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Can Oliver Glasner’s resilient Eagles extend their unbeaten home streak against a Newcastle side desperate for a response? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Crystal Palace are in excellent home form, boasting a five-game unbeaten streak at Selhurst Park without conceding a single goal. Newcastle struggle to defend counter-attacks and have a leaky defence, having conceded 45 goals this season. Palace’s momentum and defensive solidity makes them very difficult to beat here.
Read Rationale ▾
While Palace are strong at home, Newcastle possess a significant scoring threat with 44 goals this season. Newcastle are also dominant at attacking set pieces, which is Palace’s primary defensive weakness. A competitive stalemate is highly plausible given both teams’ conflicting strengths in the air and tactical setups.
Crystal Palace return to Selhurst Park with momentum building and confidence rising. Oliver Glasner’s side are hunting a third straight victory in all competitions.
Palace vs Newcastle — bet365 Snapshot
Swipe for key markets with implied probabilities from current bet365 odds.
Newcastle are favourites based on league data, but Palace’s five-game home unbeaten run creates a balanced outlook.
Newcastle’s high offensive volume (44 goals) suggests chances, though Palace have kept consecutive home shutouts.
The 1–1 draw represents the highest probability scoreline given the tactical tension between these two squads.
Match Preview: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
Selhurst Park should feel lively for this one. Crystal Palace return home for a 14:00 kickoff with momentum building, confidence rising and a top-half push still there to be chased.
Oliver Glasner’s side arrive off a sharp 3-0 win over Fiorentina and are now hunting a third straight victory in all competitions. The mood around Palace has changed, especially at home, where they have been stubborn, compact and clean at the back.
Newcastle United arrive with more edge than calm. Eddie Howe’s side have had time to sit with that derby defeat to Sunderland, and they need a response. They still sit above Palace in the table, but not by much, and this has the feel of a match that could swing quickly if one side grabs control in midfield and attacks the right spaces.
Defensive Comparison: Clean Sheet Dominance
Palace have built their recent surge on defensive structure, while Newcastle’s matches tend to be more volatile at the back.
Unbeaten in five straight home matches with consecutive shutouts at Selhurst Park.
Despite 13 clean sheets, they have conceded 45 goals in total during this campaign.
Attacking Volume: Goals Scored
A look at the sheer goal output between the two sides as they head into the clash.
Averaging 13.2 shots per game, showing higher offensive volume than the hosts.
Rely on direct attacks through the middle with 11.7 shots per match.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Crystal Palace Team News
- Chris Richards is out with knee problems.
- C. Kporha is unavailable with a back injury.
Palace still look settled in shape despite that blow in defence. The absence of Richards weakens a back line that has been central to Palace’s recent clean-sheet run.
Newcastle United Team News
- No fresh injuries or suspensions are listed here.
Newcastle look able to go close to full strength in this one. That gives Eddie Howe options, especially in wide areas and through central midfield.
Probable Lineups
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle United |
|---|---|
| Henderson | Ramsdale |
| Canvot, Richards, Lacroix | Livramento, Thiaw, Burn, Hall |
| Munoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell | Tonali, Joelinton |
| Sarr, Pino | Elanga, Woltemade, Barnes |
| Mateta | Gordon |
Palace’s likely setup keeps the usual attacking spine intact. Jean-Philippe Mateta, Ismaïla Sarr and Yéremy Pino give them runners, dribblers and a direct route into the box. Newcastle’s front line looks mobile rather than purely physical. Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes and Anthony Elanga should stretch the pitch, while Nick Woltemade offers presence between lines and around the box.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Crystal Palace | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 12th |
| Points | 39 | 42 |
| Premier League goals | 33 | 44 CLINICAL |
| Shots per game | 11.7 | 13.2 |
| Possession | 45.7% | 52.9% |
| Pass success | 78.0% | 83.4% |
| Aerials won | 19.7 | 17.8 |
| Dangerous attacks | 47.19 | 52.96 |
| Clean sheets | 19 | 13 |
Tactical Battle
Newcastle Control vs Palace Speed
Newcastle are the side more likely to control territory. They play possession football, attack down the right, attempt crosses often and like to keep the game in the opposition’s half. Palace are weaker when asked to keep the ball for long periods. They average 45.7% possession, and their style is built more around long balls, through balls and quick attacks through the middle. That means they may happily let Newcastle have the ball, then try to hit them with speed.
The Mismatch: Counters and Set Plays
Newcastle are very weak at defending counter-attacks, and Palace have exactly the kind of players who can punish that. Sarr can burst into space. Pino can carry the ball and break lines. However, Newcastle are very strong attacking set pieces, and that matters because Palace are weak at defending them. This could easily become a fixture decided by one header, one second ball or one loose clearance.
