolves trying to build a more stable platform, Brentford trying to turn their patterns into points on the road.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Wolves’ possible starting XI points towards a back three: Johnstone in goal; Santiago Bueno, Agbadou and Toti across the line; with Doherty and David Møller Wolfe as the wide outlets. The midfield trio of João Gomes, Ladislav Krejčí and Andre suggests a blend of legs, ball-winning and distribution, while the front pairing of Tolu Arokodare and Hee-Chan Hwang gives them a clear split of profiles: a focal point to hit and a runner to play off him.
That shape matters. Wolves have averaged 46% possession this season and taken 8.63 shots per match, so there’s a hint they’re not simply parking themselves in their own third. The issue has been what happens after they reach the final phase: 0.56 goals per match and a 7% conversion rate tells a story of effort without reward, pressure without punch.
Brentford’s likely XI leans into a 4-2-3-1: Kelleher behind Kayode, Collins, Van den Berg and Hickey; Henderson and Yarmoliuk as the double pivot; then Schade, Damsgaard and Lewis-Potter supplying Igor Thiago. The personnel reads like a side built to move the ball quickly into the front four, with runners either side of a central creator, and a striker who can finish moves himself.
It also hints at how Brentford might attack Wolves’ structure. Against a back three, those wide defenders can end up dragged into uncomfortable decisions: step out to stop the winger, or stay narrow to protect the box. Brentford’s selection gives them ways to force that choice repeatedly.
How the Match Could Be Played
If Wolves do set up with a back three and wing-backs, their first task is to decide how brave they want to be with Doherty and David Møller Wolfe. Push them high and you can pin Brentford’s full-backs back, reduce the service into Schade and Lewis-Potter, and make the game feel more territorial. But it also leaves space behind—exactly the kind of runway you don’t want to offer to a side with natural wide runners and a number 10 in Damsgaard who can find pockets early.
That’s where Wolves’ midfield trio becomes the match’s hinge. With Gomes, Krejčí and Andre, you’d expect Wolves to want to compete centrally, stop Brentford from playing cleanly into the line behind Igor Thiago, and make transitions messy. If they can force second balls and turn the game into a series of broken phases, Molineux becomes a different environment: scrappier, louder, and less comfortable for an away side whose road form has been rough.
In possession, Wolves’ most obvious route is direct-to-connection: hit Arokodare early, bring Hwang into the next action, and try to get wing-backs arriving as the late wave. Arokodare’s presence can also fix Brentford’s centre-backs deeper than they’d like, which might open up a shooting lane for a midfielder arriving on the edge—if Wolves can get the ball there quickly enough.
Brentford, by contrast, look set to build with a calmer base and quicker acceleration. Henderson and Yarmoliuk as a pair suggests they can circulate the ball until the moment is right, then find Damsgaard between lines or slide it wide for Schade and Lewis-Potter to attack. The key question is whether Wolves press that first pass hard or retreat into a block and protect the middle. Wolves concede 2.19 goals per match, so there’s a logic to trying to reduce the amount of defending they do close to their own box. But pressing brings risk too—especially if the press is half-hearted and Brentford can step through it.
A subtle battleground could be the “second half swing”. Wolves’ split by halves is stark: they’ve taken 11 points in first halves across the season (0.69 points per game by that measure), but only five points in second halves (0.31). That suggests games have tended to get away from them after the break. Brentford, meanwhile, have been stronger after half-time (1.25 points per game in second halves) than in first halves (1.31, still solid), which hints at an ability to find solutions as matches develop.
If Wolves are still in it late—level, or even leading—their ability to sustain the same defensive organisation and attacking threat becomes a central narrative. Brentford will fancy that period precisely because Wolves have repeatedly struggled to keep the lid on.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
The league table frames this in blunt terms. Wolves are 20th after 16 matches with two points, nine goals scored and 35 conceded. That goal difference of -26 is the sound of games cracking open. Brentford are 14th with 20 points, 22 goals scored and 25 conceded, which paints them as a side involved in matches rather than shut-outs.
Dig a layer deeper and the profiles sharpen. Wolves average 0.56 goals per match and fail to score in 56% of their games; that is a forward line asked to climb a steep hill most weeks. Their xG for is 1.04 per match, which suggests they are getting into some shooting positions, but the conversion rate of 7% shows how little of that becomes the one thing that changes a stadium mood: a goal.
At the other end, Wolves’ xG against is 1.65 while they concede 2.19 goals per match, a gap that hints at both the volume of chances and the severity of what they allow. Conceding a goal every 41 minutes is not just a stat; it’s the lived experience of never feeling safe in a game state.
