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Anfield Under the Lights: Liverpool and Brighton Battle for FA Cup Glory. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Liverpool vs Brighton, which has been placed with Bet365:
Egypt or Draw
Double Chance
Egypt’s incredible record of remaining unbeaten in 32 of their last 34 matches establishes a powerful baseline of resilience. They possess an elite defensive structure that has kept nine clean sheets in sixteen outings, making them an incredibly difficult side to break down. Given that tournament openers at the World Cup are traditionally tense, low-scoring affairs, and with half of Egypt’s last six away games ending in draws, they have the tactical patience to frustrate a Belgium side that recently drew blank against North Macedonia. Egypt are perfectly equipped to slow down the match tempo and secure a vital group-stage result.
Kevin De Bruyne over 0.5 shots on target
Shots on Target
Kevin De Bruyne serves as Belgium’s primary creative and shooting catalyst from his attacking midfield role. Having logged 1,169 minutes this season, he has taken twenty-seven total shots, hitting the target eleven times to secure a strong forty-one percent accuracy rate. Facing a compact Egypt low block that restricts inside passing lanes, De Bruyne will rely on his signature long-range ball-striking, having taken seventeen shots from outside the area. With five goals already recorded this campaign, his tendency to test keepers from distance makes one shot on target a highly probable expectation.
Jérémy Doku over 1.5 shots on target
Shots on Target
Jérémy Doku provides the explosive individual dribbling required to destabilise Egypt's narrow defensive shape. Operating on the left wing, he has recorded thirty-nine shots across 1,784 minutes of play, hitting the target fifteen times. Doku thrives on isolating full-backs and cutting inside onto his preferred right foot, which accounts for twenty-seven of his attempts. With 194 touches inside the opposition box this season and a recent track record of goals against genuine opposition, his high-volume shooting style leans heavily toward testing the keeper at least twice during this open World Cup fixture.
Both Teams To Score – Yes
Both Teams To Score
Belgium enter the fixture with immense attacking firepower, averaging 3.3 goals per game over their last ten matches and scoring in nine of them. They are highly unlikely to be kept quiet by Egypt over ninety minutes. Conversely, Belgium's expansive style leaves them susceptible to quick transitions, having conceded multiple goals against Wales and Croatia. Egypt average a steady 1.13 goals per game and possess a solid output of 10.94 shots per match. Once the match state breaks open, both teams have the necessary quality to exploit defensive spaces and find the net.
Over 10.5 corners
Total Corners
The tactical dynamic of Belgium's high-possession style matching up against Egypt's deep defensive block naturally breeds a high volume of corner kicks. Belgium solo-average a massive 9.2 corners per game due to their constant wide overloads and cross-heavy approach. Egypt add a steady 4.75 corners per match through their counter-attacking outlets and set-piece deflections. Combined, these styles point toward an aggregate that comfortably clears the 10.5 line, as repeated blocks and clearing headers from Egypt's central defenders will consistently deflect the ball behind the goal line.
FA Cup nights at Anfield always carry a pulse, and this one comes with a distinct edge. Liverpool, under Arne Slot, are looking to convert a run of dominant home performances into a statement victory in a competition where they have already flexed their muscles by hitting four goals in their opening tie. The atmosphere on Merseyside is expected to be electric, with the hosts aiming to turn the stadium into a fortress of noise and pressure.
Brighton arrive with a bruised mood, having struggled for consistency in the league with three defeats in their last six outings. However, Fabian Hurzeler’s side are no strangers to cup upsets, having already dispatched Manchester United earlier in the competition. As the clock ticks toward the 20:00 kick-off, the tactical question is simple: can Liverpool’s high-octane pressure break Brighton’s technical structure, or will the Seagulls find their passing rhythm and silence the Kop?
Liverpool vs Brighton Bet Builder Tip
Rayan Cherki to Score
Rayan Cherki is rapidly becoming the creative heartbeat of a side that thrives on fast breaks and high-intensity attacking transitions. Standing at 177 cm and possessing the rare ability to use both feet with equal precision, the Frenchman presents a nightmare for defenders who are forced to guess which way he will turn. His recent form suggests he is a man for the big occasion, having found the back of the net in high-stakes matches against Tottenham Hotspur, Galatasaray, and Bodø/Glimt within the last few weeks.
