Newcastle United vs Everton Predictions

Newcastle United vs Everton Preview: Toffees Target Another Tyneside Triumph. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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20:00 • Nov 2, 2026

St. James’ Park

Newcastle United

Everton

Newcastle United have an immediate opportunity to avenge their EFL Cup exit when Everton visit St James’ Park on Monday night, but recent results suggest another uncomfortable evening could await Matthias Jaissle’s side.

Newcastle United vs Everton — bet365 Market Snapshot

Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.

Newcastle United

vs

Everton

Main Market • 1X2

Result Outlook

Newcastle United and Everton bring contrasting strengths, leaving this market finely balanced.

Newcastle United

40%

11/8

Draw

27%

13/5

Everton

33%

15/8

Main Market • 1X2

Match Edge

Newcastle United hold one clear edge, but Everton still carry enough threat to respond.

Match Result

Model probability55%—

Correct Score

2-1 Scoreline Lean

Newcastle United hold one clear edge, but Everton still carry enough threat to respond.

Correct Score 2-1

Implied probability11%8/1

Correct Score

Score Pattern

Newcastle United hold one clear edge, but Everton still carry enough threat to respond.

Correct Score 2-1

Implied probability11%8/1

View bet365 Odds

Swipe left or right to browse markets. Odds are subject to change and may differ from live bet365 prices.

Three Punchy Stats

• Newcastle have won just one of four Premier League home matches this season, conceding in all five home fixtures across competitions.
• Everton have won their last two visits to St James’ Park, strengthening their confidence ahead of Monday’s rematch.
• Both teams have scored in four of Newcastle’s five home matches this season, underlining their defensive vulnerability.

David Moyes masterminded a convincing 3-1 victory over the Magpies in midweek, extending Everton’s impressive recent record in this fixture. Newcastle remain one point ahead of their visitors in the Premier League, although their inconsistent performances and defensive vulnerability at home offer the Toffees encouragement.

With both sides looking to establish greater consistency, this quick rematch promises another demanding examination of Newcastle’s defensive organisation and Everton’s ability to translate promising performances into league victories.

Everton Have the Blueprint to Trouble Newcastle

Everton’s midweek cup victory provided a timely reminder of their attacking potential. James Garner, Hayden Hackney and Thierno Barry all scored as Moyes’ side established a commanding three-goal advantage before Dan Burn grabbed a late consolation.

That performance followed consecutive Premier League defeats against Chelsea and Arsenal, both by 2-0 scorelines, highlighting the contrast between Everton’s cup confidence and their recent league struggles.

The Toffees began their league campaign unbeaten in six matches but have since lost twice without scoring. Their away record also requires improvement, with three draws and one defeat from four Premier League trips.

However, those figures do not tell the entire story. Everton have remained competitive away from home, and their recent success against Newcastle should provide considerable encouragement.

They have won three of the last four meetings between the clubs, including their previous two visits to St James’ Park. That familiarity with winning on Tyneside could prove significant against opponents still searching for consistency.

Newcastle’s Home Vulnerability Remains a Concern

Newcastle’s 2-0 victory at Crystal Palace offered some relief following a difficult sequence of results, but their wider defensive record remains troubling.

Jaissle’s team have conceded 14 goals across eight Premier League matches, with only Chelsea among the division’s top-half sides having allowed more during that period.

Their home performances are particularly concerning. Newcastle have won just one of their opening four league fixtures at St James’ Park and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five home matches across all competitions.

A 2-2 draw against Bournemouth, narrow 2-1 victory over Hull City and 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa illustrate their difficulty controlling matches on familiar territory.

Opponents have repeatedly found opportunities to expose Newcastle’s defensive structure, while their midfield has sometimes struggled to provide sufficient protection.

Their inability to consistently retain possession further forward has also contributed to periods of sustained pressure, leaving defenders exposed when attacking moves break down.

Everton’s midfield combination of Garner and Hackney demonstrated its effectiveness during Thursday’s meeting, and Newcastle must respond with greater aggression and discipline if they are to reverse that result.

