This match has now been played. View today’s football predictions
here.
bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Open Account Offer – New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+
New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. #Ad. 18+ T&Cs apply.
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. T&Cs Apply.
New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports Bet). Valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. Acca Club: Available to new & existing customers. 3 or more selections. Min Odds: 3/10 (1.3) per leg. Max stake: £500. Max Winnings: £200,000 per boost. Profit Boost amounts vary. Horse Racing, Greyhounds & Trotting excluded. Exclusions apply. 18+. T&Cs apply.
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days. Stake not returned. T&C’s Apply #Ad. 18+
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, 1.5 min odds in 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply. #Ad. 18+
New customers only. To qualify for free bets, the new user must place and settle £20 on easyBet markets. The user must bet on at least 2 different events to qualify. The user must place and settle bets at odds of 2.0 or more. An event is classed as two different sporting events. Bets can be placed on singles, multiples and Bet Builders. The user must place and settle bets before the closing date of the promotion to qualify. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, Neteller or PaySafe card will not qualify for this promotion. T’s and C’s Apply. Be Gamble Aware.
Can Mainz 05 turn Mewa Arena into a fortress again — or will Hamburger SV land a survival-defining punch? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Mewa Arena
Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Key Match Fact
Mainz have won 4 of their last 5 at home, while Hamburger SV have kept 8 clean sheets this campaign.
Mainz are revitalised at home, winning four of their last five at Mewa Arena. While they struggle for clean sheets, their physical crossing game and aerial threat through Tietz should overwhelm a Hamburger side that is vulnerable to high crossing volume and set-pieces.
Mainz have hit 2+ goals in seven of their last 10, but have only two clean sheets in 22. Hamburger score consistently and take 13.1 shots per game, making a high-scoring home win plausible given Mainz’s defensive fragility and strong home form.
Friday night at Mewa Arena has that edge-of-the-table snap to it. Mainz 05 sit 14th after 22 matches, while Hamburger SV are ninth, already six points clear of the relegation play-off spot.
Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — William Hill Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds.
Mainz 05
vs
Hamburger SV
Main Market • 1X2
Match Result – Mainz Favoured at Home
Mainz have won four of their last five at Mewa Arena, justifying their status as odds-on favourites despite their low league position.
Information only. Any probabilities shown are implied from the listed odds. Prices can change. 18+ GambleAware.
Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: Friday Night Battle at Mewa Arena
Mainz arrive with a bruised ego after a 4-0 loss to Borussia Dortmund, a match where their only real moments came late from a corner when the damage was done. But that result also interrupted a run of three straight wins, and it was only their second defeat in 11. Expect a sharp response — and expect Hamburger to test it.
Kick-off is 19:30.
Match Tempo: Average Shots per League Game
Hamburger SV’s trigger-heavy approach results in a higher shot volume compared to Mainz’s more direct delivery style.
Mainz 05
Direct
11.1
Average shots per Bundesliga match
Mainz focus on high crossing volume and aerial duels to generate chances.
Hamburger SV
High volume
13.1
Average shots per Bundesliga match
The visitors average over 13 shots per match, reflecting their technical passing build-up.
Defensive Stability: Clean Sheets This Season
The contrast in clean sheets highlights Mainz’s vulnerability at the back versus Hamburg’s defensive structure.
Mainz 05
High Leakage
2
Clean sheets in 22 league matches
Mainz have managed to shut out opponents in just 9% of their league fixtures.
Hamburger SV
Solid Shield
8
Clean sheets in 24 matches overall
Hamburger’s defensive record is significantly more robust than the home side’s.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Mainz 05 (Manager: Urs Fischer)
Out/Unavailable: W. Vick (ill), L. Maloney (ill), M. Dal (cruciate ligament tear), Anthony Caci (hamstring injury).
No Caci narrows the options down the flank and asks more of Da Costa and Mwene for width. With Kohr in the back line, Mainz look built to duel — but they still need a cleaner first punch in front of their own crowd.
That shape screams width and breakouts. With Muheim supplying and Vieira creating, Hamburger can stretch Mainz’s back three and force awkward choices: step out and leave gaps, or sit in and invite waves.
🏆 LIVE LEADERBOARD CHAMPIONSHIP
Predict Football. Climb the Free Leaderboard.
Join the free BettingTips4You Tipping Arena. Lock in daily virtual-unit picks on real matches, build a public record, and chase World Cup competition rewards.
