Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Preview: Lions Eye Return to Winning Ways Against Struggling Hosts. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Levante’s matches consistently feature high goal totals, averaging 3.5 goals per game with 28 goals across eight fixtures. Their defensive fragility, conceding 16 goals, combined with Athletic Bilbao’s ability to exploit space as shown in a 3-0 win, supports a match exceeding 2.5 goals despite Athletic’s recent goalless draws.
Levante’s defensive issues and Athletic’s ability to score multiple goals when space is available support a 1-2 away win. Levante’s attacking threat, led by Ivan Romero, offers a credible route to scoring once, while Athletic’s unbeaten record against Levante adds context to this exact score prediction.
Athletic Bilbao will look to extend their impressive unbeaten record against Levante when the two sides meet at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on Wednesday, October 21, in a rearranged La Liga Gameweek 6 fixture.
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Athletic Bilbao's unbeaten run against Levante spans 11 matches, giving them a psychological edge.
Athletic Bilbao's unbeaten run against Levante spans 11 matches, giving them a psychological edge.
Levante's fixtures average 3.5 goals, indicating a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Levante concede two goals per game, while Athletic remain unbeaten in 11 meetings, supporting a 1-2 scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- 11 matches unbeaten: Athletic have recorded eight wins and three draws against Levante across their last 11 meetings.
- 16 goals conceded: Levante have allowed twice as many league goals as matches played this season.
- Three straight clean sheets: Athletic have shut out Alaves, Rayo Vallecano and Valencia in successive league fixtures.
Goals Scored
Recent attacking records for Levante and Athletic Bilbao are shown below.
Defensive Performance
Recent defensive records for Levante and Athletic Bilbao are shown below.
Originally postponed because of torrential rain and a waterlogged pitch, the encounter brings together two teams struggling to turn draws into victories.
Levante sit 17th with seven points from eight matches, while Athletic have collected nine points from seven outings. Despite their modest league position, the visitors arrive with a considerably stronger defensive record and a commanding recent history in this fixture.
Levante Searching for a Much-Needed Victory
Luis Castro's side have endured a difficult opening to the 2026-27 campaign, recording just one victory, four draws and three defeats.
Their only league success came in August, when they stunned Real Betis with a remarkable 5-2 home victory. Since then, Levante have gone five matches without winning, collecting just three points.
Friday's 1-1 draw against Deportivo La Coruna offered another example of their resilience but also highlighted their inability to secure maximum points.
Defensive vulnerability remains a significant concern. Levante have conceded 16 goals in eight league fixtures, averaging two per match, while scoring 12 themselves.
Their attacking output suggests they possess enough quality to trouble opponents, but maintaining defensive discipline has proved considerably harder.
The 3-3 draw against Sevilla and defeats to Barcelona and Villarreal underline that imbalance. Levante have demonstrated an ability to create opportunities, yet their defensive shortcomings repeatedly undermine promising attacking performances.
Ivan Romero remains a key attacking figure, having scored three league goals this season. His movement and finishing could prove crucial against an Athletic defence that has recently become increasingly difficult to penetrate.
Athletic Bilbao Building From the Back
Athletic Bilbao have experienced an inconsistent campaign under Edin Terzic, although their recent defensive performances provide genuine encouragement.
The Basque outfit have recorded two victories, three draws and two defeats across their opening seven league matches.
Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Valencia, extending their sequence of league stalemates to three consecutive matches.
Athletic have now registered three successive league clean sheets, demonstrating impressive defensive organisation despite their struggles in front of goal.
Across seven league fixtures, they have conceded just six goals, compared with Levante's 16.
However, scoring remains a concern. Athletic have managed only seven league goals, and their failure to find the net against Valencia, Alaves and Rayo Vallecano highlights a pressing need for greater attacking efficiency.
Their earlier 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid demonstrated their potential, but reproducing that attacking sharpness has proved difficult.
Against Levante's vulnerable defence, Terzic will hope his side can combine their defensive solidity with a more clinical attacking display.
Team News and Tactical Outlook
Levante will be without Hugo Sotelo and Alex Primo through injury, while Karl Etta Eyong's availability remains uncertain.
Romero should feature prominently in attack, with Victor Garcia offering width and Petar Ratkov another option through the middle.
Athletic face significant attacking absences, with Oihan Sancet and Unai Egiluz unavailable. Nico Williams' involvement remains uncertain, while Gorka Guruzeta faces fitness concerns.
Dani Vivian's return strengthens the defensive options, while Maroan Sannadi could lead the attack.
Athletic's priority will be controlling possession and limiting transitions, particularly against a Levante side capable of scoring but frequently exposed defensively.
Head-to-Head Record Favours Athletic
Recent meetings strongly favour the visitors.
Athletic have won their last three encounters with Levante and remain unbeaten across the previous 11 meetings, recording eight victories and three draws.
