Liverpool vs Fulham Predictions

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Can the Reds steady themselves when the pressure is at its sharpest? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Anfield
Liverpool crest
Liverpool
Fulham crest
Fulham
Key Match Fact
Liverpool remain unbeaten in 43 of their last 50 home games, while Fulham have taken points in 3 of the last 4 league meetings.
Premier League
Liverpool vs Fulham Best Bets
🎯 FREE Both Teams To Score
Odds 1/2
Confidence
Read Rationale

Both teams have scored in each of the last seven meetings between these sides. Liverpool are struggling defensively with key absences, while Fulham possess a consistent goal threat through Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez. Liverpool’s home attacking volume remains high, making goals at both ends highly probable at Anfield.

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🎯 FREE Liverpool 2-1 Fulham
Odds 8/1
Confidence
Read Rationale

Liverpool’s strong home record suggests they should edge this, but their recent defensive vulnerabilities mean a clean sheet is unlikely. Given Fulham have taken points in recent meetings and both sides score frequently in this fixture, a narrow 2-1 victory for the Reds aligns with current form and tactical gaps.

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Anfield gets a huge one on Saturday evening. Liverpool are under real pressure in the race for the Champions League places following a rough stretch of results.

Liverpool vs Fulham — bet365 Market Snapshot

Key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds from match analysis.

Liverpool crest
Liverpool
vs
Fulham crest
Fulham
Main Market • 1X2
Match Result

Liverpool’s 43 wins in 50 home games make them strong favourites despite recent struggles in all competitions.

Liverpool
63%
bet3654/7
Draw
27%
bet36513/5
Over/Under Goals
Total Goals – Over 2.5

Both teams have scored in the last seven meetings, indicating a high probability of a high-scoring game.

Over 2.5
69% bet3654/9
Correct Score
Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool’s defensive lapses and Fulham’s scoring consistency suggest a narrow 2-1 result as a plausible scoreline.

Liv 2-1 Ful
11% bet3658/1
Player Stat
Anytime Scorer

Hugo Ekitike leads Liverpool’s attack with 11 league goals, making him a primary threat in this fixture.

Ekitike
22% bet3657/2
Information only. Any probabilities shown are implied from the listed odds. 18+ GambleAware.

Match Snapshot

  • Pressure is building at Anfield: Liverpool have won only one of their last six matches in all competitions, losing four, yet they remain unbeaten in 43 of their last 50 home games across all competitions.
  • Fulham have made this fixture awkward: Both teams have scored in each of the last seven meetings in all competitions, and Fulham have taken points from Liverpool in three of the last four league meetings.
  • Liverpool still drive the bigger numbers: The Reds average 16.17 shots, 58% possession and 61.88 dangerous attacks per game, while Fulham post 12.66 shots, 54% possession and 48.53 dangerous attacks.

Attacking Intent: Shots per Premier League Match

Liverpool maintain a high volume of pressure at Anfield, while Fulham are selective but dangerous with their limited opportunities.

Liverpool
High Volume
15.7
Average shots per Premier League game

With 16.17 shots across all competitions, the Reds consistently test opposition goalkeepers throughout the 90 minutes.

Fulham
Efficient Attack
12.4
Average shots per Premier League game

Fulham average 12.66 shots across all competitions, showing they are not afraid to shoot when gaps appear in transition.

Final Third Pressure: Dangerous Attacks

This metric highlights how often each team enters the critical zones to create high-quality scoring opportunities.

Liverpool
Dominant
61.88
Average dangerous attacks per match

Liverpool’s 58% possession leads to a high frequency of dangerous entries, pinning opponents back for long periods.

Fulham
Reactive
48.53
Average dangerous attacks per match

Despite lower overall possession, Fulham manage a significant number of dangerous attacks through width and quick releases.

Match Preview

Anfield gets a huge one on Saturday evening. Liverpool are under real pressure in the race for the Champions League places, and the timing is brutal. A rough stretch of results has dented momentum, raised questions and tightened the table around Arne Slot’s side, so this is not a fixture they can drift through.

Fulham arrive with enough belief to make this uncomfortable. Marco Silva’s team have their own purpose, their own attacking threats and, crucially, a recent record in this fixture that says they will not turn up intimidated. The sides drew 2-2 in January, and Fulham also won 3-2 in the corresponding league meeting before that. Kick-off is 17:30, and Liverpool need urgency, control and a much cleaner performance than some of their recent ones.

Team News & Probable Lineups

Liverpool Team News

C. Bradley is out after knee surgery until 30.06.2026. G. Leoni is out with a cruciate ligament tear until 01.09.2026. W. Endo is sidelined with an ankle injury until 31.05.2026. J. Gomez is out with muscular problems. Alisson is still receiving treatment after a hamstring injury and is targeting a return in the next week or two. Alexander Isak has made significant progress from an ankle issue and could return to the rotation soon.

Fulham Team News

Kevin Santos is out after foot surgery and will remain sidelined until June.

