Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Preview: Prediction, Team News and Lineups. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Bayern's prolific scoring and dominant recent record against Augsburg support a win with both teams scoring. Augsburg's strong home scoring and recent defensive lapses suggest they will breach Bayern's defence, while Bayern's overall firepower should secure victory despite modest away goals.
Bayern's strong scoring record and Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities support a 1-3 away win. Augsburg's ability to score at home and recent form justify their single goal, while Bayern's defence poses a risk of a clean sheet that could invalidate this exact scoreline.
Bayern Munich travel to the WWK Arena on Saturday, 10 October, looking to maintain their unbeaten start to the Bundesliga season against an Augsburg side that inflicted their only league defeat in their previous 47 matches.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Bayern's strong recent wins suggest a likely victory over Augsburg.
Bayern's strong recent wins suggest a likely victory over Augsburg.
Both sides have strong scoring records, indicating goals from each team.
Bayern's attack and Augsburg's scoring ability support this exact scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- 14 goals: Bayern's Bundesliga-leading attacking return across four matches.
- One defeat in 14: Augsburg's impressive recent home record.
- Seven wins in eight: Bayern's dominant recent head-to-head record against Augsburg.
Goals Scored
Recent attacking records for Augsburg and Bayern Munich are shown below.
Goals Conceded
Recent defensive records for Augsburg and Bayern Munich are shown below.
Vincent Kompany's champions sit second with 10 points, two behind Borussia Dortmund, while Manuel Baum's Augsburg occupy fourth place with seven. Victory for the hosts would draw them level with Bayern and strengthen their early European ambitions.
With Augsburg scoring 11 goals in four league matches and Bayern registering 14, an entertaining contest appears likely, although contrasting defensive records could prove decisive.
Augsburg's attacking promise undermined by defensive lapses
Augsburg began the campaign impressively, defeating Schalke 3-0 before dismantling Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1. Those performances demonstrated their attacking potential and suggested Baum's side could build on last season's ninth-place finish.
However, their momentum has weakened considerably.
A 2-2 draw against Bayer Leverkusen saw Michael Gregoritsch's brace cancelled out by Patrik Schick's 89th-minute equaliser. Augsburg subsequently surrendered another two-goal advantage, losing 3-2 against Werder Bremen.
Conceding twice in a 2-2 friendly draw with Hertha Berlin extended that concerning sequence to three consecutive matches.
The underlying numbers highlight Augsburg's contrasting strengths. Their 11 league goals represent an impressive attacking return, but six conceded leave them vulnerable against elite opposition.
Nevertheless, home advantage offers encouragement. Augsburg have lost just once in their previous 14 matches at the WWK Arena, suggesting Bayern cannot expect a straightforward afternoon.
Baum also masterminded January's remarkable 2-1 victory at the Allianz Arena, demonstrating that his side possess the tactical discipline and attacking quality to trouble the champions.
Bayern's attacking firepower presents formidable challenge
Bayern arrive unbeaten in seven competitive matches, winning six and drawing once.
Their Bundesliga campaign includes emphatic victories over Stuttgart (5-1) and Union Berlin (7-0), alongside a 2-1 success against Elversberg.
The only significant setback came against newly promoted Schalke, who frustrated Kompany's men in a goalless draw.
Bayern have scored 14 league goals while conceding just twice, establishing a substantial advantage over Augsburg in both attacking output and defensive reliability.
Their away performances have been less convincing, however, with only two goals across two Bundesliga trips.
That statistic offers Augsburg encouragement, particularly given their recent success against the champions.
Nevertheless, Bayern have won seven of their last eight meetings with Augsburg, underlining their historical superiority despite January's surprise defeat.
With Dortmund setting the early pace, Kompany's side cannot afford another frustrating result.
Team news and predicted lineups
Augsburg will be without defender Noahkai Banks following a knee ligament injury sustained on international duty. Tim Breithaupt and Steve Mounie are also sidelined.
Calvin Brackelmann, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw and Chrislain Matsima are expected to form the defensive trio, with Marius Wolf and Hennes Behrens providing width.
Gregoritsch should lead the attack, supported by Alexis Claude-Maurice and Robin Fellhauer.
Bayern remain without Jamal Musiala, who suffered a thigh muscle injury while representing Germany.
Ismael Saibari could deputise behind Harry Kane, alongside Michael Olise and Luis Diaz.
Olise enters the fixture in exceptional form, having scored nine goals across his previous seven appearances for club and country.
Augsburg predicted XI: Dahmen; Brackelmann, Gouweleeuw, Matsima; Wolf, Massengo, Rieder, Behrens; Fellhauer, Claude-Maurice; Gregoritsch.
Bayern predicted XI: Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Olise, Saibari, Diaz; Kane.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich prediction: 2-2
Augsburg's attacking confidence and impressive home record suggest they can cause Bayern problems, particularly if Gregoritsch receives sufficient service.