Team News Could Influence the Rematch

Newcastle face uncertainty over Will Osula after the forward twisted his ankle during the cup defeat. Lewis Miley and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are also doubtful, while Tino Livramento and Ewen Jaouen remain unavailable.

Yoane Wissa could replace Osula in attack, with Joelinton potentially returning to strengthen the midfield.

Everton have their own selection questions, particularly surrounding Jack Grealish following his disciplinary omission. Tyler Dibling could earn a league start, while Jarrad Branthwaite may return after concussion protocols.

Those decisions could influence how effectively Everton exploit Newcastle’s defensive weaknesses.

Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Newcastle possess enough attacking quality to respond to Thursday’s disappointment, but their defensive uncertainty makes another difficult contest likely.

Everton have already demonstrated how to trouble Jaissle’s side, and their strong recent record on Tyneside strengthens their prospects.

With Newcastle struggling to control matches at home and Everton seeking their first away league victory, another open encounter looks possible. Both sides have reasons to believe they can score, although Everton’s recent superiority could give them the edge.

🎯 Pick 1: Newcastle Asian Handicap -0.25

Newcastle United host Everton seeking to consolidate their slight Premier League advantage, making the Asian Handicap -0.25 an appropriate approach for a team demonstrating superior league form but undeniable structural flaws. Matthias Jaissle’s side sit one point ahead of their visitors and recently secured a 2-0 victory at Crystal Palace. Conversely, Everton’s league momentum has stalled dramatically. After an unbeaten six-match start, the Toffees have suffered consecutive 2-0 defeats against Chelsea and Arsenal, leaving them searching for their first away league victory following three draws and one defeat on the road.

That disparity in recent league stability makes the home side the logical focal point, but Newcastle’s inability to control matches at St James’ Park necessitates the partial insurance of the split handicap. The hosts have won just one of their four Premier League home fixtures. Their midfield frequently struggles to retain possession or provide sufficient defensive protection, leaving the backline exposed when attacking moves break down. Because of this vulnerability, a straight Match Result selection carries unnecessary volatility. The -0.25 line ensures a half-stakes refund if Everton’s midfield disrupts Newcastle enough to force a draw.

The primary counterpoint is Everton’s impressive recent history on Tyneside, including a 3-1 cup victory in midweek and wins in their last two league visits. However, Everton’s broader league struggles and consecutive blanks against Chelsea and Arsenal suggest their cup performance may be difficult to replicate. Newcastle possess the attacking quality to secure a narrow victory, and the Asian Handicap structure suitably guards against the hosts’ lingering home instability.

Risk Factor: Everton have won three of the last four meetings, including a 3-1 cup victory in midweek, posing a threat despite Newcastle's home advantage.

⚔️ Pick 2: Newcastle vs Everton 2-1 @ 8/1

A 2-1 home victory aligns closely with both sides’ recent scoring profiles, balancing Newcastle’s attacking capacity with their established inability to keep opponents off the scoresheet. The hosts have demonstrated severe defensive vulnerability, conceding 14 goals across just eight Premier League matches. Only Chelsea have allowed more among top-half sides during that period. At St James’ Park, that fragility is pronounced; Newcastle have failed to keep a clean sheet in all five home matches across competitions, with both teams scoring in four of those fixtures.

Everton’s ability to contribute to this scoreline was proven in midweek when James Garner, Hayden Hackney and Thierno Barry all scored in a 3-1 cup win over Jaissle’s team. Newcastle’s midfield gaps and transition struggles provide a clear route for the visitors to find the net. However, translating that single cup performance into multiple away league goals is challenging for an Everton side that recently suffered consecutive 2-0 league defeats to Chelsea and Arsenal. The visitors have drawn three and lost one of their four away league trips, establishing a pattern of competitive but ultimately limited away performances.

To reach two goals, Newcastle must exploit an Everton defence that conceded twice in each of their last two league outings. The hosts found a way to score in recent home fixtures against Bournemouth, Hull City and Aston Villa, alongside a 2-0 away win at Crystal Palace. While Everton’s midweek success offers precedent for an away upset, Newcastle’s slight league superiority and home advantage make a narrow 2-1 victory a coherent reflection of the supplied defensive metrics.