Quick Hits
- Selhurst has turned stubborn: Crystal Palace are on a five-game unbeaten home run in all competitions and have kept a clean sheet in every one of those matches.
- Newcastle bring threat and risk: Newcastle have scored 44 Premier League goals but have also conceded 45.
- Recent edge: Palace are unbeaten in eight of their last nine matches in all competitions.
Key Moments to Watch
- Palace’s first counter: If Palace break through Sarr or Pino early, Newcastle’s biggest weakness will be tested straight away.
- Set pieces at both ends: Newcastle are very strong attacking set pieces, while Palace are weak defending them.
- The aerial battle: Palace’s strength in the air can help them survive pressure.
- Bruno Guimarães in the inside channels: His movement and finishing threat from midfield could be the detail that tilts the game.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result / Double Chance
Double Chance allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a single match (e.g., Home Win or Draw). This reduces risk by providing a payout if either selected event occurs, though the price is typically lower than a single win selection.
Correct Score
Correct Score requires predicting the exact final scoreline of the match after 90 minutes. Due to the high number of possible outcomes, this market offers higher prices but carries significantly more volatility than standard result markets.
🎯 Crystal Palace to Win or Draw (8/13)
Crystal Palace have transformed Selhurst Park into a defensive fortress under Oliver Glasner. The hosts are currently enjoying a five-game unbeaten home run in all competitions, remarkably keeping a clean sheet in every single one of those fixtures. This level of defensive organisation at home provides a massive foundation against a Newcastle side that has shown significant vulnerability on the road. While Newcastle have scored 44 goals this season, they have also conceded 45, highlighting a lack of balance that Palace are well-equipped to exploit through quick transitions.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Palace have kept five consecutive clean sheets in all competitions at Selhurst Park.
- Newcastle are historically weak at defending counter-attacks, which suits Palace’s direct attacking style.
- Newcastle have conceded 45 league goals, indicating a leaky defensive structure.
Risk Factor: Newcastle’s strength at attacking set pieces could threaten Palace’s clean-sheet record, as the hosts have shown weakness defending dead-ball situations.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Winning 19.7 aerial duels per match. Mateta and Lacroix provide a significant threat from long balls and clearances.
Struggling to track runners in transition. Vulnerable to Ismaïla Sarr and Yéremy Pino breaking through the middle.
🎯 Correct Score: 1-1 Draw (11/2)
A 1-1 stalemate presents itself as a highly plausible outcome when balancing the strengths of both sides. While Palace are elite at preventing goals at home, Newcastle’s offensive volume—averaging 13.2 shots per game—means they are likely to eventually breach any back line. Newcastle are particularly dangerous from set plays, which is the specific area where Crystal Palace have been noted to struggle defensively. This creates a scenario where Palace may find joy on the counter-attack, but Newcastle possess the set-piece quality and midfield influence of Bruno Guimarães to restore parity.
Scoreline Probability Dashboard
Risk Factor: Newcastle have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten matches against Palace, suggests they could snatch a late win if Palace’s discipline fades around the box.
❓ Interactive Q&A
⊕ What is a Double Chance bet?
A Double Chance bet allows you to cover two out of three possible outcomes (Win, Lose, or Draw) in a single match. In this context, backing Crystal Palace to win or draw means your bet wins if Palace either wins the game or the match ends in a stalemate.
⊕ Why is Crystal Palace’s home form so significant?
Palace have kept five consecutive clean sheets at Selhurst Park. This defensive consistency suggests they are very difficult to break down at home, making them a strong candidate for avoid-defeat markets.
⊕ What is Newcastle’s main attacking threat?
Newcastle are very strong at set pieces and possess dangerous wide players like Anthony Gordon. They average 13.2 shots per game, indicating they create a high volume of chances compared to many league rivals.
⊕ How does the aerial battle affect this match?
Palace average 19.7 aerial wins per game, higher than Newcastle’s 17.8. This strength allows Palace to defend long balls effectively and launch their own attacks from clearances.
⊕ What happens if I bet on a Correct Score and it’s 2-1?
If you bet on 1-1 and the game ends 2-1, your bet loses. Correct Score markets require the exact result to be predicted, making it a higher-reward but higher-risk market.
⊕ Can Newcastle exploit Palace’s weaknesses?
Yes, Palace are weak at defending set pieces and have a tendency to foul in dangerous areas. Newcastle’s proficiency in these areas is their most likely route to scoring at Selhurst Park.
⊕ Who is the key player in the Palace attack?
Jean-Philippe Mateta is the central figure, averaging 2.3 shots per game. His physical presence and goal-scoring record this season make him the primary target for Palace’s transitions.
⊕ What does “Newcastle avoid defeat in 9 of last 10” mean?
This means that in their last ten meetings with Crystal Palace, Newcastle have won or drawn nine times. It shows a historical trend where Newcastle find ways to get results against this specific opponent.
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