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Aston Villa
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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“Unai Emery has turned Aston Villa into a legitimate title contender. Sitting 3rd, they are the league’s ‘Comeback Kings,’ rated ‘Very Strong’ at recovering from losing positions. While they are winning games, they aren’t keeping many clean sheets (only 28% overall). This makes the ‘Aston Villa to Win & BTTS’ market one of the most profitable angles in the league right now.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystAston Villa Betting Guide: The Comeback Specialists
Aston Villa are flying high in the 2025/26 season, averaging an impressive 2.17 points per game. Their success is built on a potent attack that has scored 29 goals, but their defense remains leaky (1.06 conceded per game). This combination makes them a dream for goal-market bettors.
The ‘Morgan Rogers’ Breakout
The story of the season is Morgan Rogers. He has eclipsed established stars like Ollie Watkins to lead the team in both goals and assists.
- Top Scorer: Rogers has 7 goals, outperforming his xG of 2.83 significantly. He is currently the most clinical player in the squad.
- Creator: With 3 assists, he is central to everything Villa does in the final third.
- Value Pick: Bookmakers are still pricing him higher than Watkins in goalscorer markets, offering huge value for “Rogers Anytime Scorer” bets.
“Villa’s next match against Arsenal (Dec 30) will be a massive test. Historically, BTTS lands in 56% of Villa’s games, but that jumps to 67% in away fixtures. Look out for Matty Cash in the booking markets; he has already picked up 5 yellow cards and will likely be tasked with stopping Arsenal’s wingers.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rogers | Score or Assist | 7 Goals, 3 Assists | Team’s MVP. High confidence. |
| Ollie Watkins | Anytime Scorer | 5 Goals | Underperforming xG (7.06). Due a goal. |
| Matty Cash | To Be Carded | 5 Cards | Most aggressive defender. High risk. |
| Boubacar Kamara | To Be Carded | 5 Cards | Midfield enforcer. Stops counters. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
Villa face a defining run of games starting with Arsenal (Dec 30) followed by Nottingham Forest (Jan 3). The Arsenal clash is a battle of styles; Villa’s chaotic energy vs Arsenal’s control. Given Villa concede an average of 1.33 goals per game away from home, backing “Over 2.5 Goals” in the Arsenal fixture is a statistical lock. Against Forest, look for Villa to dominate possession and for Rogers to exploit spaces in transition.
