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Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County: Home Park Tests Two Promotion Ambitions. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Plymouth’s consistent scoring in 27 of their last 28 league matches and high shot volume provide a strong foundation for victory. Stockport’s 11-game away scoring streak and possession dominance suggest they will also find the net, making a both teams to score outcome likely.
Plymouth’s recent home attacking output and history of multi-goal wins against Stockport support a 3-1 scoreline. Stockport’s consistent away scoring and recent goal-scoring form justify the single goal concession, while Plymouth’s high shot volume underpins the three goals forecast.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Plymouth v Stockport County.
Plymouth Argyle and Stockport County begin their League One campaigns at Home Park with recent records that make both credible promotion candidates, but their summers have followed different paths.
Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Plymouth’s lower possession but higher shot attempts contrast with Stockport’s possession dominance but fewer shots.
Plymouth’s frequent scoring and Stockport’s away goal streak indicate a high chance of goals.
Plymouth’s multi-goal home wins and Stockport’s reliable away goals support this exact scoreline.
Stockport concedes goals despite possession, facing Plymouth’s strong finishing chances.
Three Punchy Stats
- Plymouth scored in 27 of their final 28 League One matches, giving Stockport an immediate test against an attack that rarely ended a league afternoon empty-handed.
- Plymouth generated 117 shots across their latest six competitive games, compared with Stockport’s 70, despite averaging only 47% possession against County’s 57%.
- Stockport have scored in 11 consecutive away matches across all competitions, evidence that Plymouth’s strong home sequence is being challenged by opponents with their own sustained travelling threat.
Shot Volume Comparison
Plymouth Argyle generated 47 more attempts than Stockport County across the shared 6-match sample.
Plymouth Argyle reached the higher shot total despite averaging less possession than Stockport County over the same period.
Stockport County saw more of the ball across the 6 matches but produced fewer attempts than Plymouth Argyle.
Possession Comparison
Plymouth Argyle averaged 47% possession and Stockport County averaged 57% across the shared 6-match sample.
Their lower share of possession did not prevent them producing the larger shot total across the same period.
Stockport County’s 10-percentage-point possession advantage did not translate into the greater volume of attempts.
Plymouth have reinforced a side that finished last season strongly, while Stockport are beginning again under Jimmy McNulty after finishing third with 77 points.
The clearest argument for Plymouth is continuity of results. Tom Cleverley’s side ended last season unbeaten in six league games and have carried that sequence through pre-season and into a 2-0 EFL Cup victory over Exeter City. Stockport arrive with substantial away pedigree of their own, making this a demanding first examination rather than a gentle introduction.
Plymouth’s attack survived the run-in
Losing Lorent Tolaj to Bristol City for £4m created an obvious hole, but Plymouth have reinvested. Will Evans has arrived from Mansfield Town, while Alex Mitchell has returned permanently and Wes Harding has strengthened the defensive options.
Aribim Pepple offers another significant attacking reference point after scoring 16 times in League One last season. Cleverley may also retain Xavier Amaechi after the Exeter victory, with Matthew Sorinola and Freddie Issaka among his alternatives.
The broader attacking record is difficult to overlook. Plymouth scored in 27 of their final 28 league matches and managed at least two goals in six of the last eight. Across their six most recent competitive games they have scored 13 times from 117 shots, an average of 19.5 attempts per match.
That is considerable attacking volume, with 76% of those efforts coming from inside the box. Plymouth are not merely relying on a small number of attempts producing an unusually generous return.
Stockport can make possession count differently
Stockport’s recent profile offers an intriguing contrast. Across their latest six competitive matches they averaged 57% possession compared with Plymouth’s 47%, while completing a much greater volume of passes.
Yet Plymouth produced more shots, attacks and dangerous attacks over the same six-game sample. Their 117 attempts comfortably exceeded Stockport’s 70, despite the visitors having more of the ball. Possession, in this case, should not be confused with attacking dominance.
Stockport still scored in all six matches and have found the net in 11 consecutive away games across all competitions. They were also unbeaten in six of their final seven League One away fixtures, so Home Park presents no obvious reason to dismiss their attacking threat.
Their immediate setback came against Doncaster Rovers, drawing 1-1 before losing on penalties in the EFL Cup. McNulty nevertheless has options to alter the side, with Ben Osborn and Lewis Fiorini pushing for starts after substitute appearances.
Recent meetings point towards another demanding afternoon
Last season produced one victory apiece. Plymouth won 4-2 at Home Park before Stockport responded with a 2-1 success at Edgeley Park in January.
That six-goal home victory also fits a longer sequence: Plymouth have won their last three home meetings with Stockport by at least two goals. Yet the visitors’ current away record provides a much stronger counterweight than historical results alone.
The sharper question is whether Stockport can limit Plymouth’s shot production. Their recent six-game defensive record is respectable at eight goals conceded, but Plymouth have scored 13 across the equivalent period and enter the league season unbeaten in seven matches in all competitions.
A genuine clash of strengths
Plymouth finished eighth last season on 73 points, only four behind Stockport despite losing 17 league games to County’s 13. Their late improvement therefore matters: four wins from the final six league fixtures suggest their finishing position does not fully capture the level they had reached by May.
