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Arsenal
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Premier League 2025/26 Season Stats
“Arsenal have become the ultimate ‘Win to Nil’ machine. They concede just 0.59 goals per game—the best defensive record in Europe’s top 5 leagues. The market keeps overpricing the ‘Both Teams to Score’ market because of their reputation, but in reality, ‘BTTS – No’ is the smartest long-term play with this back four. Saliba and Gabriel are practically impenetrable.”
Tyler Morris, Senior Football AnalystArsenal Betting Guide: Trends & Tactics (2025/26)
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal have evolved from challengers to dominant front-runners. Sitting **1st in the Premier League**, their success is built on a rock-solid defense that has conceded only 10 goals in 17 matches. For bettors, this means the chaotic, high-scoring games of the past are gone, replaced by controlled, low-margin victories.
Why Backing ‘Win to Nil’ is Profitable
The stats clearly show Arsenal’s preference for control over chaos.
- Home Fortress: At the Emirates, Arsenal have won 88% of their games, conceding just 3 goals all season. The “Arsenal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals” market is landing consistently.
- Set Piece Kings: Arsenal rank “Very Strong” in attacking set-pieces. With Gabriel Magalhães and Saliba dominant in the air, backing “Arsenal to Score from a Corner” is a genuine value angle.
- Corner Dominance: They average 6.13 corners per game at home while conceding very few. The -2.5 Corner Handicap is often covered by half-time.
“Bukayo Saka is putting up MVP numbers again. He’s not just creating; he’s finishing chances at a rate of 0.83 xG per game in big matches. Combined with Gyökeres (5 goals), Arsenal finally have a front two that can unlock deep blocks without needing 20 shots. I’m looking at ‘Saka 1+ Shot on Target’ as a banker in every home game.”
— Steve Harrington, EFL & PL ExpertPlayer Props: The Value List
| Player | Market | Stat (2025/26) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyökeres | Anytime Scorer | 5 Goals | Top Scorer. High volume shooter in the box. |
| Bukayo Saka | Score or Assist | 4 Goals, 1 Assist | On penalties and corners. High involvement. |
| Gabriel Magalhães | Header on Target | 7.3 Rating | Dominant aerial threat from set-pieces. |
| Riccardo Calafiori | To Be Carded | 5 Cards | Most booked player. Aggressive in 1v1 duels. |
Upcoming Fixtures Analysis
With upcoming fixtures against Brighton and Aston Villa, Arsenal’s defense will be tested. However, their 63% clean sheet record at home suggests they are well-equipped to handle Brighton’s transition threat. The Villa game (Away) presents a risk, but Arsenal’s ability to grind out 1-0 or 2-0 wins makes them favorites even on the road.