18+ | Free to join | Virtual units only | No real-money betting required in the Tipster Arena | BeGambleAware | T&Cs apply.
Current Targets To Beat
#1Macfoe
+177u
#2Edison Chris
+62u
#3MicheleDL
+60u
👑
🔥
📈
🎯
🔥 FREE WATCHLIST ACCESS
Follow the strongest community records for free.
Create a free account to track top-performing tipsters, compare their published records, and follow leaderboard moves during the World Cup competition.
18+ | Free to join | Virtual units only | No real-money betting required in the Tipster Arena | BeGambleAware | T&Cs apply.
#1 Macfoe+177u
#2 Edison Chris+62u
#3 MicheleDL+60u
Tale of the Tape: Statistical Comparison
Metric (Bundesliga)
Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
League position
14th
9th
Points
21 (22 matches)
25 (21 matches)
Goals scored
25
24
Goals conceded
37
31
Shots per game
11.1
13.1 ACTIVE
Possession
44.1%
46.9%
Pass accuracy
74.5%
82.1%
Clean sheets
2 (22 matches)
8 (24 matches overall)
Mainz’s numbers paint a team that can spark — 25 goals and a habit of scoring 2+ in big chunks — but rarely shut the door, with only two clean sheets in 22 league games. Hamburger look tidier in the pass (82.1%) and more trigger-happy (13.1 shots per game).
Tactical Battle: Pressure vs Composure
Mainz: Width, Crosses, and Scraps
Mainz’s identity is direct and physical. They play with width, attack down the right, hit long balls, and attempt crosses often. They’re also aggressive — which can be a weapon at home, especially with Phillip Tietz offering a reliable aerial outlet and Dominik Kohr bringing bite.
Hamburger: Cleaner Build-up and Fast Breaks
Hamburger’s traits are almost a mirror — but sharper on the ball. They play with width, attempt through balls often, and attack down the left. Their pass accuracy suggests they can keep sequences alive and force Mainz to shuffle. They’re also strong on counter-attacks, which is a weakness for Mainz.
Key Moments to Watch
First goal timing: Mainz’s average first goal time is 39′ and Hamburger’s is 55′ — pointing to a cagey opening.
Set-piece stress: With Tietz strong in the air, dead balls remain a serious route to momentum for Mainz.
Discipline: Hamburger are weak at avoiding fouling in dangerous areas; Nadiem Amiri’s free-kicks will be a major threat.
Quick Hits: Game-State Scenarios
Mainz have won four and drawn one of their last five at Mewa Arena.
Mainz have hit 2+ goals in seven of their last 10 clashes.
Hamburger SV average 13.1 shots per game and complete passes at 82.1%.
Match Summary
Mainz can look comfortable at home, but their habit of conceding keeps the door open. Hamburger can dominate sequences with their passing but risk handing it back with clumsy fouls. This has all the ingredients for a match where one clean contact defines the night.
📊 Market Analysis & Tactical Rationale
Match Result (1X2)
The standard market for predicting the final outcome. Your selection covers Mainz winning within 90 minutes. It offers a clear path but requires the home side to overcome their defensive frailties.
Correct Score
A high-volatility market where you predict the exact final scoreline. The trade-off is a lower probability of success in exchange for significantly higher potential returns.
🎯 Main Selection: Mainz 05 to Win
Mainz 05 enter this fixture as strong candidates for the victory based on their formidable recent form at the Mewa Arena. While their overall league position of 14th is modest, they have transformed their home ground into a genuine fortress, securing four wins and one draw from their last five matches in front of their own supporters. This home-field advantage is the primary driver for the selection, as they have shown a consistent ability to grind out results against varied opposition.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
Home Dominance: Won 4 and drawn 1 of the last 5 home league games.
Aerial Strength: Phillip Tietz provides a target for high crossing volume.
Discipline Exploitation: Nadiem Amiri’s set-piece threat vs Hamburg’s high foul count.
The tactical battle further supports a home win. Mainz specialise in a direct, physical style featuring high crossing volumes and aerial duels. This style is specifically suited to exploit Hamburger SV’s defensive weaknesses, particularly their tendency to foul in dangerous areas. However, the risk factor remains Mainz’s poor defensive record; they have kept just two clean sheets in 22 matches, meaning they will likely need to score multiple times to secure the three points.
Risk Factor: Mainz have kept only 2 clean sheets in 22 league games, often requiring their attack to outscore defensive lapses.