Cherki’s goal-scoring threat is built on a foundation of elite positioning and shot volume. He has recorded 28 shots this season, with a significant 20 of those coming from inside the opposition box. This indicates a player who is not just a long-range specialist but one who actively seeks out high-value scoring positions. His 1,049 touches this season include 94 in the opposition box, highlighting his persistence in dangerous areas. When Liverpool or any high-pressing side leaves gaps during a transition, Cherki is the primary beneficiary.
Statistically, Cherki’s xG of 2.09 is actually being outperformed by his xGOT of 2.32, which proves his finishing is superior to the average chance quality he receives. His ability to score from fast breaks—a situation that has already yielded goals for him this year—aligns perfectly with Brighton’s tactical vulnerability when they lose possession in the central third. Cherki’s knack for popping up in “moments” makes him the most dangerous individual on the pitch when the game becomes stretched. He recently demonstrated this clinical edge against Newcastle United, scoring despite only being on the pitch for 13 minutes. This level of efficiency is exactly what is needed to break the deadlock at Anfield.
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Antoine Semenyo to Score
Antoine Semenyo is currently enjoying a prolific campaign, leading his side with 13 goals and establishing himself as a reliable finisher in both regular play and transition. Semenyo is a physical presence at 185 cm, and his preferred right foot has accounted for 28 of his 59 shots this season. His shot accuracy is particularly impressive, with 56% of his attempts hitting the target, a figure that dwarfs most other attackers in the league.
Semenyo enters this fixture in scorching form, having scored in his most recent outing against Fulham. His ability to sustain performance levels is evident in his recent match history, where he found the net against Tottenham Hotspur, Wolverhampton Wanderers, and Exeter City in the last month alone. Unlike players who rely on volume, Semenyo is efficient; his xG sits at 8.32, yet he has converted 13 times, suggesting he is a clinical finisher who does not need many “bites at the cherry” to punish an opponent.
With 110 touches in the opposition box, Semenyo is the focal point of the attack. He is particularly adept in “regular play” situations, where 48 of his shots have originated. His aerial ability also adds a different dimension to the attack, having won 54 aerial duels this season. Against a Liverpool side that is statistically weak at defending set pieces and stopping opponents from creating chances, Semenyo’s physical profile and high shot-on-target percentage make him a near-certainty to test the goalkeeper.
Rayan Cherki to Assist
While his goal-scoring is impressive, Rayan Cherki’s primary role is that of a conductor. He has already racked up seven assists this season, underpinned by a staggering 34 chances created and 14 “big chances” created. His passing accuracy of 84.5% across 625 successful passes shows a player who rarely wastes the ball, even in the high-pressure environment of the final third.
Cherki’s ability to provide for others is most evident during fast breaks, where his vision allows him to exploit the movement of players like Semenyo. He has delivered 17 successful crosses this season, often cutting inside from the right wing to whip balls into the corridor of uncertainty. In a recent 10-1 demolition of Exeter City, Cherki provided two assists in a single match, proving he can dismantle a defensive structure when given the space to operate. His expected assists (xA) of 5.54 further reinforces that he consistently puts teammates in positions where they should be scoring.
Antoine Semenyo to Assist
Antoine Semenyo is far more than just a poacher; he is a vital link in the attacking chain. With four assists to his name this season, he has shown a selfless side to his game that complements his scoring prowess. Semenyo has created 29 chances and 5 big chances, often using his strength to hold up the ball and lay it off for oncoming midfielders or his fellow winger, Cherki.
His technical ability is underrated, as evidenced by his 479 successful passes and an impressive 47.8% accuracy on long balls, which he uses to switch the play and catch the opposition’s full-backs out of position. In his most recent match against Fulham, he managed both a goal and an assist, showcasing his dual-threat capability. Semenyo’s 11.4% cross accuracy might seem low, but in a high-tempo game where he often drifts wide to pull defenders out of the centre, he creates the “half-spaces” that allow others to flourish. His contribution to the build-up play makes him a strong candidate to provide the final pass at Anfield.ponents to dictate territory, Salah’s tendency to drift into central “fast break” positions should see him let fly on several occasions.
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