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Nottingham Forest
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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“Nottingham Forest are fighting for survival, sitting just above the drop zone in 17th. Their biggest issue is goals—scoring just 0.95 per game, the lowest in the league. However, their defense is surprisingly stubborn at home, keeping games tight. The value here is consistently on the ‘Unders’. ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ has landed in 45% of their games, but ‘Under 3.5 Goals’ is a near-lock at 82%.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystNottingham Forest Betting Guide: The Low-Scoring Grind
Sean Dyche’s side are engaged in a gritty battle for survival. Their matches are rarely high-scoring affairs, averaging just 2.5 goals per game overall. At home, they struggle to break teams down, failing to score in 55% of matches at the City Ground.
The ‘MGW’ Factor
With goals hard to come by, Morgan Gibbs-White is the only reliable spark:
- Top Scorer: He leads the team with 5 goals from midfield. If Forest score, he’s usually involved.
- Assist King: Elliot Anderson and Ibrahim Sangaré share the creative burden with 2 assists each.
- Discipline: Forest are combative. Elliot Anderson, Neco Williams, and Nikola Milenković all have 4 yellow cards, making them targets for booking points.
“Forest travel to Brentford next (Jan 25). Brentford score heavily at home (3.0 goals per game), while Forest struggle to find the net. This looks like a comfortable home win for the Bees. I’ll be backing ‘Brentford to Win to Nil’ as the value play given Forest’s 45% failure-to-score rate away from home.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | Score or Assist | 5 Goals, 1 Assist | Main attacking threat. |
| Elliot Anderson | To Be Carded | 4 Cards | Combative midfielder. High risk. |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | Anytime Scorer | 3 Goals | Secondary goal option on the wing. |
| Nikola Milenković | To Be Carded | 4 Cards | Physical defender. Good value vs pace. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
Forest face Brentford (Away – Jan 25) and then Crystal Palace (Home – Feb 1). The Palace game is a massive “six-pointer”. Palace are poor at home but good away, while Forest struggle generally. The “Draw” or “Under 2.5 Goals” in the Palace game looks like the safest statistical angle.
