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A Copa del Rey night in Alicante, under the lights at the Nuevo Pepico Amat, always has a way of making the script feel a bit looser than usual. On 16 December 2025, CD Eldense host Real Sociedad in the Round of 32, with kick-off set for 20:00 CEST. It’s a classic cup backdrop: a Segunda side with a chance to turn a good evening into a memorable one, against a top-tier opponent built for control, rhythm and the slow squeeze. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Sociedad’s 4-4-2 is described as expansive, and their midfield is anchored by Brais Méndez and Carlos Soler, which points to control in the central areas. Recent output also favours them: 8 goals in the last five matches, backed by 63 shots, suggests they’re generating chances consistently. Eldense are balanced over the league season at 17 scored and 17 conceded in 16, which often leads to fine-margin matches — the kind a stronger, more creative away side can edge if they stay patient. Nothing is risk-free in the cup, but the away win is the most justifiable angle.
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Eldense’s profile includes a lot of tight scorelines, with 1–1 appearing five times and 0–0 twice, which fits a match where the underdog aims to keep it close. Sociedad’s away cup defensive record shows 0.67 conceded per match, supporting the idea they can limit clear chances if the game becomes a grind. With Guedes noted for recent scoring form and Méndez central to their attacking orchestration, a single decisive away goal is a reasonable lean — but correct scores are always high-variance, especially in knockout football.
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Eldense vs Real Sociedad Predictions and Best Bets
Eldense vs Real Sociedad — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with listed percentages and displayed odds in fractional format.
Cup ties can flip on moments, but the baseline numbers here still paint a game where the margins matter: patience in possession, discipline without it, and who lands first punch.
A cup night at the Nuevo Pepico Amat often lives in the details — and these scorelines show the kind of tight shapes the market tends to cluster around.
The percentages here sketch the likely game feel: will this be cagey for long spells, or does it open up once the first goal lands?
If you’re thinking in terms of game-state protection rather than a straight result, the double-chance lines show where the safety net sits.
- Real Sociedad have scored 8 goals from 63 shots across their last five matches, suggesting repeatable chance creation rather than one-off finishing — a big edge in a knockout tie.
- CD Eldense’s league season is perfectly level at 17 goals scored and 17 conceded in 16 matches, which points to fine margins and explains why small moments matter so much here.
- Eldense’s most common full-time scoreline is 1–1 (five times), with 1–0 occurring four times, hinting at tight game states that can suit a stronger side with patience and depth.
Attacking Pulse: Goals in the Last Five Matches
A simple check on recent output: five-game goal totals can hint at who’s arriving with rhythm — especially in a knockout where the first goal changes everything.
Four goals over five games can still be enough to keep a cup tie alive — but it often demands a clean, clinical spell rather than a shootout.
Doubling Eldense’s five-game total points towards stronger attacking rhythm — the kind that can turn a level game into a decisive 10-minute swing.
Baseline: Eldense Goals For & Against Per League Match
These averages offer a quick read on match shape: how often Eldense score, and how often they concede, across their league season.
A little over one goal a game tends to keep things competitive, but it usually means you can’t waste set-piece moments or good transitions.
The same average at both ends suggests plenty of fine margins — the kind of profile where one lapse, or one moment of quality, can decide it.
Game Shape: Goal-Line Tendencies
These percentages summarise how often key goal thresholds land in this match-up profile, giving a quick feel for whether it leans cagey or chaotic.
This points towards at least a couple of goals being a common outcome — useful context when thinking about how long a 0–0 can realistically last.
A 70% BTTS rate suggests each side can get on the board in this kind of fixture — which often nudges the second half into a more open, tactical gamble.
Can Eldense turn the Nuevo Pepico Amat into a Copa del Rey trap for Real Sociedad?
Claudio Barragán’s Eldense arrive with a clear spine named on paper: Pablo Valencia in goal; a back line of Arnau Gaixas, Dario Dumic, Floris Smand and Jesús Clemente Corcho; Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo, Borja Calvo Montón, Manu Molina and Boston Billups in midfield; with Ignacio Quintana Navarro and Rafa Núñez as the forwards. That selection matters, because it tells you what Eldense want the match to look like: organised, competitive, and close enough that one moment can swing it.
Real Sociedad, led by Ion Ansotegi, bring their own shape and star power. Álex Remiro starts in goal, behind Aritz Elustondo, Aihen Muñoz, Jon Martin and Duje Ćaleta-Car. In midfield, Brais Méndez and Carlos Soler are named alongside Ander Barrenetxea and Jon Gorrotxategi, with Gonçalo Guedes and Umar Sadiq up front. Sociedad’s 4-4-2 is described as expansive, built to stretch the pitch with width and then find combinations between the lines. And in a cup tie, that “expansive” label is doing a lot of work: it hints at a team willing to play on the front foot, even away from home.
