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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“St James’ Park remains one of the toughest grounds to visit. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches across all competitions, averaging a healthy 2.0 goals per game on Tyneside. However, their away form is a concern, with a win rate of just 20% on the road. If you are betting on Newcastle, stick to home games or back the ‘Double Chance’ when they travel.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystNewcastle United Betting Guide: Fortress St James’
Newcastle sit 9th in the league, a position defined by their stark home vs away split. At home, they are a formidable force (6 wins, 2 draws), but away from home, they struggle to replicate that intensity. They average 1.4 goals per game overall, but this jumps to 1.81 at home.
The ‘Bruno’ Factor & Card Markets
Two key player trends stand out for bettors:
- Bruno Guimarães: Not just a midfield controller, he is joint-top scorer with 7 goals. His price for “Anytime Goalscorer” is often inflated because he’s a midfielder—offering great value.
- Discipline Issues: Newcastle are aggressive. Dan Burn leads with 5 yellow cards, followed closely by Joelinton and Bruno with 4 each. In high-intensity games, backing “Over 2.5 Cards” for Newcastle is a smart play.
- Nick Woltemade: The new signing has been a revelation, matching Bruno with 7 goals. Keep an eye on his fitness and starting spot.
“Newcastle host Leeds United next (Jan 7). Leeds concede 1.65 goals per game on average, while Newcastle score nearly 2 at home. I expect a comfortable home win here. The ‘Newcastle -1 Handicap’ is worth a look given Leeds’ defensive frailty.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães | Score or Assist | 7 Goals, 2 Assists | Heart of the team. High involvement. |
| Dan Burn | To Be Carded | 5 Cards | Struggles vs pace. Most booked. |
| Nick Woltemade | Anytime Scorer | 7 Goals | Clinical finisher. Joint top scorer. |
| Joelinton | To Be Carded | 4 Cards | Enforcer role. High foul count. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
Newcastle face Leeds (Home – Jan 7) and then Bournemouth (Home – Jan 10) in the FA Cup. This double-header at St James’ Park is a prime opportunity to build momentum. With Leeds conceding 33 goals this season, Newcastle’s attack should have plenty of joy. The “Over 2.5 Goals” market has landed in 60% of Newcastle’s games, making it a solid addition to any accumulator.