Probable Liverpool Lineup

Mamardashvili, Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Gakpo, Wirtz, Szoboszlai, Ekitike

Probable Fulham Lineup

Leno, Castagne, Anderson, Bassey, Sessegnon, Iwobi, Berge, Bobb, Smith-Rowe, Wilson, Jimenez

Liverpool still have enough quality in the likely XI to dominate the ball, but the absences at the back and in midfield trim some security. That matters because this side has already looked too open when games get loose. Fulham’s likely side looks compact, balanced and dangerous in transition. With Iwobi, Wilson and Jimenez all in there, they have the kind of front-foot outlets that can punish hesitation.

Tale of the Tape

Metric Liverpool Fulham
League position 5th 9th
Points 49 44
Premier League goals scored 50 43
Premier League goals conceded 42 44
Shots per game 15.7 12.4
Possession 60.2% 51.9%
Pass accuracy 85.8% 83.8%
Aerials won 15.8 14.4
Clean sheets 15 8
Last six matches W1 D1 L4 W3 D1 L2

The raw numbers say Liverpool should control the territory, the ball and the volume of attacks. They shoot more, pass more and spend more time in the opposition half. Fulham are not miles off in possession, but their game is usually more selective and more reactive. The danger for Liverpool is that the control has not always turned into comfort. They still create plenty, but their recent weakness without the ball keeps dragging opponents back into matches. Fulham will look at those spaces and feel there is something to hit.

Tactical Analysis: How the Match Plays Out

Liverpool should own the rhythm

Liverpool’s identity is obvious. They want to control the game in the opposition’s half, use possession football, and move it through short passes until the pressure breaks the other side down. At their best, they are fast, fluid and hard to breathe against. That should still be the pattern here. Liverpool average 16.17 shots per game, 58% possession, and over 110 total attacks per match across all competitions. They have too much technical quality not to dominate long stretches at Anfield, especially with Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Gakpo and Ekitike all likely involved. The clearest attacking focus is around Hugo Ekitike. He has 11 league goals and 4 assists, averages 2.3 shots per game, and looks like the sharpest finishing point in Liverpool’s likely XI. Around him, Szoboszlai remains a major creative engine, while Gravenberch gives the midfield both drive and balance.

Fulham can still hurt them in the gaps

This is where the game gets interesting. Fulham are not a side built to simply survive. They are organised, but they also carry threat through width, sharp passing and smart movement around the striker. Their style leans towards attacking down the left, playing with width, and using short passes before releasing runners into space. That lines up well against some of Liverpool’s softer spots. The hosts are weak at defending set pieces, weak at protecting the lead, and very weak at stopping opponents from creating chances. Those are not minor flaws. They are the exact kind of cracks a well-coached side like Fulham will keep probing. Harry Wilson is a huge part of that. He has 10 goals and 6 assists, and he gives Fulham both delivery and finishing threat. Raul Jimenez adds 9 goals, strong hold-up play and aerial presence, while Iwobi brings energy and link play. If Fulham can get those three receiving early enough, Liverpool’s back line will not get an easy evening.

The wings and transitions could decide everything

Fulham’s biggest weakness on paper is defending attacks down the wings and through ball attacks, and that should encourage Liverpool. With Frimpong and Kerkez pushing on, plus Gakpo and Szoboszlai drifting into channels, the Reds can stretch Fulham horizontally and attack the spaces between full-back and centre-back. But Liverpool will need care when the ball turns over. Fulham are weak at defending counter attacks, yet Liverpool are also strong on the counter and strong in wide attacks, so there is chaos potential in both directions. If Liverpool lose patience and overcommit, Fulham can spring into the space left behind. This feels like a game where Liverpool should have more of everything, but not necessarily total control. Fulham have enough structure and enough threat to keep it live.

Key Moments to Watch

  • Liverpool’s first 20 minutes: Anfield will demand intensity, and a fast start could change the whole mood.
  • The Ekitike vs Andersen-Bassey duel: Liverpool need their striker to pin Fulham back and finish the openings that come.
  • Fulham’s counters through Wilson and Iwobi: Liverpool have shown enough defensive looseness to be vulnerable here.
  • Set pieces at both ends: Liverpool are weak defending them, while Fulham are strong at it.
  • The wide battle: Liverpool’s wing threat against Fulham’s weakness in those channels could be the biggest mismatch on the pitch.

What Could Go Wrong?

For Liverpool, the danger is obvious. They can dominate the ball, miss big moments and then get dragged into an anxious match by one sloppy defensive phase. Recent defeats have already shown how quickly their structure can wobble once the game gets stretched. For Fulham, the risk is that Liverpool’s pressure simply becomes too constant. If they get pinned too deep, lose the ball too early and let wave after wave come at them, the discipline can crack. Against a side creating this many shots and attacks, one lapse can quickly become two.

📊 Market Explainer

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

This market requires both the home and away side to find the net at least once during the 90 minutes. It is a popular choice for matches where both teams possess strong attacking metrics but show defensive vulnerabilities.

Pros: High probability in historically high-scoring fixtures. Cons: A single clinical defensive performance can ruin the selection.

Correct Score

Correct score betting involves predicting the exact final result of the match. Due to the difficulty of pinpointing the precise outcome, this market typically offers higher prices than standard match results.

