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Crystal Palace
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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“Crystal Palace have been a bizarre team to handicap this season. They are struggling mightily at home (only 2 wins), yet they are one of the best road teams in the league, winning 5 of their 9 away matches. The data shows they prefer playing on the counter-attack, which explains the road success. If you’re betting Palace, ignore the form table and look specifically at the ‘Away Win’ or ‘Draw No Bet’ markets when they travel.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystCrystal Palace Betting Guide: The Road Warriors
Currently sitting 11th, Crystal Palace are comfortably mid-table but offer distinct betting patterns. They have only scored 22 goals in 19 games (1.16 per match), making them one of the lower-scoring sides. However, their defense is solid, conceding just 21 times. This tight defensive structure often leads to low-scoring affairs.
The ‘Mateta’ Dependency
The stats paint a clear picture of an over-reliance on one striker:
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: Has scored 8 goals. The next highest scorer (Muñoz) has just 3. If Mateta isn’t playing or is out of form, Palace’s goal threat evaporates.
- Under 2.5 Trend: Overall, 53% of Palace games go Under 2.5 goals. This rises to 60% at home, where they struggle to break down deep defenses.
- Discipline: Keep an eye on the card markets. Daniel Muñoz, Will Hughes, and Jefferson Lerma all have 4 cards each, making them prime candidates for “To Be Booked” bets.
“Palace face Newcastle (Away) next. This actually suits them perfectly. Newcastle will attack, leaving space for Mateta and Eze to exploit on the break. Given Palace average 1.78 points per game away (compared to just 1.10 at home), don’t be afraid to back the Eagles on the handicap market at St James’ Park.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | Anytime Scorer | 8 Goals | The only consistent goal threat. |
| Daniel Muñoz | To Be Carded | 4 Cards | Aggressive wing-back (0.29 cards/90). |
| Dean Henderson | Clean Sheet | 7 Clean Sheets | Solid record (37% clean sheet rate). |
| Daniel Muñoz | Score or Assist | 3 Goals, 2 Assists | High value hybrid threat from defense. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
Palace face a tough trip to Newcastle United (Jan 4) followed by a home game against Aston Villa (Jan 7). The Newcastle game is statistically promising for Palace’s away form, but the Villa game is a danger zone given Palace’s poor home record (winless in last 5 home league games). For the Villa match, the “Double Chance: Away Team” looks like the smart statistical play.