Stockport’s third-place finish deserves equal respect. The uncertainty lies in how quickly a reshaped squad responds to McNulty, particularly against opponents already carrying substantial momentum.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Plymouth Argyle to win and both teams to score. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County 3-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Plymouth Argyle to win and both teams to score @ 11/4
Plymouth Argyle enter the opening league fixture on a seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions, having ended last season with four wins from six league games before beating Exeter City 2-0 in the EFL Cup. Tom Cleverley’s side demonstrated consistent box presence during the run-in, scoring in 27 of their final 28 League One matches. Despite losing Lorent Tolaj to Bristol City for £4m, Plymouth brought in Will Evans alongside Aribim Pepple, who scored 16 League One goals last term. That ongoing goalscoring threat provides a sturdy foundation for Plymouth to secure victory at Home Park.
Stockport County present an away threat that makes a Plymouth clean sheet difficult to maintain. Jimmy McNulty’s team averaged 57% possession across their last six competitive games compared to Plymouth’s 47%, completing a higher volume of passes. However, Plymouth converted their lower share of the ball into 117 total shots while Stockport managed 70. Although County record fewer total attempts, they maintain consistency on the road, having scored in 11 consecutive away matches across all competitions. Stockport’s efficiency meets a Plymouth backline that dropped 17 league matches last season, setting up a contest where both attacks ought to convert.
Stockport finished third on 77 points and stayed unbeaten in six of their final seven League One away fixtures, proving their strength away from Edgeley Park. Even so, Plymouth have won their last three home encounters against Stockport by at least two goals, including a 4-2 success last season. With Plymouth averaging 19.5 attempts per match across their past six fixtures and placing 76% of those shots inside the box, the home side generate enough volume to claim three points while allowing Stockport’s reliable away attack onto the scoresheet.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Plymouth scored in 27 of their final 28 League One games last season and netted 13 goals across their last six competitive matches.
- Stockport carry an 11-game away scoring streak across all competitions despite averaging fewer total shots than Plymouth.
- Plymouth recorded 117 attempts across their last six outings, with 89 of those efforts taken inside the penalty box.
Risk Factor: Stockport held Plymouth to a 2-1 defeat in January and any drop in Plymouth's finishing could allow a Stockport point.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Generated 117 total shots across six games, placing 89 attempts (76%) inside the penalty area.
Allowed 8 goals in six competitive matches despite controlling 57% of possession on average.
🎯 Pick 2: Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County 3-1 @ 13/1
A 3-1 home win aligns with Plymouth Argyle’s recent attacking output at Home Park. Cleverley’s team scored at least twice in six of their final eight competitive fixtures last season and produced 13 goals across their past six matches overall. Generating 117 attempts across those six games—with 89 shots taken inside the penalty box—demonstrates that Plymouth create high-volume finishing chances. Recent history at Home Park reinforces that goal return, as Plymouth scored four goals against Stockport in their previous home meeting and have won their past three home games against County by multi-goal margins.
Stockport’s away record accounts for the single opposition goal required in this exact scoreline. McNulty’s side have scored in 11 consecutive away fixtures across all competitions and found the net in all six of their recent competitive matches, including a 1-1 draw against Doncaster Rovers in the EFL Cup. With Ben Osborn and Lewis Fiorini offering fresh quality off the bench, County possess options to breach Plymouth’s backline even when trailing. Stockport also defeated Plymouth 2-1 at Edgeley Park in January, confirming their ability to break through Plymouth’s defence.
The main risk to a 3-1 scoreline stems from Stockport’s defensive setup, having conceded eight goals across their last six competitive fixtures. If McNulty’s team limit Plymouth’s box entries below their 19.5 attempts per-game average, the match could produce a narrower scoreline such as 2-1. Nevertheless, Plymouth’s heavy shot volume combined with Stockport’s 11-game away scoring streak makes 3-1 a sensible representation of the match facts.
Risk Factor: If Plymouth fail to maintain shot quality, Stockport’s possession could limit scoring to a narrow margin.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does 'Plymouth Argyle to win and both teams to score' mean?
It is a combined selection where Plymouth must win and Stockport must score at least one goal for the bet to pay out.
Why are Plymouth favoured despite finishing below Stockport last season?
Plymouth ended last season strongly with a seven-match unbeaten run and have won their last three home games against Stockport by multi-goal margins.
How does Stockport's possession statistic impact this match?
Stockport averaged higher possession but produced fewer shots than Plymouth, indicating possession does not guarantee attacking dominance.
Can Stockport score at Home Park given Plymouth's strong form?
Stockport have scored in 11 consecutive away matches and recent competitive games, suggesting they will challenge Plymouth’s defence.
What is the main difference between Over 2.5 Goals and the 3-1 Correct Score?
Over 2.5 Goals covers any scoreline with three or more goals, while 3-1 requires that exact final score.
How does the loss of Lorent Tolaj affect Plymouth's attack?
Despite Tolaj's departure, Plymouth signed Will Evans and retain Aribim Pepple, maintaining a strong attacking threat.
What happens to my bet if the match is 3-1 at 90 minutes but extra time is played?
Bets settle on the result at the end of normal time; extra time goals do not affect regular time markets.
Is Stockport's away record strong enough to prevent a home win?
Stockport stayed unbeaten in most away matches last season, but Plymouth’s scoring consistency gives them the edge.
