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Why this pick
Spurs’ away form has been outstanding, with a flexible game plan that travels well. Everton’s defensive absences weaken their aerial and recovery work, and space behind advancing full-backs suits Tottenham’s rapid transitions via Kudus, Simons and Kolo Muani. Given Spurs’ unbeaten away run, a narrow, disciplined away win is the value call.
Why this pick
Tottenham’s width-first approach, with overlapping full-backs and frequent deliveries, reliably drives corner volume. Everton funnel more attacks centrally, producing fewer byline actions. With Spurs likely to pin the hosts back for spells, blocked crosses and deflections should tilt the flag-kick count towards the visitors.
Why this pick
Moyes’ Everton are combative and direct, a blend that often attracts bookings — especially when chasing quick runners between the lines. Spurs’ ball carriers draw fouls in transition, and with the Toffees defending deep for periods, frustration and tactical nudges increase the likelihood of more cautions for the home side.
Why this pick
Spurs have generated superior on-target output away from home, with Kolo Muani, Kudus and Simons comfortable shooting early from central and half-space lanes. Everton’s reshuffled defence concedes shooting windows, and Tottenham’s control of territory should translate into the higher SOT tally.
Four-leg builder: Spurs to win; Tottenham for most corners and most shots on target; Everton for most cards. It mirrors away-versus-home trends, width-driven pressure and the hosts’ combative style for a cohesive angle.
Why this pick
Juventus arrive with superior attacking options and an excellent scoring record away to Lazio. The hosts’ home form is patchy and they are missing key names, while Juve’s likely front line — led by Vlahović with strong midfield support — should generate the clearer chances in a cagey encounter.
Why this pick
Under Tudor, Juventus attack the flanks with adventurous wing-backs, forcing blocks and clearances. Lazio’s narrow shape often concedes territory wide, and with the visitors likely to control pressure phases, Juve are well placed to top the corner count.
Why this pick
Lazio’s attacking absences blunt their output, whereas Juventus retain multiple threats who work the target consistently. A reinforced midfield platform should release runners and provide service into Vlahović and David, tilting the on-target tally towards the visitors.
Injuries and Lazio’s home wobble point to Juve’s edge across key metrics: result, corners and shots on target. Width, territory and superior forward depth support the visitors at a value 8/1.
Why this pick
Chelsea are creating heavily through Estevão and Pedro Neto from wide areas, while Ajax still carry incision on transitions despite poor results. Both back lines leave space, and Champions League tempo often exposes defensive lapses. Goals at both ends fit the tactical risk profiles.
Why this pick
Neto’s confidence under Maresca is surging; he attacks full-backs one-v-one and cuts in to shoot. Ajax’s advanced full-backs leave channels to exploit, and their box defending has been shaky. With sustained service, the winger should generate high-quality looks at goal.
Why this pick
European officiating is strict, and both midfields press aggressively. Tactical fouls to halt counters plus touchline duels should lift the booking count. Recent form for both clubs shows frequent cautions in high-stakes games, keeping 5+ cards realistic.
Why this pick
Both sides attack with width and volume. Chelsea’s overlaps and Ajax’s quick diagonal switches force blocks and deflections, inflating corner totals. With end-to-end phases expected, double-digit corners align with the game script at Stamford Bridge.
Front-foot styles, loose defensive spacing and strict European officiating point to BTTS, plenty of cards and a high corner count. Neto’s cutting runs target Ajax’s exposed channels, rounding out a balanced 20/1 builder grounded in how both teams create and concede chances.
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