Levante's last success against the Basque club came in December 2018.
Furthermore, six of the previous eight meetings have produced fewer than three goals, suggesting another tightly contested encounter could develop.
Prediction: Levante 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic's defensive consistency and superior head-to-head record give them a narrow advantage.
Levante possess attacking threats, but their defensive fragility could prove decisive against visitors seeking to convert recent draws into a valuable victory.
📊 Market Explainer
Total Goals Market
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals. This market is settled by the combined number of goals in normal time. The selected line determines how many goals are needed for the bet to win.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Levante vs Athletic Club 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Over 2.5 Goals @ 9/10
The total-goals market requires at least three goals to secure a return, and Levante’s fixtures have consistently delivered that required volume. Across eight league matches, Luis Castro’s side have seen 28 total goals, comprising 16 conceded and 12 scored. Their 5-2 victory over Real Betis and a 3-3 draw against Sevilla demonstrate an extreme openness where goals flow frequently at both ends, pushing their match averages well beyond the three-goal threshold.
Athletic Bilbao arrive with a contrasting profile, boasting three consecutive clean sheets, but their earlier 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid shows they can exploit spaces when presented with them. Levante’s defensive fragility, having been breached by Barcelona, Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna, suggests the hosts will struggle to contain an Athletic side aiming to convert recent draws into maximum points. Levante’s defensive shortcomings frequently undermine their own attacking output, creating the exact conditions necessary for a high-scoring encounter.
The most significant evidence against a high goal count is Athletic’s recent sequence of three consecutive goalless league stalemates and the historical pattern of this fixture, with six of the previous eight meetings producing fewer than three goals. Furthermore, Athletic are navigating attacking absences, including Oihan Sancet, testing their forward efficiency. However, Levante’s profound inability to keep matches tight, allowing precisely two goals per match, provides a coherent and credible foundation for the goal total to surpass the required mark.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Levante matches average 3.5 total goals this season, with 28 goals recorded across their eight fixtures.
- Levante have conceded 16 goals in the league, averaging exactly two goals against per match.
- Athletic Bilbao demonstrated their scoring ceiling with a commanding 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid earlier this term.
Risk Factor: Six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between these clubs produced fewer than three goals, while Athletic Bilbao have recently played out three consecutive goalless draws.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Ranked poorly with 16 goals conceded in 8 matches, averaging exactly two goals against per game and undermining their own attacking output.
Conceded just 6 goals in 7 league fixtures, securing three consecutive clean sheets against Alaves, Rayo Vallecano and Valencia.
⚔️ Pick 2: Levante vs Athletic Club 1-2 @ 7/1
Predicting a 1-2 away victory requires identifying how Athletic Bilbao can score twice while Levante find the net exactly once. The case for two Athletic goals rests heavily on the hosts’ profound defensive issues. Levante have conceded 16 times in eight matches, establishing a clear pattern of allowing two goals per game. While Athletic have struggled offensively during their recent sequence of three goalless draws, their earlier 3-0 victory against Atletico Madrid confirms they can register multiple goals when afforded space. Levante’s persistent defensive gaps provide exactly that opportunity.
Conversely, the hosts possess enough attacking threat to breach Athletic’s defence. Levante have scored 12 goals this season, finding the net in a 1-1 draw with Deportivo La Coruna, a 3-3 draw against Sevilla, and a 5-2 victory over Real Betis. Ivan Romero has contributed three of those league goals, giving the home side a credible route to scoring. However, penetrating Athletic more than once appears difficult; the visitors have conceded just six goals in seven matches and recently recorded three consecutive clean sheets against Alaves, Rayo Vallecano and Valencia.
The historical head-to-head record provides additional context for an away victory, as Athletic remain unbeaten in 11 meetings with eight wins. While exact-score selections remain inherently fragile to a single defensive error or missed chance, blending Levante’s reliable attacking output with their equally consistent defensive concessions makes a 1-2 away victory a coherent outcome supported by the season data.
Risk Factor: Athletic Bilbao's sequence of three consecutive goalless draws presents a clear risk to them scoring twice, while Levante’s recent 1-1 result demonstrates a different possible low-scoring match shape.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Over 2.5 Goals market require?
The match must produce at least three total goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time to win.
How is the Correct Score market settled?
It is settled by the exact final scoreline after normal and stoppage time; any other score loses.
Why is Over 2.5 Goals relevant to Levante's form?
Levante's matches regularly feature goals at both ends, pushing totals past three goals.
What happens if Levante win 3-0 with an Over 2.5 bet?
The bet wins as the combined goal count exceeds the required three goals.
Does the Both Teams to Score market depend on goal total?
No, both teams must score at least once regardless of the total goals scored.
How does Athletic Bilbao's recent form impact goal expectations?
Their three consecutive goalless draws show tight defense but limited scoring ability.



