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Newcastle vs Fulham: Nick Woltemade To Score or Assist (Impact Sub Applies) (90 Mins)








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City’s league snapshot shows 38 goals scored and a +22 goal difference, with Haaland leading the scoring on 17. That supports a strong chance of City finding the net. The risk is Brentford’s side of BTTS, because City’s home concession rate is 0.75 and they keep clean sheets in 50% of home games. Still, Brentford average 0.75 goals per away match, which keeps a single breakthrough in play if they take one moment well in a knockout setting.
Haaland’s recent log shows shots on target of 2, 1, 1, 1, 2 across five matches, with 7 SOT in total and the 2+ line landing twice. He’s playing heavy minutes and taking shots consistently (14 shots across the listed spell). With City’s overall scoring output strong and Haaland the team’s top scorer, the line leans on him generating enough attempts to put at least two on frame.
This is the most game-state dependent leg. City’s home defence is solid (0.75 conceded per home match, 50% clean sheets), which can limit visiting chances. The route is Brentford’s away scoring rate of 0.75 goals per match and the possibility that a cup tie forces direct attacks where limited entries still end in shots. It’s a price-boosting angle that needs Brentford to create enough moments for their forward to test the keeper twice.
The builder blends a match narrative with two headline shot lines. City’s scoring output and Haaland’s recent on-target returns support the home-side pressure theme. BTTS and Thiago’s line hinge on Brentford producing at least one productive spell away from home. It’s viable, but game state matters.
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Newcastle’s home platform is strong, with five wins from eight league games at St James’ Park and a clear rise in attacking pressure there (14.38 shots per home match). Fulham’s away defending offers an opening: no away clean sheets in eight and 2.00 goals conceded per away match. Add a recent 2–1 Newcastle win over Fulham this season and you have a route to Newcastle controlling key moments. It’s still a tough leg because both sides sit at 63% BTTS and Fulham have scored in 13 of 16, so Newcastle must manage both halves sharply.
Fulham’s discipline isn’t reckless (most listed players have 0 red cards), but several key figures are already collecting yellows: Lukić has 5, Leno and Bassey have 3, with Iwobi, Wilson, King and Jiménez on 2 each. In a cup quarter-final away at St James’ Park, sustained defensive work can produce tactical fouls and late interventions. The “each half” angle leans on two potential game phases: an early spell of Newcastle pressure forcing first-half breaks in play, and a second-half chase where intensity rises. It’s demanding, but the card spread suggests bookings can come from multiple areas of Fulham’s side.
Newcastle have taken 57 corners across 16 Premier League matches in 2025/26 — just over 3.5 per match — which points to regular attacking sequences that force clearances. That aligns with their elevated home shot volume (14.38 per match), where repeated pressure tends to turn into blocks, deflections and balls put behind. With Gordon and Lewis Hall typically on corners, set plays look like a consistent attacking tool rather than a sporadic by-product. If Newcastle spend long spells in Fulham’s half — which Fulham’s away defensive record hints can happen — the corner count is a logical place for Newcastle to edge it.
At 28/1, this builder is about a specific match story: Newcastle turning home pressure into control before and after half-time, Fulham spending enough of both halves defending to pick up bookings, and Newcastle’s sustained attacking sequences nudging the corner count their way. High risk, coherent logic.
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Newcastle vs Fulham: Nick Woltemade To Score or Assist (Impact Sub Applies) (90 Mins)
Man City vs Brentford: Man City to Score in the First Half
Man City vs Brentford: Both Teams to Score, Erling Haaland: 2+ Shots on Target, Igor Thiago: 2+ Shots on Target
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