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Can PSV shake off Europe pain and slam the door on Feyenoord at the Philips Stadion? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
PSV have won three straight league meetings with Feyenoord. While Feyenoord possess high shot volume and the league’s top finisher in Ueda, they have conceded in 11 consecutive matches. PSV’s dominance at Philips Stadion and superior conversion rate should see them edge a high-scoring affair.
Read Rationale ▾
Feyenoord score frequently but struggle to defend counter-attacks, a major PSV strength. With PSV averaging 17.5 shots and Feyenoord 17.9, a 2-1 scoreline reflects PSV’s historical edge in this fixture while acknowledging Feyenoord’s potent attack through Ayase Ueda.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Predictions and Best Bets
PSV vs Feyenoord — William Hill Market Snapshot
Market snapshot showing implied probabilities based on current William Hill pricing.
Current pricing suggests PSV are the likely victors at the Philips Stadion, though Feyenoord remain a significant threat in this rivalry.
Both teams are expected to find the net in what is traditionally a high-scoring Eredivisie encounter.
- Title Gap Pressure: PSV lead the table on 53 points, Feyenoord sit on 39, and that 14-point gap makes this feel like a chance to stretch control — or spark a chase.
- Shot-for-shot Shootout: PSV average 17.5 shots per game in the Eredivisie, Feyenoord average 17.9, so expect a fixture packed with attempts rather than long spells of caution.
- Goals Feel Inevitable: PSV have scored in 28 of their last 30 matches, Feyenoord in 27 of their last 31, and Feyenoord have conceded in 11 straight league games.
Scoring Reliability
A look at the scoring trends for both sides as they prepare for this high-stakes meeting.
The Eindhoven side consistently features in high-scoring games when playing at the Philips Stadion.
Feyenoord have shown a consistent ability to contribute to the scoresheet on their travels.
De Kraker lands with both sides needing a clean emotional reset. PSV and Feyenoord come into Sunday bruised by Europe, and the league suddenly becomes the only place to punch back. Kick-off is at 13:30, and Philips Stadion should feel like a release valve: noise, tempo, and zero patience for sloppy play.
PSV remain top after 20 games, but the mood has turned edgy. A 13-match winning streak in the league is over, and they’ve gone three without a win across all competitions, capped by Champions League defeats to Newcastle United and Bayern Munich. Feyenoord arrive as the nearest challengers, still 14 points back, but they did just beat Heracles 4-2 and they’re not short of firepower.
There’s also a recent pattern: PSV have won three straight league meetings with Feyenoord. That’s the hook — and the target.
Team News & Lineups
PSV Eindhoven (Manager: Peter Bosz)
- Ruben van Bommel – out (knee injury, until 01.07.2026)
- Myron Boadu – out (knee injury)
- Noah Fernandez – out (broken nose bone)
- Alassane Pléa – out (cartilage damage)
Probable XI:
Kovar; Dest, Schouten, Obispo, Junior; Veerman, Wanner; Perisic, Saibari, Driouech; Til
Implication: With forward options missing, PSV’s creativity leans even harder on Joey Veerman and the movement of Guus Til and Ismael Saibari between the lines.
Feyenoord (Manager: Robin van Persie)
- No injuries/suspensions listed in the facts section.
Probable XI:
Wellenreuther; Deijl, Kraaijeveld, Targhalline, Bos; Hwang, Valente; Moussa, Larin, Sauer; Tengstedt
Implication: This looks built for quick vertical football. If Feyenoord can get service into the front players early, PSV’s “individual errors” weakness can be forced into the open.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | PSV | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Points | 53 | 39 |
| Goals For (Eredivisie) | 61 | 51 |
| Goals Against (Eredivisie) | 25 | 29 |
| Shots per game (Eredivisie) | 17.5 | 17.9 |
| Possession % (Eredivisie) | 60.8% | 54.4% |
| Pass % (Eredivisie) | 86.7% | 83.6% |
This screams “PSV control, Feyenoord punch back.” PSV keep the ball better, play higher, and create relentlessly. Feyenoord match them for shot volume, but they’ve been conceding too regularly to make this comfortable.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
PSV’s plan: control first, chaos second
Bosz’s PSV want the ball and want it high up the pitch. They play short, attack down the right, and look for through balls that turn one neat move into a clear sight of goal. When they click, they don’t just create chances — they finish them.
The creative heartbeat is Joey Veerman: 8 goals and 10 assists in the league, plus a standout 8.02 rating. If he gets time to lift his head, PSV’s attackers don’t need many touches to get in behind. Guus Til brings the penalty-box timing (11 league goals), while Ismael Saibari adds brute force and volume (9 goals, 3.3 shots per game).
