Latvia vs Armenia Predictions

Latvia vs Armenia Preview: Prediction, Team News and Lineups – 15 November 2026. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Latvia welcome Armenia to Stadions Skonto on Sunday, 15 November, for their final UEFA Nations League C Group 2 fixture, with both nations looking to finish disappointing campaigns on a positive note.

Three Punchy Stats

• Four from five: Armenia have won four of their last five meetings with Latvia.
• Three straight: Latvia have scored in three consecutive Nations League matches but lost each 2-1.
• Identical attacking averages: Both nations have averaged 0.8 goals per game across their last ten competitive fixtures.

Paolo Nicolato's hosts are already guaranteed to finish bottom after collecting just one point from five matches, while Yeghishe Melikyan's Armenia have secured third place with five points.

Although neither side can change their position, Latvia are desperate to avoid completing the competition without a victory, while Armenia hope to extend their impressive recent record against Sunday's opponents.

Latvia Searching for a Long-Awaited Victory

Latvia have endured another frustrating Nations League campaign, registering four defeats and one draw while scoring just three goals and conceding eight.

Their only point came from a goalless draw against Cyprus, with subsequent defeats against Montenegro and Cyprus exposing familiar defensive vulnerabilities.

Nicolato's men have nevertheless demonstrated modest attacking improvement, finding the net in each of their previous three Nations League fixtures after failing to score in their opening two.

However, all three matches ended in 2-1 defeats, highlighting Latvia's inability to turn improved attacking performances into positive results.

Their latest setback came away to Montenegro, where Deniss Melniks scored despite Latvia suffering another narrow loss.

The visitors managed five shots on target and enjoyed 50% possession, suggesting they were competitive despite ultimately leaving empty-handed.

Across their previous ten competitive fixtures, Latvia have recorded two victories, two draws and six defeats, averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Their defensive record remains concerning, with opponents averaging 1.7 goals per game across that period.

Nevertheless, the hosts have an opportunity to build on their recent attacking progress against an Armenia side that has also struggled for consistency.

Armenia Looking to Extend Head-to-Head Dominance

Armenia arrive in Riga having failed to win any of their four Nations League matches since defeating Latvia 2-0 in September.

Goals from Georgiy Harutyunyan and Artur Gharibyan secured that victory, but Melikyan's side subsequently suffered defeats against Montenegro and Cyprus before recording consecutive draws.

Their latest outing ended 1-1 against Cyprus, with Gharibyan scoring his second goal of the Nations League campaign.

Armenia dominated possession with 66% and registered five shots on target, demonstrating their ability to control periods of play without converting that superiority into victory.

Their wider competitive record mirrors Latvia's struggles, featuring two wins, two draws and six defeats across ten matches.

Both nations average just 0.8 goals per game over that sequence, although Armenia have conceded 2.0 per fixture compared with Latvia's 1.7.

Despite those defensive concerns, Armenia possess a significant psychological advantage.

They have won four of their previous five meetings with Latvia, including three consecutive victories, and will approach Sunday's encounter confident of maintaining that dominance.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Latvia are expected to retain Deniss Melniks in defence following his goal against Montenegro, alongside Antonijs Cernomordijs and Oskars Vientiess.

Andrejs Ciganiks and Eduards Daskevics should provide attacking width, with Roberts Uldrikis leading the forward line.

Armenia are likely to retain Gharibyan as their central striker, supported by Zhirayr Shaghoyan, Artur Serobyan and Narek Grigoryan.

Ugochukwu Iwu and Karlen Hovhannisyan should anchor midfield, providing protection behind Armenia's attacking players.

Latvia predicted XI: Matrevics; Jurkovskis, Melniks, Cernomordijs, Vientiess, Cirkin; Daskevics, Vapne, Zelenkovs, Ciganiks; Uldrikis.

Armenia predicted XI: Mishiev; Bandikyan, Harutyunyan, Mkrtchyan, Tiknizyan; Hovhannisyan, Iwu; Grigoryan, Serobyan, Shaghoyan; Gharibyan.

Latvia vs Armenia Prediction

Prediction: Latvia 1-1 Armenia

Armenia's superior head-to-head record makes them dangerous opponents, but their four-match winless sequence suggests another victory is far from straightforward.

Latvia have scored in three consecutive Nations League fixtures, while Armenia's recent defensive performances offer encouragement to the hosts.

With neither side displaying consistent attacking efficiency, a closely contested draw appears a plausible outcome.

📊 Market Explainer

Main Tip

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Selection: Both Teams To Score – YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.

Correct Score Tip

Correct Score Market

Selection: Latvia vs Armenia 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.

🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (YES) @ 10/11

The foundation for backing Both Teams to Score rests on the recent scoring patterns and shared defensive vulnerabilities of these two sides in Group 2. Despite sitting at the bottom of the table with a solitary point, Latvia have demonstrated improved attacking output, finding the net in each of their previous three Nations League fixtures after failing to score in their opening two.

When Latvia’s recent scoring consistency meets Armenia’s defensive record, the likelihood of goals at both ends increases. Armenia have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game across their previous ten competitive fixtures, while Latvia have allowed 1.7 over the same span. Armenia demonstrated their own ability to contribute to a scoring outcome by registering five shots on target and taking a 1-1 draw against Cyprus in their latest outing, while Artur Gharibyan scored his second goal of the campaign.

The most obvious counter-argument stems from the reverse fixture in September, where Armenia secured a 2-0 victory and kept a clean sheet. However, both nations enter this final match averaging an identical 0.8 goals per game across their last ten competitive matches, and neither side has displayed the defensive solidity required to guarantee a clean sheet here. With Latvia determined to avoid finishing their campaign without a victory and Armenia winless in four, the evidence supports an open contest where both defences are breached.

🎯 Tactical Indicators

• Latvia have scored in three consecutive Nations League matches despite losing each 2-1.
• Armenia have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per fixture over their last ten competitive outings.
• Both nations average 0.8 goals per game across their previous ten competitive matches.

Risk Factor: Armenia kept a clean sheet in the September reverse fixture, showing they can shut out Latvia.

⚔️ Pick 2: Latvia vs Armenia 1-1 @ 11/2

The case for Latvia scoring exactly once is grounded in their recent Nations League output. After failing to register a goal in their opening two group fixtures, Paolo Nicolato’s side have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three matches, all ending in 2-1 defeats. They demonstrated attacking competence in their latest outing against Montenegro, recording five shots on target and securing 50% possession. Against an Armenian defence conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match across their last ten competitive fixtures, the hosts possess enough recent attacking precedent to breach the visitors’ backline.

Armenia’s capacity to find the net is similarly supported by their recent 1-1 draw with Cyprus, where Artur Gharibyan scored his second goal of the group campaign. Although Armenia claimed a 2-0 victory over Latvia in September, they arrive in Riga having failed to win any of their subsequent four Nations League matches. Their overall attacking return mirrors the hosts exactly, averaging 0.8 goals per fixture across their previous ten competitive games. Facing a Latvian side that concedes 1.7 goals per match over the same ten-game span, Armenia have a clear route to the scoresheet.

A 1-1 draw represents a logical convergence of two teams struggling for defensive consistency but capable of modest attacking output. Armenia’s four-match winless sequence suggests another victory is far from straightforward, while Latvia’s sequence of narrow defeats highlights their inability to turn improved attacking performances into wins. While exact-score selections remain vulnerable to a single late goal, the identical 0.8 goals-per-game averages establish a 1-1 finish as a coherent reflection of the supplied match data.