Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: Recent Recovery Meets a Volatile Home Attack. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Levante's ability to generate shots on target despite limited possession and Athletic's recent scoring form support both teams scoring. Levante concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, while Athletic have multiple goal contributors, making a BTTS outcome credible despite Athletic's improved defense recently. The risk lies in Levante's inconsistent scoring in some matches.
Athletic's recent three-match unbeaten run with five goals scored and Levante's average 2.0 goals conceded per game support a 2-1 Athletic win. Levante's 5.2 shots on target per game and Athletic's defensive absences provide a plausible route for Levante to score once. Historical dominance by Athletic adds context to this scoreline.
Levante welcome Athletic Bilbao to the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia with two very different early-season patterns colliding.
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Athletic Bilbao's recent unbeaten run contrasts with Levante's inconsistent results.
Athletic Bilbao's recent unbeaten run contrasts with Levante's inconsistent results.
Levante's 5.2 shots on target and Athletic's recent five goals support goal scoring.
Athletic's five goals in last three matches and Levante's 2.0 goals conceded per game align with 2-1 outcome.
Three Punchy Stats
- Athletic have taken seven points from their last three league matches while conceding only once, a sharp defensive improvement after losing their opening two games.
- Five of Levante’s seven league goals came in the 5-2 win over Real Betis, leaving just two goals across their other four fixtures.
- Athletic have won eight and drawn three of their last 11 meetings with Levante, extending a run in which Levante have not beaten them since December 2018.
Goals Scored in Last 5 Matches
Recent attacking records for Levante and Athletic Bilbao are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 5 Matches
Recent defensive records for Levante and Athletic Bilbao are shown below.
Luis Castro’s side have taken five points from five La Liga matches, while Athletic arrive on seven after recovering sharply from consecutive defeats to Sevilla and Barcelona.
The broader numbers make this less straightforward than the league positions suggest. Levante have scored seven goals but conceded nine, yet that attacking return is heavily influenced by their 5-2 win over Real Betis. Athletic have also scored seven, while conceding six, and their recent defensive record is considerably stronger than their opening two matches implied.
Athletic’s recovery has changed the picture
Athletic began with a 3-1 defeat to Sevilla and a 2-0 loss at Barcelona, conceding five times without collecting a point. Since then, Edin Terzic’s side have taken seven points from three matches, beating Celta Vigo 2-0 and Atletico Madrid 3-0 before drawing 1-1 with Elche.
That sequence matters because the improvement has come at both ends. Five goals scored and only one conceded across those three fixtures represents a significant shift from the opening fortnight.
Their longer-term league numbers are less impressive: three wins, two draws and five defeats across the last 10, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Recent form, therefore, is stronger than the wider sample. Wednesday should offer a useful test of whether that recovery has real substance.
Levante’s goal threat comes with a warning
Levante’s seven league goals suggest reasonable attacking output, but five arrived in one match against Betis. Across their other four league fixtures they have scored only twice, drawing blanks against Espanyol, Osasuna and Malaga before finding the net twice against Barcelona.
Their last-10 numbers point to greater attacking volume: 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal per game, producing 1.7 goals on average. Roger Brugue has scored four times in that wider run, while Ivan Romero also found the net in the 4-2 defeat to Barcelona.
The concern is at the other end. Levante have conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last 10 league matches, with opponents producing 13.4 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal per game. Barcelona’s four goals last time out were therefore not entirely detached from the longer pattern.
Possession may not tell the full story
Levante had only 26% possession against Barcelona but still registered seven shots on target and scored twice. That is a useful reminder that limited control does not necessarily remove their capacity to threaten.
Athletic, meanwhile, had 66% possession against Elche but managed only three shots on target in a 1-1 draw. The contrast is striking: one side generated substantial attacking output with little of the ball, while the other dominated possession without creating the same volume of accurate attempts.
Nico Williams and Robert Navarro have three goals each across Athletic’s last 10 league games, with Inaki Williams contributing two goals and four assists. That spread of production gives Athletic several sources of end product rather than one obvious statistical dependency.
Selection issues could shape the attacking options
Levante remain without Karl Etta Eyong because of a thigh problem, while Alejandro Primo is a major doubt. Castro could bring Enzo Bardeli, Ivan Romero and Oriol Rey into the starting side.