But PSV carry risk in the same breath. They are very weak at avoiding individual errors and very weak at protecting the lead. That’s not a minor flaw — that’s an invitation to a side that loves a transition.
Feyenoord’s plan: hit hard through the middle
Feyenoord aren’t arriving to admire PSV’s possession. They’re a shot-heavy team with a central focus, and they’ve got a serious finisher: Ayase Ueda has 18 league goals and averages 3.4 shots per game. If PSV leave any gaps between midfield and defence, Ueda will live in that space.
The supply lines matter. Luciano Valente has 5 assists, Anis Hadj Moussa has 6 goals and 4 assists, and Quinten Timber adds drive from midfield. Feyenoord also bring a real set-piece threat at both ends, backed by strong aerial duels and very strong set-piece defending. That can change a match even when open play feels even.
The mismatch to watch
PSV’s league control meets Feyenoord’s willingness to trade punches. With both teams piling up shots, the deciding factor may be which side stays calmer when the game flips — because it will flip.
Key Moments to Watch
- The early tempo: PSV’s first goal arrives around the 34th minute on average; if they start fast, Feyenoord’s “concede at least one” run gets tested again.
- Transitions after turnovers: PSV’s counter-attacks are a major strength, but Feyenoord’s weakness is defending counter attacks — one sloppy pass could turn into a sprint race.
- Set pieces: Feyenoord are very strong defending set pieces and strong attacking them too; PSV must be clean on dead balls, especially when pressure rises.
What could go wrong?
For PSV, the danger is familiar: a comfortable spell, a lapse, then a swing of momentum they struggle to manage. For Feyenoord, the risk is just as sharp — concede first (as they keep doing), chase the game, and get stretched by a PSV side built to punish space.
Best Bet for PSV vs Feyenoord
Can PSV Stretch the Gap or Will Feyenoord Ignite a Title Race?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Attack | PSV 61 goals; Feyenoord 51 | Back Over 2.5 |
| Defence | Feyenoord: 11 straight games conceding | Back BTTS |
| History | PSV 3 straight league wins vs Feyenoord | Back PSV Win |
| Volume | PSV 17.5 shots/gm; Feyenoord 17.9 | Shot Markets |
PSV to Win & Both Teams to Score
PSV Eindhoven enter De Kraker with a commanding 14-point lead at the top of the Eredivisie table, and the historical data points heavily toward a home victory. PSV have secured wins in their last three league encounters against Feyenoord, establishing a psychological and tactical edge. This dominance is supported by a relentless offensive system that averages 17.5 shots per game and has resulted in 61 league goals this season.
However, a clean sheet for the hosts is unlikely. Feyenoord are an offensive powerhouse in their own right, averaging 17.9 shots per game—actually higher than PSV. They have scored in 27 of their last 31 matches and possess Ayase Ueda, who has already netted 18 league goals this term. PSV’s defensive structure has shown vulnerability, specifically regarding individual errors and a failure to protect leads, which Feyenoord’s vertical attacking style is designed to exploit.
Feyenoord’s defensive record further reinforces the “Both Teams to Score” element of this bet. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 consecutive league matches. When you combine Feyenoord’s inability to stop conceding with PSV’s record of scoring in 28 of their last 30 games, a high-scoring match is the natural conclusion.
While PSV have struggled in Europe recently, their domestic form remains formidable with 53 points from 20 games. They control 60.8% of possession and move the ball with a high level of technical proficiency (86.7% pass accuracy). This control, paired with Feyenoord’s tendency to allow goals, makes the home win and BTTS the most data-aligned selection for Sunday.
What could go wrong?
PSV are missing key attacking depth with Alassane Pléa and Ruben van Bommel sidelined. If Feyenoord’s superior set-piece defending and aerial duel strength neutralise PSV’s creative playmakers, the visitors could frustrate the league leaders and force a low-scoring stalemate or a smash-and-grab victory.
Correct Score Lean
PSV 2-1 Feyenoord
This scoreline accounts for the high offensive volume of both sides while respecting PSV’s superior efficiency and home advantage. PSV average over three goals per game at home, but Feyenoord’s Ayase Ueda is in prolific form, making a shutout for the hosts improbable. Given Feyenoord have conceded in 11 straight league matches, they are unlikely to keep PSV at bay for 90 minutes. A 2-1 result mirrors the competitive nature of the top two teams in the division while reflecting PSV’s recent habit of winning this specific fixture.
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