Pros: Significant returns for accuracy. Cons: High volatility; a late goal or VAR decision can flip the outcome instantly.

🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale

Analysing the recent history of this fixture reveals a remarkably consistent pattern: both teams have scored in each of the last seven meetings across all competitions. This trend is supported by current tactical indicators, as Liverpool’s high attacking volume of 16.17 shots per game meets a Fulham side that averages over 12 shots themselves. Liverpool have looked open when games get loose, failing to keep clean sheets in several recent matches, and the absence of Alisson and Joe Gomez further reduces their defensive security. Fulham’s attacking identity, which focuses on width and quick transitions through Wilson and Jimenez, is perfectly suited to exploiting the spaces left behind by Liverpool’s aggressive full-backs. Given that Liverpool have scored in the vast majority of their home fixtures and Fulham have taken points in three of the last four league meetings, the likelihood of a cagey nil-nil is extremely low. Both sides have clear routes to goal, with Liverpool dominating possession and Fulham thriving on the counter-attack.

⚔️ Tactical Indicators

  • Both teams scored in the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
  • Liverpool average 61.88 dangerous attacks per match.
  • Fulham have taken points in 3 of the last 4 league encounters.

Risk Factor: Liverpool could prioritise defensive structure following recent heavy defeats, leading to a more conservative approach.

🎯 Correct Score: Liverpool 2-1 Fulham Rationale

Predicting a 2-1 victory for Liverpool aligns with the statistical reality that the Reds remain unbeaten in 43 of their last 50 matches at Anfield. While their recent form has dipped with four losses in six, their home record provides a significant buffer. Fulham are strong enough to contribute to the scoreboard—averaging 1.5 goals in recent meetings—but Liverpool’s technical superiority should ultimately prevail. Hugo Ekitike, with 11 league goals, remains the focal point for a side that creates over 110 total attacks per game. Fulham’s weakness in defending wide areas and ball attacks plays directly into Liverpool’s strengths with Frimpong and Kerkez. However, the hosts are weak at defending set pieces and protecting leads, which suggests Fulham will find a way through, likely via a Harry Wilson delivery or Jimenez’s aerial presence. A 2-1 scoreline reflects a game where Liverpool dominate territory but fail to secure the “clean” victory their possession stats might otherwise suggest.

15.7 LFC Shots/G
12.4 FFC Shots/G

Scoreline Probability: A high-shot environment for both teams supports a 2-1 outcome.

⚠️

Key Tactical Mismatch

Liverpool Strength
Dangerous Attack Volume
Averaging 61.88 dangerous attacks. Constant horizontal stretching of Fulham’s defensive lines.
Fulham Weakness
Wing & Ball Defence
Vulnerable to wide attacks and through balls, matching Liverpool’s primary method of chance creation.
🎯 Pro Insight: Liverpool’s wing threat against Fulham’s channel weakness is the biggest mismatch on the pitch.

❓ Interactive Q&A

What does “Both Teams to Score” mean in football betting?

What is BTTS?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is a wager where you bet on whether both sides find the net at least once. If the match ends 1-1, 2-1, or 5-4, the bet wins regardless of who wins the game.

Why is the history of Liverpool vs Fulham important for this bet?

Fixture History and BTTS

Recent history shows both teams have scored in the last seven meetings. This suggests the tactical styles of both managers consistently create scoring opportunities for both sides.

Who are the main injury absentees for Liverpool?

Liverpool Injury Update

Liverpool are without Alisson, W. Endo, C. Bradley, G. Leoni, and J. Gomez. These absences significantly impact their defensive stability and midfield depth.

How does Correct Score betting work?

Correct Score Explained

Correct score betting requires the user to predict the final scoreline exactly. It offers higher odds because the probability of getting the exact number of goals for both teams is lower than a simple win/draw result.

Is Hugo Ekitike likely to score in this match?

Hugo Ekitike Scoring Form

Ekitike is Liverpool’s primary threat with 11 league goals and 2.3 shots per game. His role as the central finisher makes him a key candidate to contribute to the scoreline.

What is Fulham’s biggest tactical threat?

Fulham Tactical Threat

Fulham thrive on attacking down the wings and quick transitions. Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez are the focal points of an attack that punishes teams that leave space at the back.

Why is a 2-1 scoreline plausible for this game?

2-1 Rationale

Liverpool’s strong home win rate (43 of 50) combined with their current defensive weaknesses and Fulham’s scoring consistency makes a narrow home win with goals for both sides likely.

What should I consider before placing a bet?

Responsible Betting Factors

Consider the volatility of correct score markets and the impact of team news. Always bet within your limits and ensure you are aware of the risks involved in high-odds markets.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats firmly for football. His passion started at grassroots level, where he experienced the game’s raw emotion and community spirit on local pitches long before witnessing its grand theatre in major stadiums. Over the past seven years, Steve has contributed his insight to multiple online publications, chronicling football’s constant evolution with clarity and narrative flair. Away from the keyboard, he holds a deep affection for Burnley Football Club, embracing every high, low, and hard-fought moment. Steve’s work is driven by a belief in football’s storytelling power—bringing supporters closer to the game they love through thoughtful analysis and compelling narrative.
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