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Burnley
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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“Scott Parker’s Burnley are fighting tooth and nail to beat the drop. Their biggest issue is controlling games; they average just 41% possession and are highly vulnerable to counter-attacks and long shots. Offensively, they rely heavily on moments of individual skill from Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming. The most profitable betting angle here is actually in the card markets—veteran Kyle Walker has picked up 8 yellow cards already as he tries to marshal a struggling defense.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystBurnley Betting Guide: The Relegation Scrap
Burnley’s 2025/26 campaign is proving to be a difficult one. They have netted 29 goals in 27 Premier League matches, resulting in a low average of just 1.07 goals scored per game. Their style under Scott Parker involves sitting deep and looking to strike on the counter, but it often invites sustained pressure from the opposition.
Key Players & Card Markets
With the team constantly defending, the player prop markets offer the best value:
- Kyle Walker: The 35-year-old veteran has been heavily relied upon but is clearly feeling the pace, leading the team with 8 yellow cards. He is a premier target for “To Be Booked” bets.
- The Goal Threats: Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming are tied with 6 goals each. If Burnley score, one of these two is usually involved.
- Midfield Enforcers: Josh Laurent and Hannibal Mejbri both have 6 yellow cards. In games against top-half opposition, backing Burnley to receive Over 2.5 Cards is a very smart play.
“Burnley host Brentford next (Feb 28). Brentford are an excellent attacking side, while Burnley are notoriously weak at defending against through balls and skillful players. I expect Brentford to dominate the chances here. Backing an Away Win or looking at Kyle Walker to be Carded against Brentford’s pacey wingers looks like fantastic value.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Walker | To Be Carded | 8 Cards | Most booked player. High risk vs pace. |
| Jaidon Anthony | Anytime Scorer | 6 Goals | Key attacking threat on the wing. |
| Zian Flemming | Score or Assist | 6 Goals | Crucial link-up player in counter-attacks. |
| Quilindschy Hartman | To Assist | 4 Assists | Leads the team in assists. Good crosser. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
Burnley face Brentford (Home – Feb 28) and then Everton (Away – Mar 03). The Everton match is a massive six-pointer at the bottom of the table. These fixtures are generally tight, nervous affairs. Betting on Under 2.5 Goals or exploring the Booking Points markets are usually safer than predicting an outright winner for the Clarets right now.