Brentford’s numbers read more balanced. They score 1.38 per match, with an xG for of 1.20, and a conversion rate of 14%. They don’t need a mountain of shots to hurt you; their shots per match (9.88) is only a touch higher than Wolves’ 8.63, but their shots on target per match is notably stronger (3.81 to 2.81). That combination—more accuracy, more efficiency—helps explain why Igor Thiago can sit on 11 league goals already.
There’s a warning label for Brentford, though, and it’s painted in away colours. Their away record is one win and seven losses from eight, scoring 0.75 per away match and conceding 2.00. Even for a side 14th overall, those road figures invite a different kind of match: less controlled, more chaotic, and far less predictable.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first 20 minutes could shape the psychology. Wolves draw 75% of their matches in the opening 10 minutes, which suggests they tend to begin without immediate damage. That can be useful if you’re trying to steady yourself and find belief. But belief needs reinforcement, and Wolves’ season-long problem has been turning stretches of competitiveness into clear chances and then goals.
Watch how Wolves use Arokodare. If he can hold Collins and Van den Berg in place, Wolves can build attacks in layers—Hwang darting off the shoulder, wing-backs arriving, midfielders stepping into the second ball. If Brentford win those duels cleanly and keep Wolves chasing, the game tilts towards the Brentford front four having repeat opportunities to isolate defenders.
Damsgaard’s positioning matters too. Against a back three, the space can appear in front of the central defenders, especially if a midfielder gets drawn out to press. If Damsgaard receives on the half-turn, Brentford’s wide players can be released early—exactly the kind of action that forces last-ditch defending.
Then there’s the late-game question. Wolves have scored just three second-half goals across the season’s second-half breakdown, while conceding 21 in second halves. Brentford’s second-half output is stronger, and their capacity to keep creating suggests they’ll back themselves to wear Wolves down.
What could go wrong with this read? Football doesn’t always respect season-long patterns, especially when the margins are thin. An early goal can flip every tactical plan on its head, and a match built around structure can become a scramble of emotions and mistakes. Brentford’s away struggles also mean a good-looking idea on paper doesn’t automatically travel well. Wolves, meanwhile, have drawn twice—proof that they can at least keep a game alive when the shape holds and the finishing goes their way.
Best Bet for Wolves vs Brentford
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Brentford to win
The decision to back Brentford is primarily driven by the profound statistical disparity in clinical finishing and second-half resilience between the two sides. Wolverhampton Wanderers currently hold the unenviable title of being the only club across the top seven tiers of English football without a victory this season. This winless streak is not merely a product of bad luck but is reflected in their conversion metrics. While Wolves manage a reasonable 8.63 shots per match, they have a conversion rate of just 7%, resulting in a meagre 0.56 goals per game. This lack of a “killer instinct” is a significant hurdle when facing a Brentford side that possesses a much higher conversion rate of 14% and a proven goalscorer in Igor Thiago, who has already netted 11 league goals.
Furthermore, the “second-half swing” data suggests that even if Wolves remain competitive early on—having secured 11 points based on first-half performances—they tend to collapse as the game progresses. Wolves have earned only five points from second halves all season, scoring just three times while conceding a staggering 21 goals in that period. In contrast, Brentford have shown they are a more balanced side as matches develop, averaging 1.25 points in second halves.
While Brentford’s away form (one win and seven losses) is a legitimate concern, their overall attacking output is far superior. They score 1.38 goals per match and average more shots on target than their hosts (3.81 compared to 2.81). Against a Wolves defense that concedes 2.19 goals per match—roughly one goal every 41 minutes—Brentford’s efficient front four, led by Damsgaard’s creative positioning, should find ample opportunities to exploit the gaps in Wolves’ back three. The evidence suggests that even if Wolves start brightly, Brentford’s superior clinical edge and late-game stamina make them the most likely victors.
What could go wrong
Brentford’s away record is a glaring weakness, with seven losses from eight road trips and a defensive average of 2.00 goals conceded away from home. If Wolves can leverage the Molineux atmosphere to maintain their first-half defensive discipline for the full 90 minutes, or if Arokodare can dominate the Brentford centre-backs physically, the hosts may be able to scrap for a draw, as they have done twice before this season.
Correct score lean
Brentford to win 2-0
Rationale for the correct score
This selection aligns with Wolves’ persistent struggle to find the net and Brentford’s ability to convert chances. Wolves have failed to score in 56% of their matches this season and average only 0.56 goals per game. Given their low 7% conversion rate, it is statistically probable they will finish without a goal, especially if Brentford’s double pivot of Henderson and Yarmoliuk can successfully shield the back four. Brentford score 1.38 goals per match and possess the clinical Igor Thiago; a two-goal margin reflects their superior efficiency without suggesting a complete blowout, given their own travel inconsistencies.
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