The individuals who can tilt the balance are already in view. For Eldense, Ignacio Quintana Navarro is flagged as the forward with a knack for scoring in pivotal moments. For Sociedad, the creative responsibility falls heavily on Brais Méndez, while Guedes comes in with recent scoring form. There’s also a broader attacking picture: over the last five matches, Real Sociedad have scored 8 goals to Eldense’s 4, and Sociedad’s 8 goals have been backed by 63 shots across that same spell. In other words, the visitors aren’t just finishing; they’re repeatedly getting to the point where finishing becomes possible. In a one-off, that tends to travel.
None of that guarantees a straightforward evening. Eldense’s cup form shows a team that can manage game states: 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 10 Copa del Rey matches, with a home cup return of 67% wins and a points-per-game figure of 2.17. Sociedad’s away cup numbers are solid too, with 50% wins away and 1.83 points per game on the road. This is the sort of tie where you can feel both truths at once: the favourite has the stronger tools, but the host has enough bite to keep it uncomfortable if the match stays within touching distance.
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Why we Publish Only One Tip
At BettingTips4You, we stick to one primary selection for a simple reason: clarity. Cup football is noisy, full of rotations, weird momentum shifts, and the odd goalkeeper turning into a brick wall for 90 minutes. Publishing one main angle forces accountability. It means the analysis has to land somewhere specific, with a clear chain from how the match should play, to what the selection is, to what might break it. No hedging with five different bets and a wink. Just one call, explained properly, and judged fairly afterwards.
Best Bet for CD Eldense vs Real Sociedad
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Real Sociedad to Win (90 minutes)
Rationale
Start with the shapes and the names. Sociedad’s 4-4-2 is presented as expansive, using width to create room for interplay between the lines. That matters here because Eldense’s listed XI reads as a very traditional structure: four defenders, four midfielders, and two forwards. In cup football, that’s often the “keep it honest, keep it tight” setup — two banks, clear responsibilities, and a front pair asked to hold the ball up just long enough for midfield support to arrive.
So where does the tie tilt? The central lane. Sociedad’s midfield is explicitly described as “anchored” by Brais Méndez and Carlos Soler. Anchored is the key word: it implies control of tempo, second balls, and the ability to keep the ball moving in the right zones. Against a home side that will want the game to stay scrappy and emotional, having two midfielders named as the anchor points is a serious advantage. It’s also consistent with the way Sociedad’s recent attacking output has been built: 8 goals and 63 shots in five matches suggests sustained pressure rather than a couple of lucky bounces.
From Eldense’s perspective, the plan is clear enough. With Ignacio Quintana Navarro highlighted as the man for pivotal moments, the aim is likely to keep the match alive long enough for him — and Rafa Núñez alongside him — to get a chance on transition or from a rare sustained spell in the final third. That can absolutely happen in the Copa del Rey. But for it to happen often, Eldense need to win enough midfield duels to turn defending into attacking, and they need their defensive line to hold up under repeated phases.
Here’s where the supporting numbers nudge the story towards the away win. Eldense’s league season profile shows balance rather than dominance: 17 goals scored and 17 conceded across 16 matches, averaging 1.06 scored and 1.06 conceded per game, with 6 clean sheets in 16. That’s respectable, but it also paints a team that lives in narrow margins. Sociedad arrive with a recent output advantage (8 goals to 4 over the last five matches), and with a cup away record that includes conceding 0.67 goals per match away, which points to a defensive base sturdy enough to survive the moments Eldense are hoping for.
There’s also a cup-specific rhythm to consider. Eldense’s most frequent scoreline in their season data is 1–1 (five occurrences), with 1–0 appearing four times and 0–0 twice. That mix screams “stay in the game”. It’s exactly what Eldense will try to do again. The problem is that “staying in the game” still asks you to solve one question eventually: can you create enough to win it? Sociedad’s attacking involvement is tied to Méndez and Guedes, and Guedes’ scoring form is explicitly mentioned. That gives Sociedad more routes to a decisive goal — not just one striker having to pull off something special, but multiple sources of threat.
What could go wrong? Cup ties have a habit of laughing at logic. Eldense’s home cup form is strong, and if they drag Sociedad into a low-tempo, stop-start match where one set-piece, one error, or one big save from Pablo Valencia defines the night, the favourite can get stuck. And if Ignacio Quintana Navarro lands one of those “pivotal moments” early, the whole tactical picture flips: Sociedad then have to chase a set defence, and the game becomes more emotional than structural.
Correct score lean
A narrow away win is the cleaner fit with the match profile: 0–1 or 1–2 to Real Sociedad. Eldense’s tendency towards tight scorelines, alongside Sociedad’s away defensive record in the cup, makes the single-goal margin feel like the most natural landing spot if the game stays on script.
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