Liverpool vs Fulham: Reds’ attacking efficiency meets visitors’ defensive strain. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Liverpool's consistent multi-goal scoring and Fulham's ability to create chances but concede frequently support a home win with both teams scoring. Liverpool average 5.3 shots on target per game, while Fulham's recent 3.13 xG and six shots on target in defeat show they can breach Liverpool's defence.
Liverpool's consistent multi-goal scoring and Fulham's defensive vulnerability support a 3-1 home win. Isak's recent form and Fulham's ability to score despite conceding heavily make this scoreline plausible.
Liverpool host Fulham at Anfield on Saturday with the early-season records pointing in sharply different directions.
Liverpool vs Fulham — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Liverpool look stronger on recent form, while Fulham remain vulnerable after weaker results.
Fulham hold the stronger winning edge, while Liverpool still offer enough threat for BTTS.
Liverpool carry the stronger defensive profile, while Fulham remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Liverpool average more shots on target per game than Fulham, indicating attacking dominance.
Three Punchy Stats
- Liverpool average 5.3 shots on target from 15 attempts across their last 10 league matches; Fulham manage 3.6 from 14.7. Similar volume is producing very different levels of threat.
- Fulham have scored only 0.8 goals per league game across their last 10 despite averaging 14.7 attempts, highlighting the efficiency problem confronting them at Anfield.
- Isak has four goals across Liverpool’s recent league sample and scored both at Ipswich. One more on Saturday would already surpass his Premier League total from the whole of 2025-26.
Consecutive Matches Scored
Recent attacking records for Liverpool and Fulham are shown below.
Clean Sheet Runs
Recent defensive records for Liverpool and Fulham are shown below.
Andoni Iraola’s side have taken five points from three Premier League matches and arrive after successive 2-0 and 2-1 victories over Ipswich Town and Atletico Madrid. Fulham, by contrast, have lost all three league games under Alvaro Arbeloa.
The more revealing contrast is not simply results. Liverpool have combined sustained attacking output with signs of greater defensive control, while Fulham are producing plenty of attempts without converting enough of them. That gap between volume and efficiency may shape the afternoon.
Liverpool are finding reward for their pressure
Across their last 10 league matches, Liverpool have averaged 15 attempts and 5.3 shots on target, scoring 1.9 goals per game. Those figures suggest a side generating both quantity and sufficient accuracy to make the pressure count.
Alexander Isak sharpens that picture. He scored both goals in the 2-0 win at Ipswich and has four across the wider 10-game sample. Another goal against Fulham would take him beyond his entire Premier League total from 2025-26.
Liverpool’s attacking output has also remained consistent under Iraola, with multiple goals scored in every game of his tenure so far. Fulham therefore arrive needing to contain a team that have repeatedly found more than one route to the scoresheet.
Fulham’s shooting numbers hide a finishing problem
Fulham’s attacking figures require more care than their zero-point start might suggest. They average 14.7 attempts across their last 10 league games, barely below Liverpool’s 15, yet manage only 3.6 shots on target and 0.8 goals.
That is a significant distinction. Fulham are getting into enough shooting situations, but far fewer attempts are testing the goalkeeper and even fewer are becoming goals. Liverpool’s 5.3 shots on target from a similar overall volume underlines the difference in effectiveness.
The 3-2 defeat to Crystal Palace offered another example of why Fulham cannot simply be dismissed as toothless. They produced 3.13 xG, held 64% possession and registered six shots on goal. Joshua King and Cesar Palacios both scored. Creating was not the problem; turning enough of that work into a result was.
The defensive comparison favours the hosts
Fulham have conceded seven goals in their opening three league fixtures, including three against both Chelsea and Palace. Their broader record is slightly less severe, with 1.4 goals conceded per game across the last 10 league matches, but that still leaves little room for inefficiency at the other end.
Liverpool have conceded 1.5 per game over their equivalent 10-match sample, so their longer-term defensive figures are hardly untouchable. Recent evidence is stronger, though: Ipswich were beaten without scoring, while Atletico managed one at Anfield.
Liverpool are also seeking their first Premier League home win of the season after three consecutive league draws at Anfield. Fulham have historical encouragement from their 1-0 win there in March 2021, but Liverpool have since won four and drawn one of the next five home meetings in all competitions.
Availability may test Liverpool’s depth
The hosts have several absentees. Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, Hugo Ekitike, Joe Gomez and Federico Chiesa are sidelined, while Cody Gakpo is doubtful with an adductor problem. Bradley Barcola and Milos Kerkez suffered cramp against Atletico rather than more serious issues, and Victor Munoz is available if required.