🎯 Alternative Selection: Mainz 05 2-1 Hamburger SV
The 2-1 scoreline is a logical extension of the statistical profiles of both teams. Mainz have demonstrated high attacking output at home, scoring two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches. Given that they are facing a Hamburger side that averages 13.1 shots per game and maintains superior pass accuracy, the visitors are highly likely to find the net at least once, especially considering Mainz’s porous defence.
1.13Mainz GPG
1.14Hamburg GPG
Tactically, the match is expected to feature a cagey opening—Mainz score their first goal on average in the 39th minute—before loosening as the game progresses. Hamburger’s strength on counter-attacks will likely exploit Mainz’s high-pressing wing-backs at some stage, but the home side’s physical dominance on second balls and set-pieces should allow them to maintain the edge. A 2-1 result reflects both Mainz’s superior home results and their consistent inability to keep a clean sheet.
Risk Factor: Hamburger SV’s 8 clean sheets this season suggest they can be difficult to breach twice if they settle into their defensive shape.
⚠️
Key Tactical Mismatch
Mainz Strength
Aerial Outlet
Phillip Tietz wins 5.3 aerials per match, creating direct threats from a high volume of crosses.
Hamburger Weakness
Fouling in Danger Zones
Hamburger are noted for fouling in dangerous areas, inviting direct free-kick pressure.
🎯 Pro Insight: We expect Mainz to capitalise on at least one set-piece opportunity due to Hamburger’s poor discipline near the box.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕ What does a Match Result bet mean?
A Match Result bet involves picking which team will win or if the game will end in a draw after 90 minutes. It is the most common form of football wagering for beginners.
⊕ How does the Correct Score market work?
Correct Score requires you to predict the exact final scoreline of the match. While difficult to predict, the odds are typically much higher than simpler match-winner markets.
⊕ Why is Mainz favoured despite being lower in the table?
Mainz’s strong home form, featuring four wins and a draw in their last five at Mewa Arena, outweighs their overall league standing in this specific matchup.
⊕ What is Hamburger SV’s main tactical strength?
Hamburger SV excel in technical build-up and counter-attacks, maintaining an 82.1% pass accuracy which allows them to transition quickly into attacking spaces.
⊕ Are there many goals expected in this game?
Yes, Mainz’s defensive stats show only two clean sheets in 22 matches, while their attack has scored 2+ goals in seven of their last 10 games, suggesting a high-scoring encounter.
⊕ Which player is the biggest aerial threat for Mainz?
Phillip Tietz is the primary aerial target, winning an average of 5.3 duels per match, making him central to Mainz’s crossing-heavy strategy.
⊕ What is a common weakness for Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV frequently foul in dangerous areas around their own box, which provides high-quality free-kick opportunities for opponents like Nadiem Amiri.
⊕ When are the goals likely to be scored?
Stats show a cagey opening with Mainz’s average first goal at 39 minutes and Hamburger’s at 55 minutes, indicating more action is likely in the second half.
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply. Remember to set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when the fun stops. For more information on staying in control, visit BeGambleAware.org.
We use cookies on our website to give you the most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits. By clicking “Accept All”, you consent to the use of ALL the cookies. However, you may visit "Cookie Settings" to provide a controlled consent.
This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience.
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously.
Cookie
Duration
Description
cookielawinfo-checkbox-analytics
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-functional
11 months
The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-necessary
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-others
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other.
cookielawinfo-checkbox-performance
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance".
viewed_cookie_policy
11 months
The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data.
Functional cookies help to perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collect feedbacks, and other third-party features.
Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.
Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.
Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads.
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+ Only, gambleaware.org. Full T&Cs 18+ Please Gamble Responsibly. BeGambleAware.
⏳Previous Acca Result Pending
14.47 odds • Settlement pending • 4 legs
Pending
4-Leg Auto AccaTotal odds: 14.47
South Korea v Trinidad and Tobago
Double Chance 12
Friendlies • Sun 31 May 02:00 • 100% hit
• 1.36
Switzerland v Jordan
Away Draw No Bet
Friendlies • Sun 31 May 14:00 • 100% hit
• 6.25
RB Bragantino v Internacional
Over 1.5 Goals
Serie A • Sun 31 May 15:00 • 90% hit
• 1.33
Deportivo La Coruna v Las Palmas
Under 3.5 Goals
Segunda División • Sun 31 May 17:30 • 90% hit
• 1.28