Athletic are missing Peio Canales, Gorka Guruzeta, Dani Vivian and Unai Eguiluz. Mikel Jauregizar is pushing for a start, while Nico Williams, Oihan Sancet and Robert Navarro are expected to support Inaki Williams in the final third.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Levante vs Athletic Bilbao 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 6/10
Levante have scored seven goals in five league matches this season, but their overall shot volume across their last ten matches shows an average of 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal per game. Although five of their league goals came in a single 5-2 victory over Real Betis, they also demonstrated finishing productivity against Barcelona by scoring twice from seven shots on target despite holding just 26% possession. This capacity to generate accurate attempts without dominating the ball supports their ability to find the net.
Conversely, Levante’s defensive metrics expose a consistent concession rate. Across their last ten league fixtures, they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game, with opponents averaging 13.4 attempts and 5.6 shots on target against them. Athletic Bilbao arrive having scored seven goals in five league matches, including five goals across their recent three-game unbeaten sequence against Celta Vigo, Atletico Madrid, and Elche. With Inaki Williams contributing two goals and four assists alongside Nico Williams and Robert Navarro scoring three goals each across their last ten league matches, Athletic possess multiple proven goalscorers to test Levante’s defence.
The primary concern for this selection is Athletic’s recent defensive tightening, having conceded only once in their last three matches after giving up five goals in their opening two defeats. Additionally, Levante failed to score against Espanyol, Osasuna, and Malaga earlier in the campaign. However, given Levante’s ongoing defensive concession averages and Athletic’s spread of scoring options, both sides entering the scoresheet remains a well-supported outcome.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Levante average 5.2 shots on target per game across their last ten league matches.
- Levante concede an average of 2.0 goals per game across their past ten league fixtures.
- Athletic Bilbao have scored five goals across their recent three-match unbeaten streak.
Risk Factor: Levante failed to score in three of their five league matches this season, while Athletic kept clean sheets in two of their last three games.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Levante face an average of 5.6 shots on target per game across their past ten league fixtures.
Nico Williams (3G), Robert Navarro (3G), and Inaki Williams (2G, 4A) share attacking production.
⚔️ Pick 2: Levante vs Athletic Bilbao 1-2 @ 7/1
🎯 Scoreline Probability Dashboard
Plausibility Note: Athletic’s scoring form across their unbeaten run pairs with Levante’s 2.0 concession average, while Levante’s 5.2 shots on target average provides grounding for a single home goal.
Athletic Bilbao enter this match on a three-game unbeaten run where they scored five goals across fixtures against Celta Vigo, Atletico Madrid, and Elche. Across their last ten league matches, Athletic have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game. Facing a Levante side that concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game and allows 5.6 shots on target per match across their past ten outings, Athletic’s attacking contingent—led by Inaki Williams, Nico Williams, and Robert Navarro—has the statistical backing to score twice.
On the other side of the scoreline, Levante have averaged 1.7 goals per game across their last ten league fixtures. Even in matches with limited possession, such as their 4-2 loss to Barcelona where they held just 26% of the ball, Levante generated seven shots on target and scored two goals. Furthermore, Athletic are missing key defensive personnel, with Dani Vivian and Unai Eguiluz ruled out alongside Peio Canales and Gorka Guruzeta. This defensive absence provides Levante with a plausible route to score at least once.
Historical context further aligns with an Athletic victory, as Athletic have won eight and drawn three of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between the clubs, with Levante failing to beat them since December 2018. However, correct score selections are inherently fragile. A single additional goal, such as Athletic securing a 3-1 win or Levante holding a 1-1 draw, would defeat the bet. Nevertheless, a 2-1 away victory reflects the underlying metrics of both teams.
Risk Factor: Athletic's scoring form pairs with Levante's concession average, while Levante's shots on target support a home goal.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams To Score YES mean for this match?
Both Teams To Score YES wins if both Levante and Athletic Bilbao score at least one goal in regulation time.
What outcome is required for the 1-2 Correct Score selection to win?
The exact final score must be Levante 1-2 Athletic Bilbao after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
How does Levante's recent goal record support their scoring chance?
Levante have averaged 5.2 shots on target per match across their past ten league fixtures.
How have Athletic Bilbao performed defensively in recent matches?
Athletic have conceded just one goal across their last three league matches.
Why is possession share not a complete indicator of attacking threat here?
Levante scored twice against Barcelona despite having only 26% possession; possession does not equal chance volume.
What is Athletic Bilbao's head-to-head record against Levante?
Athletic are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Levante, winning eight and drawing three.