Fulham remain without Luc De Fougerolles and Tom Cairney because of knee injuries. Manuel Angel, David Affengruber and Hugo Larsson were all included in the squad against Palace, with Larsson making a brief appearance.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Liverpool to win and both teams to score. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Liverpool vs Fulham 3-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Liverpool to win and both teams to score @ 13/8
Liverpool’s early momentum under Andoni Iraola combined with a reliable goalscoring output makes a home victory attractive, while Fulham’s creation numbers support their ability to contribute to the scoresheet. Across their last 10 league fixtures, Liverpool have averaged 15 attempts and 5.3 shots on target, scoring 1.9 goals per game. Crucially, Iraola’s side have scored multiple goals in every match of his tenure so far, establishing a consistent attacking baseline that puts immense pressure on visiting defences at Anfield.
Fulham arrive at Anfield having lost all three league matches under Alvaro Arbeloa, conceding seven goals in those fixtures, including three against Chelsea and three against Crystal Palace. However, Fulham are not creating in a vacuum; they averaged 14.7 attempts across their last 10 league matches and generated 3.13 xG with six shots on target in their 3-2 defeat to Palace. While Fulham struggle with finishing efficiency—scoring only 0.8 goals per game from nearly 15 attempts—their ability to hold 64% possession and create high xG totals against Palace indicates they can breach a Liverpool defence that has conceded 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league outings.
Although Liverpool kept a clean sheet in their recent 2-0 victory over Ipswich Town, their broader sample shows defensive permeability, having conceded in a 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid. With several defensive absentees including Joe Gomez and Conor Bradley, Liverpool face depth tests even as their attack flourishes. Combining a Liverpool victory with both teams scoring reflects Fulham’s intent in transition and Liverpool’s proven goal volume.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Liverpool have scored multiple goals in every fixture under Andoni Iraola while averaging 5.3 shots on target per league match.
- Fulham generated 3.13 xG and registered six shots on target in their 3-2 defeat to Crystal Palace, demonstrating scoring capability.
- Fulham have conceded seven goals in their opening three Premier League games under Alvaro Arbeloa.
Risk Factor: Liverpool keeping a clean sheet or Fulham failing to score would cause this bet to lose.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 5.3 shots on target per match from 15 attempts, scoring 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 league fixtures.
Managing only 3.6 shots on target from 14.7 attempts while conceding seven goals across their first three league games.
⚔️ Pick 2: Liverpool vs Fulham 3-1 @ 9/1
Liverpool’s multi-goal streak per game combined with Fulham’s 7 goals conceded in 3 games makes a three-goal home output realistic, while Fulham’s 3.13 xG against Palace shows they can get on the scoresheet.
A 3-1 victory for Liverpool directly reflects the statistical trends established by both clubs over their recent league samples. Liverpool’s attack has maintained high conversion levels, averaging 1.9 goals and 5.3 shots on target per match across their last 10 league games. Facing a Fulham side that has already conceded seven goals in three Premier League matches under Alvaro Arbeloa—including three goals to Chelsea and three to Crystal Palace—Liverpool possess the necessary conditions to score at least three goals at Anfield. Alexander Isak’s form, having scored four goals across his last 10 league appearances including two against Ipswich Town, further supports this high home output.
For Fulham’s side of the 3-1 scoreline, their underlying creation metrics show they rarely leave matches without threatening. Despite averaging just 0.8 goals per game across their last 10 outings, their 14.7 attempts per match and recent 3.13 xG performance against Palace—where Joshua King and Cesar Palacios both scored—demonstrate that Arbeloa’s team can break through. Liverpool have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league fixtures and allowed a goal in their 2-1 win against Atletico Madrid, proving that maintaining total defensive shutouts remains difficult.
Liverpool have won four of the last five home meetings against Fulham in all competitions following a historical 1-0 defeat in March 2021. While a 3-1 scoreline offers a logical intersection between Liverpool’s multiple-goal streak and Fulham’s defensive difficulties, exact-score selections remain inherently fragile, as a single missed chance or late strike defeats the outcome.
Risk Factor: A clean sheet for Liverpool or Fulham scoring fewer goals than expected would negate this prediction.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does "Liverpool to win and both teams to score" mean?
Liverpool must win and Fulham must score at least one goal for this bet to win.
How does a Correct Score bet on 3-1 settle?
It wins only if Liverpool beat Fulham exactly 3-1 at full-time.
What is Alexander Isak's recent scoring record?
Isak has scored four goals in his last 10 league appearances.
How many goals have Fulham conceded this season?
Fulham have conceded seven goals in their first three Premier League matches.
Did Fulham create chances in their defeat to Crystal Palace?
Yes, they generated 3.13 xG and had six shots on target.
What is Liverpool's recent home record against Fulham?
Liverpool have won four and drawn one of their last five home meetings.
