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Can Bologna turn Europa League momentum into a ruthless finale against eliminated Maccabi Tel Aviv? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Bologna average 20.4 shots per game, while Maccabi Tel Aviv have lost six straight Europa League matches. With Maccabi conceding 19 goals in seven games and Bologna unbeaten in six, the Italian side possesses the offensive volume to cover the spread comfortably.
Read Rationale ▾
Maccabi Tel Aviv have suffered defeats by 2 or more goals in their last three home games. Given Bologna’s high shot volume and Maccabi’s inability to score (only 2 goals in seven games), a dominant shutout victory for the visitors is likely.
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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna Predictions and Best Bets
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds based on our match analysis.
Pricing reflects the gulf in quality between the already eliminated hosts and a Bologna side firing over 20 shots per game.
With Maccabi scoring just twice in seven games, the pricing highlights clean sheet victories for the visiting side.
- Shot volume tells the story: Bologna are firing 20.4 shots per game in the Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv manage just 7.7 — a gulf that screams sustained pressure.
- One side surging, one sinking: Bologna sit 15th on 12 points and are unbeaten in six Europa League matches, while Maccabi are 36th on 1 point and have lost six straight.
- Defensive damage at the bottom: Maccabi have scored only 2 in seven league-phase games and conceded 19, a brutal -17 that keeps them chasing shadows.
Attacking Output: Shots per Game
A comparison of shot frequency highlights the disparity in offensive pressure between the two sides in the league phase.
Bologna’s profile is built on relentless pressure and territory.
Maccabi struggle to create meaningful volume in the final third.
Defensive Performance: Goals Conceded
The defensive stability of both teams across their seven league-phase fixtures so far.
An average of 2.7 goals conceded per game highlights structural issues.
Bologna maintain a far more disciplined European defensive record.
Thursday at 20:00 brings a strange kind of tension at TSC Arena. Bologna arrive chasing a minor miracle to crack the Europa League top eight, yet the key work is already done: Vincenzo Italiano’s side are guaranteed a playoff spot after going unbeaten in six league-phase fixtures following an opening loss to Aston Villa.
Maccabi Tel Aviv? Already eliminated, winless, and running on pride. Žarko Lazetić’s team have taken one point, scored two, and suffered six consecutive Europa League defeats — including a 1-0 loss at Freiburg last week.
Bologna’s mood is split. Europe has been sharp and resilient, but domestic form has dipped badly — just one win in 10 league games, capped by a messy defeat in Genoa. This is about reasserting identity and finishing the phase with authority.
Team News & Lineups
Maccabi Tel Aviv team news
- D. Gruper out (cruciate ligament tear, until 01.07.2026).
- Kristijan Belic out (broken cheekbone, until 19.02.2026).
- M. Camara out (unknown injury).
- Itamar Noy unavailable (military service).
Probable Maccabi Tel Aviv XI:
Mashpati; Ben Hamo, Shlomo, Heitor, Revivo; Ben Harush, Lederman; Jehezkel, Peretz, Varela; Farchi
What it means: With Belic ruled out, the middle can feel lighter when Bologna start stacking attacks and second balls. Maccabi’s challenge is surviving waves without losing structure.
Bologna team news
- No Bologna injuries or suspensions are listed.
Probable Bologna XI:
Ravaglia; Holm, Vitik, Heggem, Miranda; Moro, Pobega; Orsolini, Odgaard, Rowe; Dallinga
What it means: That front four has shape and punch. Jonathan Rowe and Thijs Dallinga both struck against Celtic, while Riccardo Orsolini brings the finishing edge Bologna will want when the chances inevitably pile up.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| League Phase position | 36th | 15th |
| Points | 1 | 12 |
| Europa League record (7) | 0W-1D-6L | 3W-3D-1L |
| Goals scored (UEL) | 2 | 11 |
| Goals conceded (UEL) | 19 | 7 |
| Shots per game (UEL) | 7.7 | 20.4 |
| Possession (all matches shown) | 54% | 56% |
| Pass accuracy (all matches shown) | 85% | 83% |
What the numbers tell us: Bologna’s European profile is built on volume — chances, territory, and repeat pressure. Maccabi’s league-phase return is the opposite: low output, high concessions, and long spells without the ball.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Bologna’s squeeze: shots, width, and second waves
Italiano’s Bologna don’t wait politely. They play with width, hit crosses, and keep the ball moving to create shooting lanes — and that 20.4 shots per Europa League game isn’t accidental. Expect Miranda and Holm to push high, with Rowe and Orsolini looking to receive early and drive at the full-backs.