However, their recent inability to protect leads raises serious questions against opponents boasting Bayern's attacking quality.
Kompany's side possess the stronger defensive record and greater individual firepower, but their relatively modest away scoring return provides reason to anticipate a competitive encounter.
A high-scoring draw would reflect Augsburg's attacking threat while exposing the defensive vulnerabilities that have disrupted their promising start.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Bayern Munich to win and Both Teams to Score YES. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Augsburg vs Bayern Munich 1-3. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Bayern Munich to win and Both Teams to Score YES @ 4/5
The selection combining a Bayern Munich victory with both teams to score aligns closely with the contrasting statistical profiles of these two sides. Bayern arrive with six wins from seven competitive matches, powered by a prolific attacking return of 14 goals in just four Bundesliga fixtures. That offensive volume, spearheaded by Michael Olise’s outstanding sequence of nine goals in seven appearances for club and country, provides a firm foundation for the away victory. Furthermore, Bayern hold a dominant head-to-head advantage, having defeated Augsburg in seven of their last eight encounters.
However, the home side possess the attacking numbers to ensure the away clean sheet remains vulnerable. Augsburg have scored 11 league goals in four matches, dismantling both Schalke and Eintracht Frankfurt before scoring twice against Bayer Leverkusen, Werder Bremen and Hertha Berlin. That sustained scoring sequence, combined with an imposing home record of just one defeat in their last 14 matches at the WWK Arena, establishes their capacity to register at least one goal in this fixture.
The primary complication for the away win rests in Bayern’s relatively modest away return, having scored only twice across two Bundesliga road trips, alongside the fact Augsburg won January’s meeting 2-1. Despite that precedent, Augsburg’s recent defensive sequence—conceding six league goals and surrendering multiple leads—suggests they cannot contain elite opposition for a full match. These contrasting records indicate a contest where Augsburg can breach the visiting defence, but Bayern possess the overall firepower to secure maximum points.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Bayern Munich lead the Bundesliga with 14 goals in four matches.
- Augsburg have conceded two or three goals in each of their last three matches.
- Augsburg have lost just once in their last 14 home matches at the WWK Arena.
Risk Factor: Bayern's low away scoring and Augsburg's previous home win threaten the away victory condition.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Scoring at a rate of 3.5 goals per match in the Bundesliga, featuring emphatic 5-1 and 7-0 victories.
Surrendered a two-goal advantage against Werder Bremen and conceded late equalisers to drop vital points.
⚔️ Pick 2: Augsburg vs Bayern Munich 1-3 @ 17/2
A 1-3 away victory balances Bayern Munich’s immense goalscoring form with Augsburg’s established ability to find the net at the WWK Arena. For the visitors, recent offensive returns provide a clear foundation for a high goal tally. Vincent Kompany’s side have scored 14 times in four Bundesliga fixtures, including highly productive 5-1 and 7-0 victories over Stuttgart and Union Berlin. They face an Augsburg defence displaying significant recent vulnerability. Manuel Baum’s side have conceded six league goals overall, shipping three against Werder Bremen and two against Bayer Leverkusen, alongside another two in a friendly with Hertha Berlin. That sequence of conceding multiple goals offers Bayern a highly credible route to scoring three times.
For the home side, the offensive record strongly supports a solitary goal. Augsburg have accumulated 11 league goals in four matches, driven by attackers such as Michael Gregoritsch, who recently registered a brace. Their outstanding home form—just one defeat in their last 14 fixtures at this venue—and their 2-1 victory over Bayern in January confirm they will not be entirely passive in front of goal.
The primary risk to this exact scoreline rests in Bayern’s defensive reliability; the champions have conceded only twice in four league outings, making an away clean sheet a genuine possibility. However, Augsburg’s persistent scoring momentum makes a complete attacking failure unlikely. While correct-score predictions are fragile and easily defeated by a single event, a 1-3 result rationally maps the visiting side’s elite attacking output against the hosts’ proven scoring capacity.
Risk Factor: Bayern's strong defence means a clean sheet could prevent this exact scoreline.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Match Winner and BTTS market settle?
Bayern must win and both teams must score; a clean sheet or draw loses this bet.
What happens if the match finishes 2-1 for Over 3.5 Goals bet?
The bet loses because fewer than four goals were scored in total.
Why are Augsburg considered a credible attacking threat?
They have scored 11 goals in four league matches and have strong home form.
Does Michael Olise’s form impact the betting markets?
Yes, he scored nine goals in seven appearances, boosting Bayern's attack.
How does the exact-score market work for a 1-3 prediction?
The match must end exactly 1-3; any other score results in a losing bet.
What is the primary risk to a Bayern Munich victory?
Bayern's low away scoring and Augsburg's previous home win pose risks.