Bologna also like long balls and through traffic — a direct edge that can turn Maccabi’s clearances into instant repeat attacks. If Pobega and Moro win the second ball battle, the match can become one-way.
But there’s a risk baked in. Bologna’s weaknesses include individual errors, protecting the lead, and defending against skilful players being very weak. That’s the doorway Maccabi must kick open.
Maccabi’s route: survive the wave, then strike the gaps
Maccabi need to be compact first, brave second. Their Europa League output is blunt — 2 goals in seven — so they can’t waste transitions when they finally get them. Jehezkel, Peretz, and Varela are the obvious runners behind Bologna’s high line, while Revivo has already chipped in with one of Maccabi’s league-phase goals.
The key is emotional control. Maccabi have lost six straight in this competition, and their last three home Europa League games ended in defeats by 2+ goals. Concede early and the structure can crack; stay in it, and the crowd and chaos start to matter.
Where it tilts
If Bologna’s wide play pins Maccabi deep, it’s cross-after-cross, shot-after-shot. If Bologna get sloppy in possession, Maccabi have the chance to turn one moment into a real scare.
Key Moments to Watch
- Early pressure vs early panic: Bologna’s shot volume is relentless; Maccabi must defend the box without collapsing into last-ditch chaos.
- Second-half punch: Bologna came from behind to draw with Celtic, with Rowe and Dallinga on the scoresheet — they stay dangerous even when the match turns awkward.
- Discipline and control: Maccabi average 2.22 yellows per game and have 7 red cards overall; Bologna also play aggressively, so flashpoints are on the menu.
- Set-piece stress: Bologna are strong attacking set pieces; Maccabi can’t afford cheap fouls and soft corners.
What could go wrong?
Bologna’s Europa League run has been composed, but domestic form has been messy — and when a side carries individual errors and struggles protecting a lead, one loose pass can change the temperature instantly. For Maccabi, the danger is obvious: absorb too much pressure, and the dam can burst in a hurry.
Best Bet for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna
Can Bologna turn Europa League momentum into a ruthless finale against eliminated Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Attack | BOL: 20.4 shots/gm; MAC: 7.7 | Back BOL -1.5 |
| Form | BOL: Unbeaten in 6; MAC: 6 losses | Away Win |
| Defense | MAC: 19 goals conceded in 7 | Over 2.5 Goals |
Bologna -1.5 Asian Handicap
Bologna enter this fixture with a massive statistical advantage in offensive production. The Italian side averages 20.4 shots per game in the Europa League, which is nearly triple the 7.7 managed by Maccabi Tel Aviv. This overwhelming volume of pressure ensures that even if their conversion rate is modest, the frequency of high-quality chances will eventually break a fragile defense.
Maccabi Tel Aviv are currently rooted to the bottom of the table in 36th place, having earned just one point. Their defensive record is a major concern; they have conceded 19 goals in seven league-phase matches, resulting in a -17 goal difference. This level of vulnerability against a team that relentlessly attacks from wide areas and maintains 56% possession is a recipe for a multi-goal defeat.
Furthermore, recent history suggests a lack of resilience for the home side. Maccabi’s last three home Europa League matches have all resulted in defeats by two or more goals. Bologna, meanwhile, are guaranteed a playoff spot and are unbeaten in their last six European fixtures. They have shown the ability to finish games strong, notably coming from behind against Celtic with goals from Rowe and Dallinga.
The tactical matchup also favors a wide margin. Bologna use full-backs Holm and Miranda to pin opponents deep, creating constant crossing opportunities for Orsolini and Rowe. Maccabi are missing key defensive presence Kristijan Belic through injury, making their midfield structure even more susceptible to Bologna’s second-wave attacks. Expect the visitors to assert total authority.
What could go wrong?
Bologna’s domestic form has been poor, with only one win in their last ten league games. They are known for individual errors and a weakness in protecting leads. If they rotate their squad too heavily or commit a defensive blunder against the runners Jehezkel or Peretz, it could allow Maccabi to stay within a one-goal margin.
Correct Score Lean
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 Bologna
A three-goal victory for the visitors aligns with the staggering gulf in shot volume (20.4 vs 7.7) and Maccabi’s recent trend of losing home European games by significant margins. Maccabi have only managed to score two goals across seven games in this competition, suggesting they will struggle to capitalize on Bologna’s defensive lapses. With Riccardo Orsolini and Jonathan Rowe in the lineup, Bologna possess the clinical edge required to turn their massive territory advantage into a convincing shutout victory.
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